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Driven by increased complexity of dynamical systems, the solution of system of differential equations through numerical simulation in optimization problems has become computationally expensive. This paper provides a smart data driven…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-08-25 Kainat Khowaja , Mykhaylo Shcherbatyy , Wolfgang Karl Härdle

Surrogate models provide fast alternatives to costly aerodynamic simulations and are extremely useful in design and optimization applications. This study proposes the use of a recent kernel-based neural surrogate, KHRONOS. In this work, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-12 Apurba Sarker , Reza T. Batley , Darshan Sarojini , Sourav Saha

This thesis develops methods for causal inference and causal representation learning (CRL) in high-dimensional, time-varying data. The first contribution introduces the Causal Dynamic Variational Autoencoder (CDVAE), a model for estimating…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-05 Mouad EL Bouchattaoui

This work introduces a method to equip data-driven polynomial chaos expansion surrogate models with intervals that quantify the predictive uncertainty of the surrogate. To that end, jackknife-based conformal prediction is integrated into…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-18 Dimitrios Loukrezis , Dimitris G. Giovanis

Structured output representation is a generative task explored in computer vision that often times requires the mapping of low dimensional features to high dimensional structured outputs. Losses in complex spatial information in…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Mohamed Debbagh

The development of surrogate models to study uncertainties in hydrologic systems requires significant effort in the development of sampling strategies and forward model simulations. Furthermore, in applications where prediction time is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-01-19 Chen Chen , Clint Dawson , Eirik Valseth

The optimal and robust design of structures has gained much attention in the past ten years due to the ever increasing need for manufacturers to build robust systems at the lowest cost. Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) allows…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-12 Vincent Dubourg , Jean-Marc Bourinet , Bruno Sudret

We develop a new approach for detecting changes in the behavior of stochastic processes and random fields based on tensor product representations such as the Karhunen-Lo\`{e}ve expansion. From the associated eigenspaces of the covariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Julio Enrique Castrillon-Candas , Mark Kon

The modeling and forecasting of sea ice conditions in the Arctic region are important tasks for ship routing, offshore oil production, and environmental monitoring. We propose the adaptive surrogate modeling approach named LANE-SI…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Julia Borisova , Nikolay O. Nikitin

Stochastic inverse problems are generally solved by some form of finite sampling of a space of uncertain parameters. For computationally expensive models, surrogate response surfaces are often employed to increase the number of samples used…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-04 Steven Mattis , Barbara Wohlmuth

We present an adaptive algorithm for the computation of quantities of interest involving the solution of a stochastic elliptic PDE where the diffusion coefficient is parametrized by means of a Karhunen-Lo\`eve expansion. The approximation…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-07-19 Uta Seidler , Michael Griebel

It is not uncommon that meta-heuristic algorithms contain some intrinsic parameters, the optimal configuration of which is crucial for achieving their peak performance. However, evaluating the effectiveness of a configuration is expensive,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2019-02-01 Ke Li , Zilin Xiang , Kay Chen Tan

We demonstrate the adaption of three established methods to the field of surrogate machine learning model development. These methods are data augmentation, custom loss functions and transfer learning. Each of these methods have seen…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-04 H. Rhys Jones , Tingting Mu , Andrei C. Popescu , Yusuf Sulehman

Detailed radiative transfer simulations of kilonova spectra play an essential role in multimessenger astrophysics. Using the simulation results in parameter inference studies requires building a surrogate model from the simulation outputs…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-31 Kamilė Lukošiūtė , Geert Raaijmakers , Zoheyr Doctor , Marcelle Soares-Santos , Brian Nord

We propose VDL-Surrogate, a view-dependent neural-network-latent-based surrogate model for parameter space exploration of ensemble simulations that allows high-resolution visualizations and user-specified visual mappings. Surrogate-enabled…

Graphics · Computer Science 2022-08-01 Neng Shi , Jiayi Xu , Haoyu Li , Hanqi Guo , Jonathan Woodring , Han-Wei Shen

Mechanistic microstructure-informed constitutive models for the mechanical response of polycrystals are a cornerstone of computational materials science. However, as these models become increasingly more complex - often involving coupled…

We study the problem of model selection in causal inference, specifically for conditional average treatment effect (CATE) estimation. Unlike machine learning, there is no perfect analogue of cross-validation for model selection as we do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Divyat Mahajan , Ioannis Mitliagkas , Brady Neal , Vasilis Syrgkanis

A general-purpose computational homogenization framework is proposed for the nonlinear dynamic analysis of membranes exhibiting complex microscale and/or mesoscale heterogeneity characterized by in-plane periodicity that cannot be…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-01-28 Philip Avery , Daniel Z. Huang , Wanli He , Johanna Ehlers , Armen Derkevorkian , Charbel Farhat

Accumulated Local Effect (ALE) is a method for accurately estimating feature effects, overcoming fundamental failure modes of previously-existed methods, such as Partial Dependence Plots. However, ALE's approximation, i.e. the method for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Vasilis Gkolemis , Theodore Dalamagas , Christos Diou

Complex black-box predictive models may have high accuracy, but opacity causes problems like lack of trust, lack of stability, sensitivity to concept drift. On the other hand, interpretable models require more work related to feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Alicja Gosiewska , Aleksandra Gacek , Piotr Lubon , Przemyslaw Biecek
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