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We establish sharp large deviation asymptotics for the maximum order statistic of independent and identically distributed heavy-tailed random variables, valid for all Borel subsets of the right tail. This result yields exact decay rates for…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-09 José M. Zapata

We obtain an asymptotic expansion for the tails of the random variable $\tcal=\arg\max_{u\in\mathbb{R}}(\mathcal{A}_2(u)-u^2)$ where $\mathcal{A}_2$ is the Airy$_2$ process. Using the formula of Schehr \cite{Sch} that connects the density…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-06-12 Thomas Bothner , Karl Liechty

We conjecture an explicit expression for the lower tail large deviation rate function of the partition function of the log-Gamma polymer. We rigorously prove our result, except for one step for which we only provide heuristic evidence. We…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2024-10-25 Tom Claeys , Julian Mauersberger

The one-dimensional polynuclear growth model with external sources at edges is studied. The height fluctuation at the origin is known to be given by either the Gaussian, the GUE Tracy-Widom distribution, or certain distributions called…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 T. Imamura , T. Sasamoto

Symmetric tridiagonal matrices appear ubiquitously in mathematical physics, serving as the matrix representation of discrete random Schr\"odinger operators. In this work we investigate the top eigenvalue of these matrices in the large…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-04 Yi Han

Large deviations for sums of i.i.d.\ random variables with stretched-exponential tails (also called Weibull or semi-exponential tails) have been well understood since the 60's, going back to Nagaev's seminal work. Many extensions in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-04 Nina Gantert , Joscha Prochno , Philipp Tuchel

Fredholm determinants associated to deformations of the Airy kernel are closely connected to the solution to the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation with narrow wedge initial data, and they also appear as largest particle distribution in…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-10-08 Mattia Cafasso , Tom Claeys

Large-deviations theory deals with tails of probability distributions and the rare events of random processes, for example spreading packets of particles. Mathematically, it concerns the exponential fall-of of the density of thin-tailed…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-07-04 Erez Aghion , David A. Kessler , Eli Barkai

We consider the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang equation on the interval $[0,L]$ with Neumann type boundary conditions and boundary parameters $u,v$. We show that the $k$-th order cumulant of the height behaves as $c_k(L,u,v)\, t$ in the large time…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2025-07-21 Guillaume Barraquand , Pierre Le Doussal

In this paper, we consider the linearly reinforced and the once-reinforced random walk models in the transient phase on trees. We show the large deviations for the upper tails for both models. We also show the exponential decay for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-15 Yu Zhang

A large deviations principle is established for the joint law of the empirical measure and the flow measure of a renewal Markov process on a finite graph. We do not assume any bound on the arrival times, allowing heavy tailed distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

In this paper we aim to establish some results depending on the comparative growth properties of composite transcendental entire or meromorphic functions and some special type of differential polynomials generated by one of the factors on…

Complex Variables · Mathematics 2017-12-15 Tanmay Biswas

We study $L^p(\mu) \to L^q(\nu)$ mapping properties of the convolution operator $ T_{\lambda}f(x)=\lambda*(f\mu)(x)$ and of the corresponding maximal operator $ {\mathcal T}_{\lambda}f(x)=\sup_{t>0} |\lambda_t*(f\mu)(x)|$, where $\lambda$…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2015-11-17 Alex Iosevich , Ben Krause , Eric Sawyer , Krystal Taylor , Ignacio Uriarte-Tuero

The one-point distribution of the height for the continuum Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation is determined numerically using the mapping to the directed polymer in a random potential at high temperature. Using an importance sampling…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2018-05-24 Alexander K. Hartmann , Pierre Le Doussal , Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Gregory Schehr

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

The d'Arcais polynomials $P_n(z)$ for $n\in\{0,1,\dots\}$ are defined as $\sum_{n=0}^{\infty} P_n(z) q^n = \exp(-z\ln((q;q)_{\infty}))$ where the $q$-Pochhammer symbol is $(q;q)_{\infty} = \prod_{k=1}^{\infty} (1-q^k)$ for $|q|<1$. Denoting…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Shannon Starr

We study the large-time asymptotic of renewal-reward processes with a heavy-tailed waiting time distribution. It is known that the heavy tail of the distribution produces an extremely slow dynamics, resulting in a singular large deviation…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2022-01-05 Hiroshi Horii , Raphael Lefevere , Takahiro Nemoto

We study mean change point testing problems for high-dimensional data, with exponentially- or polynomially-decaying tails. In each case, depending on the $\ell_0$-norm of the mean change vector, we separately consider dense and sparse…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-14 Mengchu Li , Yudong Chen , Tengyao Wang , Yi Yu

We study sampling from a target distribution ${\nu_* = e^{-f}}$ using the unadjusted Langevin Monte Carlo (LMC) algorithm. For any potential function $f$ whose tails behave like ${\|x\|^\alpha}$ for ${\alpha \in [1,2]}$, and has…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-05-28 Murat A. Erdogdu , Rasa Hosseinzadeh

We study the behavior of the tail of a measure $\mu^{\boxtimes t}$, where $\boxtimes t$ is the $t$-fold free multiplicative convolution power for $t\geq 1$. We focus on the case where $\mu$ is a probability measure on the positive half-line…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-20 Bartosz Kołodziejek , Kamil Szpojankowski