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Autonomous robots that rely on deep neural network controllers pose critical challenges for safety prediction, especially under partial observability and distribution shift. Traditional model-based verification techniques are limited in…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-16 Zhenjiang Mao , Mrinall Eashaan Umasudhan , Ivan Ruchkin

With the recent advances in the field of deep learning, learning-based methods are widely being implemented in various robotic systems that help robots understand their environment and make informed decisions to achieve a wide variety of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Abhishek Paudel

Adversarial robustness has attracted extensive studies recently by revealing the vulnerability and intrinsic characteristics of deep networks. However, existing works on adversarial robustness mainly focus on balanced datasets, while…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-08-18 Tong Wu , Ziwei Liu , Qingqiu Huang , Yu Wang , Dahua Lin

Deep neural network models degrade significantly in the long-tailed data distribution, with the overall training data dominated by a small set of classes in the head, and the tail classes obtaining less training examples. Addressing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-23 Brainard Philemon Jagati , Jitendra Tembhurne , Harsh Goud , Rudra Pratap Singh , Chandrashekhar Meshram

Learning-based solutions for long-tailed recognition face difficulties in generalizing on balanced test datasets. Due to imbalanced data prior, the learned \textit{a posteriori} distribution is biased toward the most frequent (head)…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-24 S Divakar Bhat , Amit More , Mudit Soni , Surbhi Agrawal

Conformal prediction is a popular method to construct prediction intervals with marginal coverage guarantees from black-box machine learning models. In applications with potentially high-impact events, such as flooding or financial crises,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-02 Olivier C. Pasche , Henry Lam , Sebastian Engelke

As machine learning-based prediction systems are increasingly used in high-stakes situations, it is important to understand how such predictive models will perform upon deployment. Distribution-free uncertainty quantification techniques…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Jake C. Snell , Thomas L. Griffiths

Ensuring the reliability and safety of automated decision-making is crucial. It is well-known that data distribution shifts in machine learning can produce unreliable outcomes. This paper proposes a new approach for measuring the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-14 Daniel Sikar , Artur Garcez , Tillman Weyde , Robin Bloomfield , Kaleem Peeroo

Predicting the future trajectories of the traffic agents is a gordian technique in autonomous driving. However, trajectory prediction suffers from data imbalance in the prevalent datasets, and the tailed data is often more complicated and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-03-30 Yuning Wang , Pu Zhang , Lei Bai , Jianru Xue

We develop methods for forming prediction sets in an online setting where the data generating distribution is allowed to vary over time in an unknown fashion. Our framework builds on ideas from conformal inference to provide a general…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-10 Isaac Gibbs , Emmanuel Candès

Recently, long-tailed image classification harvests lots of research attention, since the data distribution is long-tailed in many real-world situations. Piles of algorithms are devised to address the data imbalance problem by biasing the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-02-06 Chaowei Fang , Dingwen Zhang , Wen Zheng , Xue Li , Le Yang , Lechao Cheng , Junwei Han

Black-box machine learning models are now routinely used in high-risk settings, like medical diagnostics, which demand uncertainty quantification to avoid consequential model failures. Conformal prediction is a user-friendly paradigm for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-08 Anastasios N. Angelopoulos , Stephen Bates

Sequential user behavior modeling plays a crucial role in online user-oriented services, such as product purchasing, news feed consumption, and online advertising. The performance of sequential modeling heavily depends on the scale and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Jianwen Yin , Chenghao Liu , Weiqing Wang , Jianling Sun , Steven C. H. Hoi

Numerous studies have focused on learning and understanding the dynamics of physical systems from video data, such as spatial intelligence. Artificial intelligence requires quantitative assessments of the uncertainty of the model to ensure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Aoming Liang , Qi Liu , Lei Xu , Fahad Sohrab , Weicheng Cui , Changhui Song , Moncef Gabbouj

Signal Temporal Logic (STL) inference learns interpretable logical rules for temporal behaviors in dynamical systems. To ensure the correctness of learned STL formulas, recent approaches have incorporated conformal prediction as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-31 Yixuan Wang , Danyang Li , Matthew Cleaveland , Roberto Tron , Mingyu Cai

Conformal prediction provides finite-sample, distribution-free coverage under exchangeability, but standard constructions may lack robustness in the presence of outliers or heavy tails. We propose a robust conformal method based on a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Alejandro Cholaquidis , Emilien Joly , Leonardo Moreno

The distribution of data in the world (eg, internet, etc.) significantly differs from the well-curated datasets and is often over-populated with samples from common categories. The algorithms designed for well-curated datasets perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Harsh Rangwani

Owing to their remarkable learning (and relearning) capabilities, deep neural networks (DNNs) find use in numerous real-world applications. However, the learning of these data-driven machine learning models is generally as good as the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Mahum Naseer , Muhammad Shafique

Deploying deep learning models in real-world certified systems requires the ability to provide confidence estimates that accurately reflect their uncertainty. In this paper, we demonstrate the use of the conformal prediction framework to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Léo Andéol , Thomas Fel , Florence De Grancey , Luca Mossina

Uncertainty-aware prediction is essential for safe motion planning, especially when using learned models to forecast the behavior of surrounding agents. Conformal prediction is a statistical tool often used to produce uncertainty-aware…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-19 Allen Emmanuel Binny , Anushri Dixit