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1 Sharp prediction of extinction times is needed in biodiversity monitoring and conservation management. 2 The Galton-Watson process is a classical stochastic model for describing population dynamics. Its evolution is like the matrix…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 B Cloez , T Daufresne , M Kerioui , B Fontez

In this paper, we consider a critical Galton-Watson branching process with immigration stopped at zero $\mathbf{W}$. Some precise estimation on the generation function of the $n$-th population are obtained, and the tail probability of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-09 Doudou Li , Mei Zhang , Xianyu Zhang

Consider a graph where the sites are distributed in space according to a Poisson point process on $\mathbb R^n$. We study a population evolving on this network, with individuals jumping between sites with a rate which decreases…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-05 Vincent Bansaye , Michele Salvi

We consider a two-species simple exclusion process on a periodic lattice. We use the method of matched asymptotics to derive evolution equations for the two population densities in the dilute regime, namely a cross-diffusion system of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2023-01-25 James Mason , Robert L Jack , Maria Bruna

We investigate the contact process on scale-free networks evolving by a stationary dynamics whereby each vertex independently updates its connections with a rate depending on its power. This rate can be slowed down or speeded up by virtue…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Emmanuel Jacob , Amitai Linker , Peter Mörters

Our motivation comes from the large population approximation of individual based models in population dynamics and population genetics. We propose a general method to investigate scaling limits of finite dimensional population size Markov…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-07 Vincent Bansaye , Maria-Emilia Caballero , Sylvie Méléard

We consider Galton-Watson branching processes with countable typeset $\mathcal{X}$. We study the vectors ${\bf q}(A)=(q_x(A))_{x\in\mathcal{X}}$ recording the conditional probabilities of extinction in subsets of types $A\subseteq…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Daniela Bertacchi , Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Fabio Zucca

We analyze the interactions between division, mutation and selection in a simplified evolutionary model, assuming that the population observed can be classified into fitness levels. The construction of our mathematical framework is…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-01-04 Irene Balelli , Vuk Milišić , Gilles Wainrib

We study the asymptotics of the survival probability for the critical and decomposable branching processes in random environment and prove Yaglom type limit theorems for these processes. It is shown that such processes possess some…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-05 Vladimir Vatutin , Quansheng Liu

We provide a generalization of Theorem 1 in Bartkiewicz, Jakubowski, Mikosch and Wintenberger (2011) in the sense that we give sufficient conditions for weak convergence of finite dimensional distributions of the partial sum processes of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Matyas Barczy , Fanni K. Nedényi , Gyula Pap

We generalize recent results of Haas and Miermont to obtain scaling limits of Markov branching trees whose size is specified by the number of nodes whose out-degree lies in a given set. We then show that this implies that the scaling limit…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-09-24 Douglas Rizzolo

We consider discrete-time branching random walks with a radially symmetric distribution. Independently of each other individuals generate offspring whose relative locations are given by a copy of a radially symmetric point process…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-11 Viktor Bezborodov , Nina Gantert

Branching processes are widely used to model the viral epidemic evolution. For more adequate investigation of viral epidemic modelling, we suggest to apply branching processes with transport of particles usually called branching random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-29 Elizaveta Ermakova , Polina Makhmutova , Elena Yarovaya

We apply the cell merging method to a model shallow water problem with a permeable boundary. We use a cut cell approach which is more easily and systematically scalable with different shapes of boundaries. The novel cell merging method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-20 Chanyang Ryoo , Kyle Mandli

We consider the genealogical tree of a stationary continuous state branching process with immigration. For a sub-critical stable branching mechanism, we consider the genealogical tree of the extant population at some fixed time and prove…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-21 Romain Abraham , Jean-François Delmas , Hui He

This paper is concerned with an extended Galton-Watson process so as to allow individuals to live and reproduce for more than one unit time. We assume that each individual can live $k$ seasons (time-units) with probability $h_k$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-29 J. R. Tan , J. P. Li

We consider the critical Galton-Watson process with overlapping generations stemming from a single founder. Assuming that both the variance of the offspring number and the average generation length are finite, we establish the convergence…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-04-06 Serik Sagitov

A multitype Dawson-Watanabe process is conditioned, in subcritical and critical cases, on non-extinction in the remote future. On every finite time interval, its distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Roelly

Many types of bacteria can survive under stress by switching stochastically between two different phenotypes: the "normals" who multiply fast, but are vulnerable to stress, and the "persisters" who hardly multiply, but are resilient to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2011-11-10 Ingo Lohmar , Baruch Meerson

The evolution of an infinite system of interacting point entities with traits $x\in \mathds{R}^d$ is studied. The elementary acts of the evolution are state-dependent death of an entity with rate that includes a competition term and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-04-06 Yuri Kozitsky , Agnieszka Tanas