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Prediction algorithms, such as deep neural networks (DNNs), are used in many domain sciences to directly estimate internal parameters of interest in simulator-based models, especially in settings where the observations include images or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-11-14 Luca Masserano , Tommaso Dorigo , Rafael Izbicki , Mikael Kuusela , Ann B. Lee

Classical asymptotic theory for statistical inference usually involves calibrating a statistic by fixing the dimension $d$ while letting the sample size $n$ increase to infinity. Recently, much effort has been dedicated towards…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-14 Ilmun Kim , Aaditya Ramdas

We study least squares linear regression over $N$ uncorrelated Gaussian features that are selected in order of decreasing variance. When the number of selected features $p$ is at most the sample size $n$, the estimator under consideration…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-04 Ji Xu , Daniel Hsu

We analyze a simple prefiltered variation of the least squares estimator for the problem of estimation with biased, semi-parametric noise, an error model studied more broadly in causal statistics and active learning. We prove an oracle…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-05 Max Simchowitz , Ross Boczar , Benjamin Recht

Weighting methods are widely used to adjust for covariates in observational studies, sample surveys, and regression settings. In this paper, we study a class of recently proposed weighting methods which find the weights of minimum…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Yixin Wang , José R. Zubizarreta

In this work, we consider the deterministic optimization using random projections as a statistical estimation problem, where the squared distance between the predictions from the estimator and the true solution is the error metric. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-16 Srivatsan Sridhar , Mert Pilanci , Ayfer Özgür

Having a regression model, we are interested in finding two-sided intervals that are guaranteed to contain at least a desired proportion of the conditional distribution of the response variable given a specific combination of predictors. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-22 Mohammad Ghasemi Hamed , Mathieu Serrurier , Nicolas Durand

In recent years, there has been a significant growth in research focusing on minimum $\ell_2$ norm (ridgeless) interpolation least squares estimators. However, the majority of these analyses have been limited to an unrealistic regression…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-14 Sungyoon Lee , Sokbae Lee

Linear models are foundational tools in statistics and ubiquitous across the applied sciences. However, conventional statistical inference -- such as $t$-tests and $F$-tests -- are only valid at fixed sample sizes, making them unsuitable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Michael Lindon , Dae Woong Ham , Martin Tingley , Iavor Bojinov

We prove conditional asymptotic normality of a class of quadratic U-statistics that are dominated by their degenerate second order part and have kernels that change with the number of observations. These statistics arise in the construction…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-12-09 James Robins , Lingling Li , Eric Tchetgen Tchetgen , Aad van der Vaart

There is increasing interest in the problem of nonparametric regression with high-dimensional predictors. When the number of predictors $D$ is large, one encounters a daunting problem in attempting to estimate a $D$-dimensional surface…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

Let y=A\beta+\epsilon, where y is an N\times1 vector of observations, \beta is a p\times1 vector of unknown regression coefficients, A is an N\times p design matrix and \epsilon is a spherically symmetric error term with unknown scale…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-14 Yuzo Maruyama , William E. Strawderman

This study introduces a debiasing method for regression estimators, including high-dimensional and nonparametric regression estimators. For example, nonparametric regression methods allow for the estimation of regression functions in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Masahiro Kato

This paper considers inference in a linear regression model with random right censoring and outliers. The number of outliers can grow with the sample size while their proportion goes to zero. The model is semiparametric and we make only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-06 Jad Beyhum , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Self-normalized martingale inequalities lie at the heart of confidence ellipsoids for online least squares and, more broadly, many bandit and reinforcement-learning results. Yet existing vector and scalar results typically rely on bounded…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-05 Fan Chen , Jian Qian , Alexander Rakhlin , Nikita Zhivotovskiy

A general asymptotic theory is given for the panel data AR(1) model with time series independent in different cross sections. The theory covers the cases of stationary process, nearly non-stationary process, unit root process, mildly…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-15 Jianfei Shen , Tianxiao Pang

We analyze linear panel regression models with interactive fixed effects and predetermined regressors, for example lagged-dependent variables. The first-order asymptotic theory of the least squares (LS) estimator of the regression…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-05-04 Hyungsik Roger Moon , Martin Weidner

We develop a general assumption-lean framework for constructing uniformly valid confidence sets for functionals defined by moment equalities, referred to as $Z$-functionals. Our approach combines self-normalized statistics with a test…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-11 Woonyoung Chang , Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

We provide an improved analysis of standard differentially private gradient descent for linear regression under the squared error loss. Under modest assumptions on the input, we characterize the distribution of the iterate at each time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Gavin Brown , Krishnamurthy Dvijotham , Georgina Evans , Daogao Liu , Adam Smith , Abhradeep Thakurta

The Bayes linear estimator is derived by minimizing the Bayes risk with respect to the squared loss function. Non-unbiased estimators such as ordinary ridge, typical shrinkage, fractional rank, and restricted least squares estimators, as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-15 Hirai Mukasa