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Interpretable machine learning plays a key role in healthcare because it is challenging in understanding feature importance in deep learning model predictions. We propose a novel framework that uses deep learning to study feature…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-10 Md Khairul Islam , Di Zhu , Yingzheng Liu , Andrej Erkelens , Nick Daniello , Judy Fox

Interpreting deep learning time series models is crucial in understanding the model's behavior and learning patterns from raw data for real-time decision-making. However, the complexity inherent in transformer-based time series models poses…

Epidemiological models with constant parameters may not capture satisfactory infection patterns in the presence of pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical mitigation measures during a pandemic, since infectiousness is a function of time. In…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-16 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

The objective of this study was to investigate the importance of multiple county-level features in the trajectory of COVID-19. We examined feature importance across 2,787 counties in the United States using a data-driven machine learning…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-13 Qingchun Li , Yang Yang , Wangqiu Wang , Sanghyeon Lee , Xin Xiao , Xinyu Gao , Bora Oztekin , Chao Fan , Ali Mostafavi

We present a robust data-driven machine learning analysis of the COVID-19 pandemic from its early infection dynamics, specifically infection counts over time. The goal is to extract actionable public health insights. These insights include…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-06 Malik Magdon-Ismail

The COVID-19 disease spreads swiftly, and nearly three months after the first positive case was confirmed in China, Coronavirus started to spread all over the United States. Some states and counties reported high number of positive cases…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Samira Ziyadidegan , Moein Razavi , Homa Pesarakli , Amir Hossein Javid , Madhav Erraguntla

Since the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in December 2019, studies have been addressing diverse aspects in relation to COVID-19 and Variant of Concern 202012/01 (VOC 202012/01) such as potential symptoms and predictive tools.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Wasiq Khan , Abir Hussain , Sohail Ahmed Khan , Mohammed Al-Jumailey , Raheel Nawaz , Panos Liatsis

We present a modified age-structured SIR model based on known patterns of social contact and distancing measures within Washington, USA. We find that population age-distribution has a significant effect on disease spread and mortality rate,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-10-18 Vishaal Ram , Laura P. Schaposnik

The spread of COVID-19 has been greatly impacted by regulatory policies and behavior patterns that vary across counties, states, and countries. Population-level dynamics of COVID-19 can generally be described using a set of ordinary…

Applications · Statistics 2022-04-11 Joshua P. Keller , Tianjian Zhou , Andee Kaplan , G. Brooke Anderson , Wen Zhou

Infectious disease transmission dynamics are particularly sensitive to social contact patterns, and the precautions people take to limit disease transmission. It depends on the age distribution of the community. Thus, knowing the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-04-19 Vijay Pal Bajiya , Jai Prakash Tripathi , Ranjit Kumar Upadhyay

Mutating variants of COVID-19 have been reported across many US states since 2021. In the fight against COVID-19, it has become imperative to study the heterogeneity in the time-varying transmission rates for each variant in the presence of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2022-05-17 K. D. Olumoyin , A. Q. M. Khaliq , K. M. Furati

The COVID-19 pandemic has presented unprecedented challenges worldwide, with its impact varying significantly across different geographic and socioeconomic contexts. This study employs a clustering analysis to examine the diversity of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Morteza Maleki

Determining who is at risk from a disease is important in order to protect vulnerable subpopulations during an outbreak. We are currently in a SARS-COV-2 (commonly referred to as COVID-19) pandemic which has had a massive impact across the…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-28 Sarah Good , Anthony O'Hare

The rapid spread of COVID-19 in the United States has imposed a major threat to public health, the real economy, and human well-being. With the absence of effective vaccines, the preventive actions of social distancing and travel reduction…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-06-02 Chao Fan , Sanghyeon Lee , Yang Yang , Bora Oztekin , Qingchun Li , Ali Mostafavi

The risk for severe illness and mortality from COVID-19 significantly increases with age. As a result, age-stratified modeling for COVID-19 dynamics is the key to study how to reduce hospitalizations and mortality from COVID-19. By taking…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-05-12 Xianhao Chen , Guangyu Zhu , Lan Zhang , Yuguang Fang , Linke Guo , Xinguang Chen

With the severity of the COVID-19 outbreak, we characterize the nature of the growth trajectories of counties in the United States using a novel combination of spectral clustering and the correlation matrix. As the U.S. and the rest of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-01-07 Francesca Tang , Yang Feng , Hamza Chiheb , Jianqing Fan

The world is still overwhelmed by the spread of the COVID-19 virus. With over 250 Million infected cases as of November 2021 and affecting 219 countries and territories, the world remains in the pandemic period. Detecting COVID-19 using the…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-10-27 Gargi Desai , Nelly Elsayed , Zag Elsayed , Murat Ozer

An important parameter for COVID-19 is the case fatality rate (CFR). It has been applied to wide applications, including the measure of the severity of the infection, the estimation of the number of infected cases, risk assessment etc.…

Applications · Statistics 2026-02-10 Donghui Yan , Aiyou Chen , Buqing Yang

The SARS-CoV-2 pandemic has caused significant mortality and morbidity worldwide, sparing almost no community. As the disease will likely remain a threat for years to come, an understanding of the precise influences of human demographics…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-02 Niayesh Afshordi , Benjamin Holder , Mohammad Bahrami , Daniel Lichtblau

The COVID-19 pandemic has evolved over time through multiple spatial and temporal dynamics. The varying extent of interactions among different geographical areas can result to a complex pattern of spreading so that influences between these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-15 Troy McMahon , Shlomo Havlin , Lazaros K. Gallos
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