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This paper develops a Bayesian framework for robust causal inference from longitudinal observational data. Many contemporary methods rely on structural assumptions, such as factor models, to adjust for unobserved confounding, but they can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-20 Angelos Alexopoulos , Nikolaos Demiris

Multivariate binary distributions can be decomposed into products of univariate conditional distributions. Recently popular approaches have modeled these conditionals through neural networks with sophisticated weight-sharing structures. It…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-23 Marc Goessling

With the proliferation of modern high-resolution measuring instruments mounted on satellites, planes, ground-based vehicles and monitoring stations, a need has arisen for statistical methods suitable for the analysis of large spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-26 Matthias Katzfuss

This paper addresses the problem of stochastic optimization with decision-dependent uncertainty, a class of problems where the probability distribution of the uncertain parameters is influenced by the decision-maker's actions. While recent…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-12 John Cotrina , Gonzalo Flores , David Salas , Anton Svensson

Within the framework of complex system design, it is often necessary to solve mixed variable optimization problems, in which the objective and constraint functions can depend simultaneously on continuous and discrete variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Julien Pelamatti , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Yannick Guerin

Dynamic logit models are popular tools in economics to measure state dependence. This paper introduces a new method to derive moment restrictions in a large class of such models with strictly exogenous regressors and fixed effects. We…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-05 Kevin Dano

This paper considers binomial approximation of continuous time stochastic processes. It is shown that, under some mild integrability conditions, a process can be approximated in mean square sense and in other strong metrics by binomial…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-02-09 Nikolai Dokuchaev

Randomly masking and predicting word tokens has been a successful approach in pre-training language models for a variety of downstream tasks. In this work, we observe that the same idea also applies naturally to sequential decision making,…

Bayesian forecasting is developed in multivariate time series analysis for causal inference. Causal evaluation of sequentially observed time series data from control and treated units focuses on the impacts of interventions using…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-21 Graham Tierney , Christoph Hellmayr , Greg Barkimer , Kevin Li , Mike West

Providing diagnostic feedback about growth is crucial to formative decisions such as targeted remedial instructions or interventions. This paper proposed a longitudinal higher-order diagnostic classification modeling approach for measuring…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-19 Peida Zhan , Hong Jiao , Dandan Liao

Intensive longitudinal (IL) data are increasingly prevalent in psychological science, coinciding with technological advancements that make it simple to deploy study designs such as daily diary and ecological momentary assessments. IL data…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Teague R. Henry , Lindley R. Slipetz , Ami Falk , Jiaxing Qiu , Meng Chen

Several researchers have described two-part models with patient-specific stochastic processes for analysing longitudinal semicontinuous data. In theory, such models can offer greater flexibility than the standard two-part model with…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-28 Sean Yiu , Brian Tom

Logistic regression is a commonly used method for binary classification. Researchers often have more than a single binary response variable and simultaneous analysis is beneficial because it provides insight into the dependencies among…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-13 Mark de Rooij , Patrick J. F. Groenen

The focus of this paper is an approach to the modeling of longitudinal social network or relational data. Such data arise from measurements on pairs of objects or actors made at regular temporal intervals, resulting in a social network for…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-08-18 Anton H. Westveld , Peter D. Hoff

We address the challenge of conducting inference for a categorical treatment effect related to a binary outcome variable while taking into account high-dimensional baseline covariates. The conventional technique used to establish…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-27 Abhishek Ojha , Naveen N. Narisetty

Large-scale longitudinal molecular profiling is now firmly established in biomedical research, prompted by the need to uncover coordinated biomarker trajectories reflecting the dynamics of underlying biological mechanisms and characterise…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Salima Jaoua , Daniel Temko , Hélène Ruffieux

We consider modeling, inference, and computation for analyzing multivariate binary data. We propose a new model that consists of a low dimensional latent variable component and a sparse graphical component. Our study is motivated by…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-30 Yunxiao Chen , Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu , Zhiliang Ying

Expectation propagation is a general prescription for approximation of integrals in statistical inference problems. Its literature is mainly concerned with Bayesian inference scenarios. However, expectation propagation can also be used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-23 P. Hall , I. M. Johnstone , J. T. Ormerod , M. P. Wand , J. C. F. Yu

We propose a new, flexible model for inference of the effect of a binary treatment on a continuous outcome observed over subsequent time periods. The model allows to seperate association due to endogeneity of treatment selection from…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-02 Helga Wagner , Sylvia Frühwirth-Schnatter , Liana Jacobi

In many longitudinal settings, time-varying covariates may not be measured at the same time as responses and are often prone to measurement error. Naive last-observation-carried-forward methods incur estimation biases, and existing…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-10 Xinyue Chang , Yehua Li , Yi Li
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