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Related papers: Local Risk Bounds for Statistical Aggregation

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Protecting user privacy is a major concern for many machine learning systems that are deployed at scale and collect from a diverse set of population. One way to address this concern is by collecting and releasing data labels in an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-19 Lin Chen , Gang Fu , Amin Karbasi , Vahab Mirrokni

We consider a Bayesian forecast aggregation model where $n$ experts, after observing private signals about an unknown binary event, report their posterior beliefs about the event to a principal, who then aggregates the reports into a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Tao Lin , Yiling Chen

We prove the local boundedness for solutions to a class of obstacle problems with non-standard growth conditions. The novelty here is that we are able to establish the local boundedness under a sharp bound on the gap between the growth…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-03-01 Mariapia De Rosa , Antonio Giuseppe Grimaldi

When randomized ensembles such as bagging or random forests are used for binary classification, the prediction error of the ensemble tends to decrease and stabilize as the number of classifiers increases. However, the precise relationship…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-05-01 Miles E. Lopes

The goal of a learning algorithm is to receive a training data set as input and provide a hypothesis that can generalize to all possible data points from a domain set. The hypothesis is chosen from hypothesis classes with potentially…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-29 Soosan Beheshti , Mahdi Shamsi

Recently, a classical algorithm for estimating the normalized Betti number of an arbitrary simplicial complex was proposed. Motivated by a quantum algorithm with a similar Monte Carlo structure and improved sample complexity, we give a more…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-09-22 Julien Sorci

We present a novel analysis of the expected risk of weighted majority vote in multiclass classification. The analysis takes correlation of predictions by ensemble members into account and provides a bound that is amenable to efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-18 Andrés R. Masegosa , Stephan S. Lorenzen , Christian Igel , Yevgeny Seldin

We prove new probabilistic upper bounds on generalization error of complex classifiers that are combinations of simple classifiers. Such combinations could be implemented by neural networks or by voting methods of combining the classifiers,…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Vladimir Koltchinskii , Dmitry Panchenko

In this brief paper, we present a naive aggregation algorithm for a typical learning problem with expert advice setting, in which the task of improving generalization, i.e., model validation, is embedded in the learning process as a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-09 Getachew K Befekadu

We make three related contributions motivated by the challenge of training stochastic neural networks, particularly in a PAC-Bayesian setting: (1) we show how averaging over an ensemble of stochastic neural networks enables a new class of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-16 Felix Biggs , Benjamin Guedj

We propose the first general PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds for adversarial robustness, that estimate, at test time, how much a model will be invariant to imperceptible perturbations in the input. Instead of deriving a worst-case…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-28 Paul Viallard , Guillaume Vidot , Amaury Habrard , Emilie Morvant

We study the problem of model selection type aggregation with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence for various probabilistic models. Rather than considering a convex combination of the initial estimators $f_1, \ldots, f_N$, our…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Cristina Butucea , Jean-François Delmas , Anne Dutfoy , Richard Fischer

Signal processing makes extensive use of point estimators and accompanying error bounds. These work well up until the likelihood function has two or more high peaks. When it is important for an estimator to remain reliable, it becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ning Xu , Christopher M. Foster , Jonathan H. Manton

Distributional assumptions have been shown to be necessary for the robust learnability of concept classes when considering the exact-in-the-ball robust risk and access to random examples by Gourdeau et al. (2019). In this paper, we study…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-21 Pascale Gourdeau , Varun Kanade , Marta Kwiatkowska , James Worrell

Modern machine learning systems have been applied successfully to a variety of tasks in recent years but making such systems robust against adversarially chosen modifications of input instances seems to be a much harder problem. It is…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2021-12-20 Khashayar Barooti , Grzegorz Głuch , Ruediger Urbanke

The Laplace approximation is a popular method for constructing a Gaussian approximation to the Bayesian posterior and thereby approximating the posterior mean and variance. But approximation quality is a concern. One might consider using…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-17 Mikołaj J. Kasprzak , Ryan Giordano , Tamara Broderick

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods, which are applicable when the likelihood is difficult or impossible to calculate, are an active topic of current research. Most current ABC algorithms directly approximate the posterior…

Computation · Statistics 2012-12-10 Y. Fan , D. J. Nott , S. A. Sisson

As machine learning applications grow increasingly ubiquitous and complex, they face an increasing set of requirements beyond accuracy. The prevalent approach to handle this challenge is to aggregate a weighted combination of requirement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Aneesh Barthakur , Luiz F. O. Chamon

We present a unified framework for deriving PAC-Bayesian generalization bounds. Unlike most previous literature on this topic, our bounds are anytime-valid (i.e., time-uniform), meaning that they hold at all stopping times, not only for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-04 Ben Chugg , Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

The ultimate performance of machine learning algorithms for classification tasks is usually measured in terms of the empirical error probability (or accuracy) based on a testing dataset. Whereas, these algorithms are optimized through the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-13 Matias Vera , Leonardo Rey Vega , Pablo Piantanida