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This study attempts to analyze patterns in cryptocurrency markets using a special type of deep neural networks, namely a convolutional autoencoder. The method extracts the dominant features of market behavior and classifies the 40 studied…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-29 Vladimir Puzyrev

When network products and services become more valuable as their userbase grows (network effects), this tendency can become a major determinant of how they compete with each other in the market and how the market is structured. Network…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-01-18 Konstantinos Stylianou , Leonhard Spiegelberg , Maurice Herlihy , Nic Carter

The decentralization, redundancy, and pseudo-anonymity features have made permission-less public blockchain platforms attractive for adoption as technology platforms for cryptocurrencies. However, such adoption has enabled cybercriminals to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Banwari Lal , Rachit Agarwal , Sandeep Kumar Shukla

The objective of this paper is the construction of new indicators that can be useful to operate in the cryptocurrency market. These indicators are based on public data obtained from the blockchain network, specifically from the nodes that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Juan C. King , Roberto Dale , José M. Amigó

We develop a dynamic model of the Bitcoin market where users set fees themselves and miners decide whether to operate and whom to validate based on those fees. Our analysis reveals how, in equilibrium, users adjust their bids in response to…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-02-24 Yuichiro Kamada , Shunya Noda

In this paper we propose a deep recurrent architecture for the probabilistic modelling of high-frequency market prices, important for the risk management of automated trading systems. Our proposed architecture incorporates probabilistic…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Ye-Sheen Lim , Denise Gorse

Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) are unique digital items with blockchain managed ownership. Ethereum blockchain based smart contract created the environment for NFTs (ERC721) to reach its one of the most important future application domains. Non…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-29 Prakhyat Khati

In relation to the traditional financial markets, the cryptocurrency market is a recent invention and the trading dynamics of all its components are readily recorded and stored. This fact opens up a unique opportunity to follow the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-11 Stanisław Drożdż , Jarosław Kwapień , Marcin Wątorek

Multifractality is a concept that helps compactly grasping the most essential features of the financial dynamics. In its fully developed form, this concept applies to essentially all mature financial markets and even to more liquid…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-15 Marcin Wątorek , Marcin Królczyk , Jarosław Kwapień , Tomasz Stanisz , Stanisław Drożdż

This paper uses new and recently established methodologies to study the evolutionary dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, and compares the findings with that of the equity market. We begin by applying random matrix theory and principal…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-20 Nick James

A model is proposed for Bitcoin prices that takes into account market attention. Market attention, modeled by a mean-reverting Cox-Ingersoll-Ross processes, affects the volatility of Bitcoin returns, with some delay. The model is affine and…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-01-17 Alvaro Guinea Julia , Alet Roux

Cryptocurrencies are considered the latest innovation in finance with considerable impact across social, technological, and economic dimensions. This new class of financial assets has also motivated a myriad of scientific investigations…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-03-31 Arthur A. B. Pessa , Matjaz Perc , Haroldo V. Ribeiro

Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) as a decentralized proof of ownership represent one of the main reasons why Ethereum is a disruptive technology. This paper presents the first systematic study of the interactions occurring in a number of NFT…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-10-26 S. Casale-Brunet , P. Ribeca , P. Doyle , M. Mattavelli

This article demonstrates the possibility of constructing indicators of critical and crisis phenomena in the volatile market of cryptocurrency. For this purpose, the methods of the theory of complex systems such as recurrent analysis of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-23 Vladimir Soloviev , Andrey Belinskiy

In light of micro-scale inefficiencies induced by the high degree of fragmentation of the Bitcoin trading landscape, we utilize a granular data set comprised of orderbook and trades data from the most liquid Bitcoin markets, in order to…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-08-24 Jakob Albers , Mihai Cucuringu , Sam Howison , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

We investigate logarithmic price returns cross-correlations at different time horizons for a set of 25 liquid cryptocurrencies traded on the FTX digital currency exchange. We study how the structure of the Minimum Spanning Tree (MST) and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-29 Antonio Briola , Tomaso Aste

A variety of correlations are detected in the Monero blockchain. The joint distribution of the time-since-last-transaction between elements of pairs of RingCTs is enhanced in comparison with the product of the marginal distributions.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Nathan Borggren , Lihan Yao

We introduce systematic tests exploiting robust statistical and behavioral patterns in trading to detect fake transactions on 29 cryptocurrency exchanges. Regulated exchanges feature patterns consistently observed in financial markets and…

General Economics · Economics 2021-08-26 Lin William Cong , Xi Li , Ke Tang , Yang Yang

In this paper, we analyze the time-series of minute price returns on the Bitcoin market through the statistical models of generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) family. Several mathematical models have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-02-01 Irena Barjašić , Nino Antulov-Fantulin

Online marketplaces are the main engines of legal and illegal e-commerce, yet their empirical properties are poorly understood due to the absence of large-scale data. We analyze two comprehensive datasets containing 245M transactions (16B…