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Time series analysis remains a major challenge due to its sparse characteristics, high dimensionality, and inconsistent data quality. Recent advancements in transformer-based techniques have enhanced capabilities in forecasting and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Robert Leppich , Vanessa Borst , Veronika Lesch , Samuel Kounev

Automatically detecting anomalies in event data can provide substantial value in domains such as healthcare, DevOps, and information security. In this paper, we frame the problem of detecting anomalous continuous-time event sequences as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-20 Oleksandr Shchur , Ali Caner Türkmen , Tim Januschowski , Jan Gasthaus , Stephan Günnemann

The field of predictive process monitoring focuses on case-level models to predict a single specific outcome such as a particular objective, (remaining) time, or next activity/remaining sequence. Recently, a longer-horizon, model-wide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Johannes De Smedt , Jochen De Weerdt

Given a sequence of sets, where each set contains an arbitrary number of elements, the problem of temporal sets prediction aims to predict the elements in the subsequent set. In practice, temporal sets prediction is much more complex than…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-09 Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Chuanren Liu , Hui Xiong , Weifeng Lv

Neural processes (NPs) aim to stochastically complete unseen data points based on a given context dataset. NPs essentially leverage a given dataset as a context representation to derive a suitable identifier for a novel task. To improve the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Mingyu Kim , Kyeongryeol Go , Se-Young Yun

Predictive Business Process Monitoring (PBPM) aims to forecast future events in ongoing cases based on historical event logs. While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are well suited to capture structural dependencies in process data, existing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Fang Wang , Ernesto Damiani

Individual mobility prediction is an essential task for transportation demand management and traffic system operation. There exist a large body of works on modeling location sequence and predicting the next location of users; however,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Yuankai Wu , Zhanhong Cheng , Lijun Sun

Neural Processes (NPs), and specifically Transformer Neural Processes (TNPs), have demonstrated remarkable performance across tasks ranging from spatiotemporal forecasting to tabular data modelling. However, many of these applications are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Philip Mortimer , Cristiana Diaconu , Tommy Rochussen , Bruno Mlodozeniec , Richard E. Turner

With recently available football match event data that record the details of football matches, analysts and researchers have a great opportunity to develop new performance metrics, gain insight, and evaluate key performance. However, most…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-02-21 Calvin C. K. Yeung , Tony Sit , Keisuke Fujii

Temporal sequences have become pervasive in various real-world applications. Consequently, the volume of data generated in the form of continuous time-event sequence(s) or CTES(s) has increased exponentially in the past few years. Thus, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-20 Vinayak Gupta , Srikanta Bedathur , Abir De

Forecasting future events is a fundamental challenge for temporal knowledge graphs (tKG). As in real life predicting a mean function is most of the time not sufficient, but the question remains how confident can we be about our prediction?…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Soeren Nolting , Zhen Han , Volker Tresp

As the role played by statistical and computational sciences in climate and environmental modelling and prediction becomes more important, Machine Learning researchers are becoming more aware of the relevance of their work to help tackle…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-23 Federico Amato , Fabian Guignard , Sylvain Robert , Mikhail Kanevski

Temporal reasoning and planning are essential capabilities for large language models (LLMs), yet most existing benchmarks evaluate them in isolation and under limited forms of complexity. To address this gap, we introduce the Temporal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Zifeng Ding , Sikuan Yan , Zhangdie Yuan , Xianglong Hu , Fangru Lin , Andreas Vlachos

Spatio-temporal Hawkes point processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic point processes for modeling self-exciting behavior, in which the occurrence of one event increases the probability of other events occurring. These…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-19 Alba Bernabeu , Jorge Mateu

Human motion prediction (HMP) has emerged as a popular research topic due to its diverse applications, but it remains a challenging task due to the stochastic and aperiodic nature of future poses. Traditional methods rely on hand-crafted…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-07-18 Jiexin Wang , Yujie Zhou , Wenwen Qiang , Ying Ba , Bing Su , Ji-Rong Wen

We are now witnessing the increasing availability of event stream data, i.e., a sequence of events with each event typically being denoted by the time it occurs and its mark information (e.g., event type). A fundamental problem is to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-12 Yongqing Wang , Shenghua Liu , Huawei Shen , Xueqi Cheng

Event schemas encode knowledge of stereotypical structures of events and their connections. As events unfold, schemas are crucial to act as a scaffolding. Previous work on event schema induction focuses either on atomic events or linear…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-05-02 Manling Li , Sha Li , Zhenhailong Wang , Lifu Huang , Kyunghyun Cho , Heng Ji , Jiawei Han , Clare Voss

Many important problems require modelling large-scale spatio-temporal datasets, with one prevalent example being weather forecasting. Recently, transformer-based approaches have shown great promise in a range of weather forecasting…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Matthew Ashman , Cristiana Diaconu , Eric Langezaal , Adrian Weller , Richard E. Turner

Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) are a family of graph neural networks designed to model and learn dynamic information from temporal graphs. Given their substantial empirical success, there is an escalating interest in TGNNs within…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Junwei Su , Shan Wu

How to effectively and efficiently deal with spatio-temporal event streams, where the events are generally sparse and non-uniform and have the microsecond temporal resolution, is of great value and has various real-life applications.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Man Yao , Huanhuan Gao , Guangshe Zhao , Dingheng Wang , Yihan Lin , Zhaoxu Yang , Guoqi Li