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With the widespread deployment of large-scale prediction systems in high-stakes domains, e.g., face recognition, criminal justice, etc., disparity in prediction accuracy between different demographic subgroups has called for fundamental…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Jianfeng Chi , Yuan Tian , Geoffrey J. Gordon , Han Zhao

Before deploying a black-box model in high-stakes problems, it is important to evaluate the model's performance on sensitive subpopulations. For example, in a recidivism prediction task, we may wish to identify demographic groups for which…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-09 John J. Cherian , Emmanuel J. Candès

In the recent literature on machine learning and decision making, calibration has emerged as a desirable and widely-studied statistical property of the outputs of binary prediction models. However, the algorithmic aspects of measuring model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-24 Lunjia Hu , Arun Jambulapati , Kevin Tian , Chutong Yang

A distribution inference attack aims to infer statistical properties of data used to train machine learning models. These attacks are sometimes surprisingly potent, but the factors that impact distribution inference risk are not well…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Anshuman Suri , Yifu Lu , Yanjin Chen , David Evans

As algorithmic prediction systems have become widespread, fears that these systems may inadvertently discriminate against members of underrepresented populations have grown. With the goal of understanding fundamental principles that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-02 Sumegha Garg , Michael P. Kim , Omer Reingold

As machine learning becomes prevalent, mitigating any unfairness present in the training data becomes critical. Among the various notions of fairness, this paper focuses on the well-known individual fairness, which states that similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Hantian Zhang , Ki Hyun Tae , Jaeyoung Park , Xu Chu , Steven Euijong Whang

Recommender systems utilize users' historical data to learn and predict their future interests, providing them with suggestions tailored to their tastes. Calibration ensures that the distribution of recommended item categories is consistent…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-08-23 Mohammadmehdi Naghiaei , Hossein A. Rahmani , Mohammad Aliannejadi , Nasim Sonboli

This paper proposes a statistical framework of using artificial intelligence to improve human decision making. The performance of each human decision maker is benchmarked against that of machine predictions. We replace the diagnoses made by…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-12-10 Kai Feng , Han Hong , Ke Tang , Jingyuan Wang

Trustworthy classifiers are essential to the adoption of machine learning predictions in many real-world settings. The predicted probability of possible outcomes can inform high-stakes decision making, particularly when assessing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Kiri L. Wagstaff , Thomas G. Dietterich

Statistical modeling plays a fundamental role in understanding the underlying mechanism of massive data (statistical inference) and predicting the future (statistical prediction). Although all models are wrong, researchers try their best to…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-17 Hangjin Jiang

We consider lossless compression based on statistical data modeling followed by prediction-based encoding, where an accurate statistical model for the input data leads to substantial improvements in compression. We propose DZip, a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-21 Mohit Goyal , Kedar Tatwawadi , Shubham Chandak , Idoia Ochoa

In computational social science, researchers often use a pre-trained, black box classifier to estimate the frequency of each class in unlabeled datasets. A variety of prevalence estimation techniques have been developed in the literature,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-04-03 Siqi Wu , Paul Resnick

Smoothing methods find signals in noisy data. A challenge for Statistical inference is the choice of smoothing parameter. SiZer addressed this challenge in one-dimension by detecting significant slopes across multiple scales, but was not a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Rui Liu , Jan Hannig , J. S. Marron

For an AI system to be reliable, the confidence it expresses in its decisions must match its accuracy. To assess the degree of match, examples are typically binned by confidence and the per-bin mean confidence and accuracy are compared.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-14 Rebecca Roelofs , Nicholas Cain , Jonathon Shlens , Michael C. Mozer

Binary classification is one of the most common problem in machine learning. It consists in predicting whether a given element belongs to a particular class. In this paper, a new algorithm for binary classification is proposed using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-12 Alexandre Quemy

We present CLIPPER (Consistent LInking, Pruning, and Pairwise Error Rectification), a framework for robust data association in the presence of noise and outliers. We formulate the problem in a graph-theoretic framework using the notion of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-12 Parker C. Lusk , Kaveh Fathian , Jonathan P. How

Algorithmic decision making systems are ubiquitous across a wide variety of online as well as offline services. These systems rely on complex learning methods and vast amounts of data to optimize the service functionality, satisfaction of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-27 Muhammad Bilal Zafar , Isabel Valera , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , Krishna P. Gummadi

Among the various models designed for dependent count data, integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) processes enjoy great popularity. Typically, statistical inference for INAR models uses asymptotic theory that relies on rather stringent…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-16 Maxime Faymonville , Carsten Jentsch , Christian H. Weiß

We derive a new discrepancy statistic for measuring differences between two probability distributions based on combining Stein's identity with the reproducing kernel Hilbert space theory. We apply our result to test how well a probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-04 Qiang Liu , Jason D. Lee , Michael I. Jordan

Methods of performing anomaly detection on high-dimensional data sets are needed, since algorithms which are trained on data are only expected to perform well on data that is similar to the training data. There are theoretical results on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-13 Forrest Laine , Claire Tomlin