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Related papers: Data-driven Multiperiod Robust Mean-Variance Optim…

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We consider multiperiod stochastic control problems with non-parametric uncertainty on the underlying probabilistic model. We derive a new metric on the space of probability measures, called the adapted $(p, \infty)$--Wasserstein distance…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-01 Ruslan Mirmominov , Johannes Wiesel

Motivated by practical applications, we explore the constrained multi-period mean-variance portfolio selection problem within a market characterized by a dynamic factor model. This model captures predictability in asset returns driven by…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-26 Jianjun Gao , Chengneng Jin , Yun Shi , Xiangyu Cui

Distributionally-robust optimization is often studied for a fixed set of distributions rather than time-varying distributions that can drift significantly over time (which is, for instance, the case in finance and sociology due to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-10-01 Iman Shames , Farhad Farokhi

We introduce a general framework for Markov decision problems under model uncertainty in a discrete-time infinite horizon setting. By providing a dynamic programming principle we obtain a local-to-global paradigm, namely solving a local,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-06 Ariel Neufeld , Julian Sester , Mario Šikić

In this paper, we tackle the dynamic mean-variance portfolio selection problem in a {\it model-free} manner, based on (generative) diffusion models. We propose using data sampled from the real model $\mathbb P$ (which is unknown) with…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Ahmad Aghapour , Erhan Bayraktar , Fengyi Yuan

We study stochastic optimization problems with chance and risk constraints, where in the latter, risk is quantified in terms of the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR). We consider the distributionally robust versions of these problems, where…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-12-17 Ashish Cherukuri , Ashish R. Hota

We present a novel multiscale framework for analyzing sequences of probability measures in Wasserstein spaces over Euclidean domains. Exploiting the intrinsic geometry of optimal transport, we construct a multiscale transform applicable to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Wael Mattar , Nir Sharon

The Wasserstein barycenter is defined as the mean of a set of probability measures under the optimal transport metric, and has numerous applications spanning machine learning, statistics, and computer graphics. In practice these input…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Anming Gu , Sasidhar Kunapuli , Mark Bun , Edward Chien , Kristjan Greenewald

This paper addresses the importance of incorporating various risk measures in portfolio management and proposes a dynamic hybrid portfolio optimization model that combines the spectral risk measure and the Value-at-Risk in the mean-variance…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-04-12 Weiping Wu , Yu Lin , Jianjun Gao , Ke Zhou

In this paper, we refine and generalize closed forms for worst-case law invariant convex risk measures with uncertainty sets based on: i) closed balls under $p$-norms and Wasserstein distance; and ii) moment constraints involving mean and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-30 Marcelo Righi , Fernanda Müller

We address the challenge of sequential data-driven decision-making under context distributional uncertainty. This problem arises in numerous real-world scenarios where the learner optimizes black-box objective functions in the presence of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Francesco Micheli , Efe C. Balta , Anastasios Tsiamis , John Lygeros

We consider statistical methods which invoke a min-max distributionally robust formulation to extract good out-of-sample performance in data-driven optimization and learning problems. Acknowledging the distributional uncertainty in learning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-08-05 Jose Blanchet , Karthyek Murthy , Viet Anh Nguyen

This study addresses the stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) problem for linear time-invariant systems subjected to unknown disturbance distributions. By leveraging the most recent disturbance data, we construct a set of distributions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-15 Xu Chen , Lorenz Dörschel

Sliced Wasserstein distances preserve properties of classic Wasserstein distances while being more scalable for computation and estimation in high dimensions. The goal of this work is to quantify this scalability from three key aspects: (i)…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-18 Sloan Nietert , Ritwik Sadhu , Ziv Goldfeld , Kengo Kato

We study stochastic Nash equilibrium problems subject to heterogeneous uncertainty on the expected valued cost functions of the individual agents, where we assume no prior knowledge of the underlying probability distributions of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-29 Georgios Pantazis , Barbara Franci , Sergio Grammatico

A weighted likelihood technique for robust estimation of a multivariate Wrapped Normal distribution for data points scattered on a p-dimensional torus is proposed. The occurrence of outliers in the sample at hand can badly compromise…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-01 Giovanni Saraceno , Claudio Agostinelli , Luca Greco

We propose moment relaxations for data-driven Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization problems. Conditions are identified to ensure asymptotic consistency of such relaxations for both single-stage and two-stage problems, together…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Shixuan Zhang , Suhan Zhong

This paper presents a novel algorithmic study with extensive numerical experiments of distributionally robust multistage convex optimization (DR-MCO). Following the previous work on dual dynamic programming (DDP) algorithmic framework for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-11-24 Shixuan Zhang , Xu Andy Sun

Nowadays stochastic computer simulations with both numeral and distribution inputs are widely used to mimic complex systems which contain a great deal of uncertainty. This paper studies the design and analysis issues of such computer…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Chunya Li , Xiaojun Cui , Shifeng Xiong

In this study, we address the challenge of portfolio optimization, a critical aspect of managing investment risks and maximizing returns. The mean-CVaR portfolio is considered a promising method due to today's unstable financial market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-22 Kei Nakagawa , Masaya Abe , Seiichi Kuroki
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