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We consider online prediction of a latent dynamic spatiotemporal process and estimation of the associated model parameters based on noisy data. The problem is motivated by the analysis of spatial data arriving in real-time and the current…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-14 Evangelos Evangelou , Vasileios Maroulas

We search for isotropic stochastic gravitational-wave background (SGWB) in the International Pulsar Timing Array second data release. By modeling the SGWB as a power-law, we find very strong Bayesian evidence for a common-spectrum process,…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2025-03-28 Zu-Cheng Chen , Yu-Mei Wu , Qing-Guo Huang

In this paper we investigate the Bayesian approach to inverse Robin problems. These are problems for certain elliptic boundary value problems of determining a Robin coefficient on a hidden part of the boundary from Cauchy data on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Aksel Kaastrup Rasmussen , Fanny Seizilles , Mark Girolami , Ieva Kazlauskaite

Spatiotemporal time series are usually collected via monitoring sensors placed at different locations, which usually contain missing values due to various failures, such as mechanical damages and Internet outages. Imputing the missing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Baoyu Jing , Dawei Zhou , Kan Ren , Carl Yang

As a type of multi-dimensional sequential data, the spatial and temporal dependencies of electroencephalogram (EEG) signals should be further investigated. Thus, in this paper, we propose a novel spatial-temporal progressive attention model…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Yang Li , Wei Liu , Tianzhi Feng , Fu Li , Chennan Wu , Boxun Fu , Zhifu Zhao , Xiaotian Wang , Guangming Shi

Empirical Bayes (EB) improves the accuracy of simultaneous inference "by learning from the experience of others" (Efron, 2012). Classical EB theory focuses on latent variables that are iid draws from a fitted prior (Efron, 2019). Modern…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-24 Bohan Wu , Eli N. Weinstein , David M. Blei

We propose a novel Bayesian framework for changepoint detection in large-scale spherical spatiotemporal data, with broad applicability in environmental and climate sciences. Our approach models changepoints as spatially dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Samantha Shi-Jun , Bo Li

In this paper we detail the reformulation and rewrite of core functions in the spBayes R package. These efforts have focused on improving computational efficiency, flexibility, and usability for point-referenced data models. Attention is…

Computation · Statistics 2013-10-31 Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee , Alan E. Gelfand

We first propose the concept of Stepanov-like weighted pseudo-almost automorphic on time-space scales and we apply this type of oscillation to high-order BAM neural networks with mixed delays. Then, we study the existence and exponential…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-03-15 Adnène Arbi

Predicting high-dimensional dynamical systems with irregular time steps presents significant challenges for current data-driven algorithms. These irregularities arise from missing data, sparse observations, or adaptive computational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-27 Kewei Zhu , Yanze Xin , Jinwei Hu , Xiaoyuan Cheng , Yiming Yang , Sibo Cheng

We develop a method for probabilistic prediction of extreme value hot-spots in a spatio-temporal framework, tailored to big datasets containing important gaps. In this setting, direct calculation of summaries from data, such as the minimum…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-02 Daniela Castro-Camilo , Linda Mhalla , Thomas Opitz

We study preferential Bayesian optimization (BO) where reliable feedback is limited to pairwise comparison called duels. An important challenge in preferential BO, which uses the preferential Gaussian process (GP) model to represent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Shion Takeno , Masahiro Nomura , Masayuki Karasuyama

Wavelet (Besov) priors are a promising way of reconstructing indirectly measured fields in a regularized manner. We demonstrate how wavelets can be used as a localized basis for reconstructing permeability fields with sharp interfaces from…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-07-09 Philipp Wacker , Peter Knabner

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian matrix-variate spatiotemporal modeling framework for jointly analyzing multiple response variables observed at spatial locations over time. The approach relaxes the standard assumption of spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-23 Rodrigo de Souza Bulhões , Marina Silva Paez , Dani Gamerman

This article introduces novel and practicable Bayesian factor analysis frameworks that are computationally feasible for moderate to large spatiotemporal data. Previous Bayesian analysis of spatiotemporal data has utilized a Bayesian factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yifan Cheng , Cheng Li

The problem of training spiking neural networks (SNNs) is a necessary precondition to understanding computations within the brain, a field still in its infancy. Previous work has shown that supervised learning in multi-layer SNNs enables…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-03-12 Amirhossein Tavanaei , Anthony S. Maida

Bayesian methods have been widely used in the last two decades to infer statistical properties of spatially variable coefficients in partial differential equations from measurements of the solutions of these equations. Yet, in many cases…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-01 David Aristoff , Wolfgang Bangerth

Epidemic data often possess certain characteristics, such as the presence of many zeros, the spatial nature of the disease spread mechanism or environmental noise. This paper addresses these issues via suitable Bayesian modelling. In doing…

Applications · Statistics 2014-03-10 C. Malesios , N. Demiris , K. Kalogeropoulos , I. Ntzoufras

Stochastic Spatio-Temporal processes are prevalent across domains ranging from modeling of plasma to the turbulence in fluids to the wave function of quantum systems. This letter studies a measure-theoretic description of such systems by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-25 George I. Boutselis , Ethan N. Evans , Marcus A. Pereira , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Inverse problems are ubiquitous in nature, arising in almost all areas of science and engineering ranging from geophysics and climate science to astrophysics and biomechanics. One of the central challenges in solving inverse problems is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-21 Dhruv V Patel , Deep Ray , Assad A Oberai