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We present two sharp, closed-form empirical Bernstein inequalities for symmetric random matrices with bounded eigenvalues. By sharp, we mean that both inequalities adapt to the unknown variance in a tight manner: the deviation captured by…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-19 Hongjian Wang , Aaditya Ramdas

We establish sharp large-deviation asymptotic estimates for the maximum order statistic of i.i.d.\ standard normal random variables on all Borel subsets of the positive real line. This result yields more accurate tail approximations than…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-23 José M. Zapata

We consider a two-dimensional Hamiltonian system perturbed by a small diffusion term, whose coefficient is state-dependent and non-degenerate. As a result, the process consists of the fast motion along the level curves and slow motion…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-24 Shuo Yan

In this paper we study empirical measures which can be thought as a decoupled version of the empirical measures generated by random matrices. We prove the large deviation principle with the rate function, which is finite only on product…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Wlodek Bryc

We present large deviations estimates in the supremum norm for a system of independent random walks superposed with a birth-and-death dynamics evolving on the discrete torus with $N$ sites. The scaling limit considered is the so-called…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-26 Tertuliano Franco , Luana A. Gurgel , Bernardo N. B. de Lima

We prove a large deviation result for a random symmetric n x n matrix with independent identically distributed entries to have a few eigenvalues of size n. If the spectrum S survives when the matrix is rescaled by a factor of n, it can only…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-04-22 Sourav Chatterjee , S. R. S. Varadhan

In this paper we prove scalar and sample path large deviation principles for a large class of Poisson cluster processes. As a consequence, we provide a large deviation principle for ergodic Hawkes point processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Charles Bordenave , Giovanni Luca Torrisi

The theorem of Furstenberg and Kesten provides a strong law of large numbers for the norm of a product of random matrices. This can be extended under various assumptions, covering nonnegative as well as invertible matrices, to a law of…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-10 Dariusz Buraczewski , Sebastian Mentemeier

In this paper we establish a large deviations type estimate for strongly mixing Markov chains with respect to the Lp norm. As applications we derive such estimates for the iterates of a locally constant random cocycle with mixed rank, as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-02-10 Anselmo Pontes

We obtain large deviation results for a two time-scale model of jump-diffusion processes. The processes on the two time scales are fully inter-dependent, the slow process has small perturbative noise and the fast process is ergodic. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-19 Rohini Kumar , Lea Popovic

We derive a large deviation principle for families of random variables in the basin of attraction of spectrally positive stable distributions by proving a uniform version of the Tauberian theorem for Laplace-Stieltjes transforms. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-25 Giampaolo Cristadoro , Gaia Pozzoli

Let $(\xi_i,\mathcal{F}_i)_{i\geq1}$ be a sequence of martingale differences. Set $X_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i $ and $ \langle X \rangle_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \mathbf{E}(\xi_i^2|\mathcal{F}_{i-1}).$ We prove Cram\'er's moderate deviation expansions for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-03-04 Xiequan Fan , Qi-Man Shao

Empirical researchers often trim observations with small denominator A when they estimate moments of the form E[B/A]. Large trimming is a common practice to mitigate variance, but it incurs large trimming bias. This paper provides a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-12 Yuya Sasaki , Takuya Ura

We consider method-of-quantiles estimators of unknown parameters, namely the analogue of method-of-moments estimators obtained by matching empirical and theoretical quantiles at some probability level lambda in (0,1). The aim is to present…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-20 Valeria Bignozzi , Claudio Macci , Lea Petrella

We show sharp bounds for probabilities of large deviations for sums of independent random variables satisfying Bernstein's condition. One such bound is very close to the tail of the standard Gaussian law in certain case; other bounds…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-13 Xiequan Fan , Ion Grama , Quansheng Liu

We apply Lindeberg's method, invented to prove a central limit theorem, to analyze the moderate deviations around such a central limit theorem. In particular, we will show moderate deviation principles for martingales as well as for random…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-03 Peter Eichelsbacher , Matthias Löwe

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for estimating treatment effects, and randomization serves as a reasoned basis for inference. In widely used stratified randomized experiments, randomization-based finite-population asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Haoyang Yu , Ke Zhu , Hanzhong Liu

The coefficient of variation (CV) is commonly used to measure relative dispersion. However, since it is based on the sample mean and standard deviation, outliers can adversely affect the CV. Additionally, for skewed distributions the mean…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-28 Chandima N. P. G. Arachchige , Luke A. Prendergast , Robert G. Staudte

We consider the problem of detecting a general sparse mixture and obtain an explicit characterization of the phase transition under some conditions, generalizing the univariate results of Cai and Wu. Additionally, we provide a sufficient…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Subhodh Kotekal

We prove a moderate deviations principles for the size of the largest connected component in a random $d$-uniform hypergraph. The key tool is a version of the exploration process, that is also used to investigate the giant component of an…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-19 Jingjia Liu , Matthias Löwe
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