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Time series forecasting lies at the core of important real-world applications in many fields of science and engineering. The abundance of large time series datasets that consist of complex patterns and long-term dependencies has led to the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Nancy Xu , Chrysoula Kosma , Michalis Vazirgiannis

Understanding how urban residents travel between neighborhoods and destinations is critical for transportation planning, mobility management, and public health. By mining historical origin-to-destination flow patterns with spatial,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Lin Pang , Jidong J. Yang

Node centralities play a pivotal role in network science, social network analysis, and recommender systems. In temporal data, static path-based centralities like closeness or betweenness can give misleading results about the true importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-11 Franziska Heeg , Ingo Scholtes

Weather Forecasting is an attractive challengeable task due to its influence on human life and complexity in atmospheric motion. Supported by massive historical observed time series data, the task is suitable for data-driven approaches,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Minbo Ma , Peng Xie , Fei Teng , Tianrui Li , Bin Wang , Shenggong Ji , Junbo Zhang

Next Point-of-Interest (POI) recommendation is a critical task in location-based services, aiming to predict users' next visits based on their check-in histories. While many existing methods leverage Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Yu Lei , Limin Shen , Zhu Sun , Tiantian He , Yew-Soon Ong

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

In Location-Based Services, Point-Of-Interest(POI) recommendation plays a crucial role in both user experience and business opportunities. Graph neural networks have been proven effective in providing personalized POI recommendation…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-10-25 Shaohua Liu , Yu Qi , Gen Li , Mingjian Chen , Teng Zhang , Jia Cheng , Jun Lei

Session-based recommendations which predict the next action by understanding a user's interaction behavior with items within a relatively short ongoing session have recently gained increasing popularity. Previous research has focused on…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Eunkyu Oh , Taehun Kim

Traditional methods for demand forecasting only focus on modeling the temporal dependency. However, forecasting on spatio-temporal data requires modeling of complex nonlinear relational and spatial dependencies. In addition, dynamic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Hongjie Chen , Ryan A. Rossi , Kanak Mahadik , Hoda Eldardiry

Effective congestion management along signalized corridors is essential for improving productivity and reducing costs, with arterial travel time serving as a key performance metric. Traditional approaches, such as Coordinated Signal Timing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-17 Nooshin Yousefzadeh , Rahul Sengupta , Sanjay Ranka

Next point-of-interest (POI) recommendation aims to predict a user's next destination based on sequential check-in history and a set of POI candidates. Graph neural networks (GNNs) have demonstrated a remarkable capability in this endeavor…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-05 Liang Wang , Shu Wu , Qiang Liu , Yanqiao Zhu , Xiang Tao , Mengdi Zhang , Liang Wang

We present Bayesian Spillover Graphs (BSG), a novel method for learning temporal relationships, identifying critical nodes, and quantifying uncertainty for multi-horizon spillover effects in a dynamic system. BSG leverages both an…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Grace Deng , David S. Matteson

Accurate traffic forecasting is essential for smart cities to achieve traffic control, route planning, and flow detection. Although many spatial-temporal methods are currently proposed, these methods are deficient in capturing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-07 Aoyu Liu , Yaying Zhang

We introduce De Bruijn Graph Neural Networks (DBGNNs), a novel time-aware graph neural network architecture for time-resolved data on dynamic graphs. Our approach accounts for temporal-topological patterns that unfold in the causal topology…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Lisi Qarkaxhija , Vincenzo Perri , Ingo Scholtes

The price movement prediction of stock market has been a classical yet challenging problem, with the attention of both economists and computer scientists. In recent years, graph neural network has significantly improved the prediction…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-16 Sheng Xiang , Dawei Cheng , Chencheng Shang , Ying Zhang , Yuqi Liang

Modeling multivariate time series has long been a subject that has attracted researchers from a diverse range of fields including economics, finance, and traffic. A basic assumption behind multivariate time series forecasting is that its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Zonghan Wu , Shirui Pan , Guodong Long , Jing Jiang , Xiaojun Chang , Chengqi Zhang

Accurate epidemic forecasting is a critical task in controlling disease transmission. Many deep learning-based models focus only on static or dynamic graphs when constructing spatial information, ignoring their relationship. Additionally,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-04 Junkai Mao , Yuexing Han , Gouhei Tanaka , Bing Wang

Research in deep learning models to forecast traffic intensities has gained great attention in recent years due to their capability to capture the complex spatio-temporal relationships within the traffic data. However, most state-of-the-art…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-29 Amit Roy , Kashob Kumar Roy , Amin Ahsan Ali , M Ashraful Amin , A K M Mahbubur Rahman

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi

Modeling complex spatiotemporal dependencies in correlated traffic series is essential for traffic prediction. While recent works have shown improved prediction performance by using neural networks to extract spatiotemporal correlations,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-08 Junpeng Lin , Ziyue Li , Zhishuai Li , Lei Bai , Rui Zhao , Chen Zhang
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