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We consider the discrete-time filtering problem in scenarios where the observation noise is degenerate or low. More precisely, one is given access to a discrete time observation sequence which at any time $k$ depends only on the state of an…

Computation · Statistics 2025-11-17 Abylay Zhumekenov , Alexandros Beskos , Dan Crisan , Ajay Jasra , Nikolas Kantas

Dynamic relational processes, such as e-mail exchanges, bank loans and scientific citations, are important examples of dynamic networks, in which the relational events consistute time-stamped edges. There are contexts where the network…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-24 Igor Artico , Ernst C. Wit

Intensive longitudinal studies are becoming progressively more prevalent across many social science areas, especially in psychology. New technologies like smart-phones, fitness trackers, and the Internet of Things make it much easier than…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-17 Yunxiao Chen , Siliang Zhang

Latent position models are widely used for the analysis of networks in a variety of research fields. In fact, these models possess a number of desirable theoretical properties, and are particularly easy to interpret. However, statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-08 Riccardo Rastelli , Florian Maire , Nial Friel

Networks observed in real world like social networks, collaboration networks etc., exhibit temporal dynamics, i.e. nodes and edges appear and/or disappear over time. In this paper, we propose a generative, latent space based, statistical…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-08 Shubham Gupta , Gaurav Sharma , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Time series with long-term structure arise in a variety of contexts and capturing this temporal structure is a critical challenge in time series analysis for both inference and forecasting settings. Traditionally, state space models have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Anna K. Yanchenko , Sayan Mukherjee

Learning or identifying dynamics from a sequence of high-dimensional observations is a difficult challenge in many domains, including reinforcement learning and control. The problem has recently been studied from a generative perspective…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-07-12 Oliver Limoyo , Bryan Chan , Filip Marić , Brandon Wagstaff , Rupam Mahmood , Jonathan Kelly

We introduce a novel latent vector space model that jointly learns the latent representations of words, e-commerce products and a mapping between the two without the need for explicit annotations. The power of the model lies in its ability…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2016-08-26 Christophe Van Gysel , Maarten de Rijke , Evangelos Kanoulas

The ability to accurately model random fields plays a critical role in science and engineering for problems involving uncertain, spatially-varying quantities such as heterogeneous material properties and turbulent flows. Deep generative…

Hidden Markov models have successfully been applied as models of discrete time series in many fields. Often, when applied in practice, the parameters of these models have to be estimated. The currently predominating identification methods,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-24 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Bo Wahlberg

In reinforcement learning (RL), world models serve as internal simulators, enabling agents to predict environment dynamics and future outcomes in order to make informed decisions. While previous approaches leveraging discrete latent spaces,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Aidan Scannell , Mohammadreza Nakhaei , Kalle Kujanpää , Yi Zhao , Kevin Sebastian Luck , Arno Solin , Joni Pajarinen

This paper proposes a generative model, the latent Dirichlet hidden Markov models (LDHMM), for characterizing a database of sequential behaviors (sequences). LDHMMs posit that each sequence is generated by an underlying Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-05-27 Yin Song , Longbing Cao , Xuhui Fan , Wei Cao , Jian Zhang

Latent space models are frequently used for modeling single-layer networks and include many popular special cases, such as the stochastic block model and the random dot product graph. However, they are not well-developed for more complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-09 Peter W. MacDonald , Elizaveta Levina , Ji Zhu

Variational Autoencoders are powerful models for unsupervised learning. However deep models with several layers of dependent stochastic variables are difficult to train which limits the improvements obtained using these highly expressive…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-30 Casper Kaae Sønderby , Tapani Raiko , Lars Maaløe , Søren Kaae Sønderby , Ole Winther

Even simply-defined, finite-state generators produce stochastic processes that require tracking an uncountable infinity of probabilistic features for optimal prediction. For processes generated by hidden Markov chains the consequences are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-09-15 Alexandra M. Jurgens , James P. Crutchfield

This work presents a scalable control framework based on nonlinear Model Predictive Control for high-dimensional dynamical systems. The proposed approach addresses the key challenges of model scalability and partial observability by…

Dynamic network data have become ubiquitous in social network analysis, with new information becoming available that captures when friendships form, when corporate transactions happen and when countries interact with each other. Flexible…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-16 Yunran Chen , Alexander Volfovsky

Deep generative networks have been widely used for learning mappings from a low-dimensional latent space to a high-dimensional data space. In many cases, data transformations are defined by linear paths in this latent space. However, the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-06 Marissa Connor , Christopher Rozell

Observational longitudinal studies are a common means to study treatment efficacy and safety in chronic mental illness. In many such studies, treatment changes may be initiated by either the patient or by their clinician and can thus vary…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-12 Zekun Xu , Eric Laber , Ana-Maria Staicu , Emanuel Severus

In this work, we deal with a bivariate time series of wind speed and direction. Our observed data have peculiar features, such as informative missing values, non-reliable measures under a specific condition and interval-censored data, that…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-18 Gianluca Mastrantonio , Gianfranco Calise