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Graph neural networks (GNNs) have been shown to be astonishingly capable models for molecular property prediction, particularly as surrogates for expensive density functional theory calculations of relaxed energy for novel material…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Joseph Musielewicz , Janice Lan , Matt Uyttendaele , John R. Kitchin

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as a prominent class of data-driven methods for molecular property prediction. However, a key limitation of typical GNN models is their inability to quantify uncertainties in the predictions. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Shengli Jiang , Shiyi Qin , Reid C. Van Lehn , Prasanna Balaprakash , Victor M. Zavala

Machine-learned potentials (MLPs) have revolutionized materials discovery by providing accurate and efficient predictions of molecular and material properties. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as a state-of-the-art approach due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Tirtha Vinchurkar , Kareem Abdelmaqsoud , John R. Kitchin

Effectively predicting molecular interactions has the potential to accelerate molecular dynamics by multiple orders of magnitude and thus revolutionize chemical simulations. Graph neural networks (GNNs) have recently shown great successes…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-06-25 Johannes Gasteiger , Florian Becker , Stephan Günnemann

Uncertainty estimation (UE) techniques -- such as the Gaussian process (GP), Bayesian neural networks (BNN), Monte Carlo dropout (MCDropout) -- aim to improve the interpretability of machine learning models by assigning an estimated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Yehao Liu , Matteo Pagliardini , Tatjana Chavdarova , Sebastian U. Stich

Neural networks (NNs) lack measures of "reliability" estimation that would enable reasoning over their predictions. Despite the vital importance, especially in areas of human well-being and health, state-of-the-art uncertainty estimation…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Lorena Qendro , Jagmohan Chauhan , Alberto Gil C. P. Ramos , Cecilia Mascolo

While graph neural networks (GNNs) are widely used for node and graph representation learning tasks, the reliability of GNN uncertainty estimates under distribution shifts remains relatively under-explored. Indeed, while post-hoc…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Puja Trivedi , Mark Heimann , Rushil Anirudh , Danai Koutra , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is an important component of molecular property prediction, particularly for drug discovery applications where model predictions direct experimental design and where unanticipated imprecision wastes valuable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-21 Lior Hirschfeld , Kyle Swanson , Kevin Yang , Regina Barzilay , Connor W. Coley

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are powerful machine learning prediction models on graph-structured data. However, GNNs lack rigorous uncertainty estimates, limiting their reliable deployment in settings where the cost of errors is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-01 Kexin Huang , Ying Jin , Emmanuel Candès , Jure Leskovec

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have shown remarkable performance in the healthcare domain. However, what remained challenging is quantifying the predictive uncertainty of GNNs, which is an important aspect of trustworthiness in clinical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Hirad Daneshvar , Reza Samavi

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have been extensively used in various real-world applications. However, the predictive uncertainty of GNNs stemming from diverse sources such as inherent randomness in data and model training errors can lead to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-11 Fangxin Wang , Yuqing Liu , Kay Liu , Yibo Wang , Sourav Medya , Philip S. Yu

Advances in deep neural network (DNN) based molecular property prediction have recently led to the development of models of remarkable accuracy and generalization ability, with graph convolution neural networks (GCNNs) reporting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-09 Gabriele Scalia , Colin A. Grambow , Barbara Pernici , Yi-Pei Li , William H. Green

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs), a generalization of neural networks to graph-structured data, are often implemented using message passes between entities of a graph. While GNNs are effective for node classification, link prediction and graph…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-01 Uday Shankar Shanthamallu , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan , Andreas Spanias

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are powerful tools on graph data. However, their predictions are mis-calibrated and lack interpretability, limiting their adoption in critical applications. To address this issue, we propose a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Lingkai Kong , Haotian Sun , Yuchen Zhuang , Haorui Wang , Wenhao Mu , Chao Zhang

Recent performance breakthroughs in Artificial intelligence (AI) and Machine learning (ML), especially advances in Deep learning (DL), the availability of powerful, easy-to-use ML libraries (e.g., scikit-learn, TensorFlow, PyTorch.), and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Mahmoud Yaseen , Xu Wu

Safe deployment of graph neural networks (GNNs) under distribution shift requires models to provide accurate confidence indicators (CI). However, while it is well-known in computer vision that CI quality diminishes under distribution shift,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-21 Puja Trivedi , Mark Heimann , Rushil Anirudh , Danai Koutra , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Neural Network (NN) models provide potential to speed up the drug discovery process and reduce its failure rates. The success of NN models require uncertainty quantification (UQ) as drug discovery explores chemical space beyond the training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 Ya Ju Fan , Jonathan E. Allen , Kevin S. McLoughlin , Da Shi , Brian J. Bennion , Xiaohua Zhang , Felice C. Lightstone

Accurate quantification of both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties is essential when deploying Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) in high-stakes applications such as drug discovery and financial fraud detection, where reliable predictions are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-12 Linlin Yu , Kangshuo Li , Pritom Kumar Saha , Yifei Lou , Feng Chen

Advances in machine learning have led to graph neural network-based methods for drug discovery, yielding promising results in molecular design, chemical synthesis planning, and molecular property prediction. However, current graph neural…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-13 Jiahua Rao , Shuangjia Zheng , Yuedong Yang

When employing deep neural networks (DNNs) for semantic segmentation in safety-critical applications like automotive perception or medical imaging, it is important to estimate their performance at runtime, e.g. via uncertainty estimates or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-18 Edgar Heinert , Stephan Tilgner , Timo Palm , Matthias Rottmann
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