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We consider a class of semi-parametric dynamic models with strong white noise errors. This class of processes includes the standard Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model, the nonfundamental structural VAR, the mixed causal-noncausal models, as…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-07-16 Christian Gourieroux , Joann Jasiak

This paper investigates the properties of the Generalized Covariance (GCov) estimator under misspecification and constraints with application to processes with local explosive patterns, such as causal-noncausal and double autoregressive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-09-18 Aryan Manafi Neyazi

We introduce a regularized Generalized Covariance (RGCov) estimator as an extension of the GCov estimator to high dimensional setting that results either from high-dimensional data or a large number of nonlinear transformations used in the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-29 Francesco Giancaterini , Alain Hecq , Joann Jasiak , Aryan Manafi Neyazi

Stochastic approximation (SA) is a powerful class of iterative algorithms for nonlinear root-finding that can be used for minimizing a loss function, $L(\boldsymbol{\theta})$, with respect to a parameter vector $\boldsymbol{\theta}$, when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-24 Karla Hernández Cuevas

This paper proposes a Sequential Monte Carlo approach for the Bayesian estimation of mixed causal and noncausal models. Unlike previous Bayesian estimation methods developed for these models, Sequential Monte Carlo offers extensive…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-08 Gianluca Cubadda , Francesco Giancaterini , Stefano Grassi

Causal inference is a critical research area with multi-disciplinary origins and applications, ranging from statistics, computer science, economics, psychology to public health. In many scientific research, randomized experiments provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Jingying Zeng

We study the semiparametric efficient estimation of a class of linear functionals in settings where a complete multivariate dataset is supplemented by additional datasets recording subsets of the variables of interest. These datasets are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Thomas B. Berrett

Multivariate regression techniques are commonly applied to explore the associations between large numbers of outcomes and predictors. In real-world applications, the outcomes are often of mixed types, including continuous measurements,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-19 Aditya Mishra , Dipak K. Dey , Yong Chen , Kun Chen

Causal inference methods for observational data are highly regarded due to their wide applicability. While there are already numerous methods available for de-confounding bias, these methods generally assume that covariates consist solely…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-30 Yonghe Zhao , Huiyan Sun

Autocovariances are a fundamental quantity of interest in Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations with autocorrelation function (ACF) plots being an integral visualization tool for performance assessment. Unfortunately, for slow-mixing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-20 Medha Agarwal , Dootika Vats

Several methods have been recently proposed for estimating sparse Gaussian graphical models using $\ell_{1}$ regularization on the inverse covariance matrix. Despite recent advances, contemporary applications require methods that are even…

Computation · Statistics 2014-05-15 Onkar Dalal , Bala Rajaratnam

The semiparametric accelerated failure time model is not as widely used as the Cox relative risk model mainly due to computational difficulties. Recent developments in least squares estimation and induced smoothing estimating equations…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-02 Steven Chiou , Junghi Kim , Jun Yan

This paper presents a new optimization approach to causal estimation. Given data that contains covariates and an outcome, which covariates are causes of the outcome, and what is the strength of the causality? In classical machine learning…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-22 Mingzhang Yin , Yixin Wang , David M. Blei

Due to the highly non-convex nature of large-scale robust parameter estimation, avoiding poor local minima is challenging in real-world applications where input data is contaminated by a large or unknown fraction of outliers. In this paper,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-03-23 Huu Le , Christopher Zach

We study nonlinear serial dependence tests for non-Gaussian time series and residuals of dynamic models based on portmanteau statistics involving nonlinear autocovariances. A new test with an asymptotic $\chi^2$ distribution is introduced…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Joann Jasiak , Aryan Manafi Neyazi

Self-optimizing control (SOC) aims to maintain near-optimal process operation by judiciously selecting controlled variables (CVs). In this series of work, the generalized global SOC (g2SOC) approach is proposed, which extends the concept of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Chenchen Zhou , Hongxin Su , Xinhui Tang , Yi Cao , Shuang-Hua Yang , Lingjian Ye

In machine learning, nonconvex optimization problems with multiple local optimums are often encountered. Graduated Optimization Algorithm (GOA) is a popular heuristic method to obtain global optimums of nonconvex problems through…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-07-11 Li Chen , Shuisheng Zhou , Zhuan Zhang

Many machine learning and optimization algorithms can be cast as instances of stochastic approximation (SA). The convergence rate of these algorithms is known to be slow, with the optimal mean squared error (MSE) of order $O(n^{-1})$. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-13 Caio Kalil Lauand , Sean Meyn

We propose a new stochastic optimization framework for empirical risk minimization problems such as those that arise in machine learning. The traditional approaches, such as (mini-batch) stochastic gradient descent (SGD), utilize an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-02-04 Kenji Kawaguchi , Haihao Lu

Many machine learning problems can be framed in the context of estimating functions, and often these are time-dependent functions that are estimated in real-time as observations arrive. Gaussian processes (GPs) are an attractive choice for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-09 Michael Minyi Zhang , Bianca Dumitrascu , Sinead A. Williamson , Barbara E. Engelhardt
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