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An alternative data-driven modeling approach has been proposed and employed to gain fundamental insights into robot motion interaction with granular terrain at certain length scales. The approach is based on an integration of dimension…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-13 Guanjin Wang , Xiangxue Zhao , Shapour Azarm , Balakumar Balachandran

Understanding which parts of a dynamical system cause each other is extremely relevant in fundamental and applied sciences. However, inferring causal links from observational data, namely without direct manipulations of the system, is still…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-06-27 Matteo Allione , Vittorio Del Tatto , Alessandro Laio

In spite of the (correct) common-wisdom statement correlation does not imply causation, a proper employ of time correlations and of fluctuation-response theory allows to understand the causal relations between the variables of a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-01-04 Marco Baldovin , Fabio Cecconi , Angelo Vulpiani

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Going beyond correlations, the understanding and identification of causal relationships in observational time series, an important subfield of Causal Discovery, poses a major challenge. The lack of access to a well-defined ground truth for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-04-19 Andrew R. Lawrence , Marcus Kaiser , Rui Sampaio , Maksim Sipos

Urban-induced microclimate variations, such as urban heat islands and air pollution, scale with city size, producing distinctive relations between average climate variables and city-scale quantities (e.g., total population). However, these…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-05-20 Marc Duran-Sala , Martin Hendrick , Gabriele Manoli

At the heart of causal structure learning from observational data lies a deceivingly simple question: given two statistically dependent random variables, which one has a causal effect on the other? This is impossible to answer using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-13 Nikolaos Nikolaou , Konstantinos Sechidis

A functional time series approach is proposed for investigating spatial correlation in daily maximum temperature forecast errors for 111 cities spread across the U.S. The modelling of spatial correlation is most fruitful for longer forecast…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Phillip A. Jang , David S. Matteson

We propose a sparse regression method capable of discovering the governing partial differential equation(s) of a given system by time series measurements in the spatial domain. The regression framework relies on sparsity promoting…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2016-09-22 Samuel H. Rudy , Steven L. Brunton , Joshua L. Proctor , J. Nathan Kutz

This paper presents a new data-driven finite element framework that is applicable to a broad range of engineering simulation problems. In the data-driven approach, the conservation laws and boundary conditions are satisfied by means of the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Adriana Kuliková , Andrei G. Shvarts , Łukasz Kaczmarczyk , Chris J. Pearce

The extraction of invariant causal relationships from time series data with environmental attributes is critical for robust decision-making in domains such as climate science and environmental monitoring. However, existing methods either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-04 Ziruo Hao , Tao Yang , Xiaofeng Wu , Bo Hu

We provide a novel approach to model space-time random fields where the temporal argument is decomposed into two parts. The former captures the linear argument, which is related, for instance, to the annual evolution of the field. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-18 Alfredo Alegría , Emilio Porcu

We propose a new method for spatio-temporal forecasting on arbitrarily distributed points. Assuming that the observed system follows an unknown partial differential equation, we derive a continuous-time model for the dynamics of the data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-18 Marten Lienen , Stephan Günnemann

Existing methods for diagnosing predictability in climate indices often make a number of unjustified assumptions about the climate system that can lead to misleading conclusions. We present a flexible family of state-space models capable of…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-10 Philip G. Sansom , David B. Stephenson , Daniel B. Williamson

"What-if" questions are intuitively generated and commonly asked during the design process. Engineers and architects need to inherently conduct design decisions, progressing from one phase to another. They either use empirical domain…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-05 Xia Chen , Jimmy Abualdenien , Manav Mahan Singh , André Borrmann , Philipp Geyer

In this work, we proposes a CO2-temperature network model that links multi-zone mass transport and thermal dynamics through shared latent drivers, airflow and occupancy. The thermal component is formulated as a resistance-capacitance (RC)…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Zhijian Wang , Stein K. F. Stoter , Clemens V. Verhoosel , Idoia Cortes Garcia

Atmospheric flows exhibit long-range spatiotemporal correlations manifested as the fractal geometry to the global cloud cover pattern concomitant with inverse power law form for power spectra of temporal fluctuations on all space-time…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 A. M. Selvam , S. Fadnavis

Addressing complex meteorological processes at a fine spatial resolution requires substantial computational resources. To accelerate meteorological simulations, researchers have utilized neural networks to downscale meteorological variables…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-30 Jing Hu , Honghu Zhang , Peng Zheng , Jialin Mu , Xiaomeng Huang , Xi Wu

While most spatial data can be modeled with the assumption that distant points are uncorrelated, some problems require dependence at both far and short distances. We introduce a model to directly incorporate dependence in phenomena that…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-04 Joshua Hewitt , Jennifer A. Hoeting , James Done , Erin Towler

In this study, we address causal inference when only observational data and a valid causal ordering from the causal graph are available. We introduce a set of flow models that can recover component-wise, invertible transformation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Minh Khoa Le , Kien Do , Truyen Tran