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Multi-fidelity models are becoming more prevalent in engineering, particularly in aerospace, as they combine both the computational efficiency of low-fidelity models with the high accuracy of higher-fidelity simulations. Various…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-09 Andrea Vaiuso , Gabriele Immordino , Marcello Righi , Andrea Da Ronch

Surrogate models (including deep neural networks and other machine learning algorithms in supervised learning) are capable of approximating arbitrarily complex, high-dimensional input-output problems in science and engineering, but require…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Miguel Sánchez-Domínguez , Lucas Lacasa , Javier de Vicente , Gonzalo Rubio , Eusebio Valero

Estimating probability of failure in aerospace systems is a critical requirement for flight certification and qualification. Failure probability estimation involves resolving tails of probability distribution, and Monte Carlo sampling…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-09-22 S. Ashwin Renganathan , Vishwas Rao , Ionel M. Navon

This paper presents a proof-of-concept digital twin framework for simulation-driven diabetes modeling using benchmark clinical data, synthetic temporal augmentation, and illustrative continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) analysis. Unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Zarrin Monirzadeh

We present a probabilistic deep learning methodology that enables the construction of predictive data-driven surrogates for stochastic systems. Leveraging recent advances in variational inference with implicit distributions, we put forth a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Yibo Yang , Paris Perdikaris

Over the past decade, scientific machine learning has transformed the development of mathematical and computational frameworks for analyzing, modeling, and predicting complex systems. From inverse problems to numerical PDEs, dynamical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-26 Matthias Chung , Deepanshu Verma , Max Collins , Amit N. Subrahmanya , Varuni Katti Sastry , Vishwas Rao

Various frameworks have been proposed to predict mechanical system responses by combining data from different fidelities for design optimization and uncertainty quantification as reviewed by Fern\'andez-Godino et al. and Peherstorfer et…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-05-09 Yiming Zhang , Nam-Ho Kim , Chanyoung Park , Raphael T. Haftka

To reduce training costs, several Deep neural networks (DNNs) that can learn from a small set of HF data and a sufficient number of low-fidelity (LF) data have been proposed. In these established neural networks, a parallel structure is…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-05-08 Zhihui Li , Francesco Montomoli

Numerous applications in biology, statistics, science, and engineering require generating samples from high-dimensional probability distributions. In recent years, the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method has emerged as a state-of-the-art…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Dhruv V. Patel , Jonghyun Lee , Matthew W. Farthing , Peter K. Kitanidis , Eric F. Darve

In offline data-driven multi-objective optimization (MOO), optimization is performed using surrogate models trained only on an offline dataset. These surrogate models contain inherent errors and uncertainty. This epistemic uncertainty can…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-30 Huanbo Lyu , Miqing Li , Shiqiao Zhou , Daniel Herring , Jelena Ninic , Zheming Zuo , Lingfeng Wang , James Andrews , Fabian Spill , Shuo Wang

When evaluating quantities of interest that depend on the solutions to differential equations, we inevitably face the trade-off between accuracy and efficiency. Especially for parametrized, time dependent problems in engineering…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Paolo Conti , Mengwu Guo , Andrea Manzoni , Jan S. Hesthaven

Data-driven surrogate models offer quick approximations to complex numerical and experimental systems but typically lack uncertainty quantification, limiting their reliability in safety-critical applications. While Bayesian methods provide…

Accurate prediction of structural dynamics is imperative for preserving digital twin fidelity throughout operational lifetimes. Parametric models with fixed nominal parameters often omit critical physical effects due to simplifications in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-12 Rohan Vitthal Thorat , Rajdip Nayek

In engineering design and scientific computing, computational cost and predictive accuracy are intrinsically coupled. High-fidelity simulations provide accurate predictions but at substantial computational costs, while lower-fidelity…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Ahmed Mohamed Eisa Nasr , Ali Elham , Haris Moazam Sheikh

Multi-fidelity surrogate modeling aims to learn an accurate surrogate at the highest fidelity level by combining data from multiple sources. Traditional methods relying on Gaussian processes can hardly scale to high-dimensional data. Deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-25 Ruijia Niu , Dongxia Wu , Kai Kim , Yi-An Ma , Duncan Watson-Parris , Rose Yu

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for probabilistic reasoning. If inference is performed in two steps, uncertainty propagation plays a crucial role in accounting for all sources of uncertainty and variability. This becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Svenja Jedhoff , Hadi Kutabi , Anne Meyer , Paul-Christian Bürkner

Surrogate modeling techniques have become indispensable in accelerating the discovery and optimization of high-entropy alloys(HEAs), especially when integrating computational predictions with sparse experimental observations. This study…

Failure probability evaluation for complex physical and engineering systems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs) are computationally intensive, especially when high-dimensional random parameters are involved. Since standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Ke Li , Kejun Tang , Jinglai Li , Tianfan Wu , Qifeng Liao

Surrogate models are often used as computationally efficient approximations to complex simulation models, enabling tasks such as solving inverse problems, sensitivity analysis, and probabilistic forward predictions, which would otherwise be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-13 Philipp Reiser , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Anneli Guthke

Data assimilation presents computational challenges because many high-fidelity models must be simulated. Various deep-learning-based surrogate modeling techniques have been developed to reduce the simulation costs associated with these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-28 Su Jiang , Louis J. Durlofsky