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Neural controlled differential equations (CDEs) are the continuous-time analogue of recurrent neural networks, as Neural ODEs are to residual networks, and offer a memory-efficient continuous-time way to model functions of potentially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-22 James Morrill , Cristopher Salvi , Patrick Kidger , James Foster , Terry Lyons

We study stochastic optimal control of rough stochastic differential equations (RSDEs). This is in the spirit of the pathwise control problem (Lions--Souganidis 1998, Buckdahn--Ma 2007; also Davis--Burstein 1992), with renewed interest and…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-24 Peter K. Friz , Khoa Lê , Huilin Zhang

The concept of the path-dependent partial differential equation (PPDE) was first introduced in the context of path-dependent derivatives in financial markets. Its semilinear form was later identified as a non-Markovian backward stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Bowen Fang , Hao Ni , Yue Wu

Recent advances in learning dynamical systems from data have shown significant promise. However, many existing methods assume access to the full state of the system -- an assumption that is rarely satisfied in practice, where systems are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Thibault Monsel , Onofrio Semeraro , Lionel Mathelin , Guillaume Charpiat

This paper studies continuous-time stochastic control problems whose controlled states are fully non-Markovian and depend on unknown model parameters. Such problems arise naturally in path-dependent stochastic differential equations,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-29 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Simone Scotti , Adolfo M. D da Silva

Traffic forecasting is one of the most popular spatio-temporal tasks in the field of machine learning. A prevalent approach in the field is to combine graph convolutional networks and recurrent neural networks for the spatio-temporal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Jeongwhan Choi , Noseong Park

In this paper, we present a discrete-type approximation scheme to solve continuous-time optimal stopping problems based on fully non-Markovian continuous processes adapted to the Brownian motion filtration. The approximations satisfy…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-24 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francesco Russo

We consider a unifying framework for stochastic control problem including the following features: partial observation, path-dependence (both with respect to the state and the control), and without any non-degeneracy condition on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-14 Elena Bandini , Andrea Cosso , Marco Fuhrman , Huyên Pham

Neural ordinary differential equations are an attractive option for modelling temporal dynamics. However, a fundamental issue is that the solution to an ordinary differential equation is determined by its initial condition, and there is no…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Patrick Kidger , James Morrill , James Foster , Terry Lyons

Neural Controlled Differential Equations (Neural CDEs) provide a powerful continuous-time framework for sequence modeling, yet the roughness of the driving control path often restricts their efficiency. Standard splines introduce…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-03 Egor Serov , Ilya Kuleshov , Alexey Zaytsev

Deep sequence models have achieved notable success in time-series analysis, such as interpolation and forecasting. Recent advances move beyond discrete-time architectures like Recurrent Neural Networks (RNNs) toward continuous-time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Haoran Li , Muhao Guo , Yang Weng , Hanghang Tong

Accurate motion control in the face of disturbances within complex environments remains a major challenge in robotics. Classical model-based approaches often struggle with nonlinearities and unstructured disturbances, while RL-based methods…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-05-23 Feng Gao , Chao Yu , Yu Wang , Yi Wu

In this article, we present a general methodology for stochastic control problems driven by the Brownian motion filtration including non-Markovian and non-semimartingale state processes controlled by mutually singular measures. The main…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-04 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Francys Andrews de Souza

Neural Stochastic Differential Equations (NSDEs) model the drift and diffusion functions of a stochastic process as neural networks. While NSDEs are known to make accurate predictions, their uncertainty quantification properties have been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir , Barbara Rakitsch , Jan Peters

We propose a PDE-based accelerated gradient algorithm for optimal feedback controls of McKean-Vlasov dynamics that involve mean-field interactions both in the state and action. The method exploits a forward-backward splitting approach and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-03 Christoph Reisinger , Wolfgang Stockinger , Yufei Zhang

We study the problem of pathwise stochastic optimal control, where the optimization is performed for each fixed realisation of the driving noise, by phrasing the problem in terms of the optimal control of rough differential equations. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-13 Andrew L. Allan , Samuel N. Cohen

In this paper, we propose a new policy iteration algorithm to compute the value function and the optimal controls of continuous time stochastic control problems. The algorithm relies on successive approximations using linear-quadratic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-09 Dylan Possamaï , Ludovic Tangpi

There has been a great deal of recent interest in learning and approximation of functions that can be expressed as expectations of a given nonlinearity with respect to its random internal parameters. Examples of such representations include…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-05 Tanya Veeravalli , Maxim Raginsky

Data-driven surrogate modeling has emerged as a promising approach for reducing computational expenses of multiscale simulations. Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) is a common choice for modeling of path-dependent behavior. However, previous…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2023-12-29 Yangzi He , Shabnam J. Semnani

Complex dynamical systems are used for predictions in many domains. Because of computational costs, models are truncated, coarsened, or aggregated. As the neglected and unresolved terms become important, the utility of model predictions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-19 Abhinav Gupta , Pierre F. J. Lermusiaux
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