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In decision-making systems, it is important to have classifiers that have calibrated uncertainties, with an optimisation objective that can be used for automated model selection and training. Gaussian processes (GPs) provide uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-05 Vincent Dutordoir , Mark van der Wilk , Artem Artemev , James Hensman

In this paper, we study the asymptotic properties (bias, variance, mean squared error) of Bernstein estimators for cumulative distribution functions and density functions near and on the boundary of the $d$-dimensional simplex. Our results…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Frédéric Ouimet

This paper gives a new representation of Pickands' constants, which arise in the study of extremes for a variety of Gaussian processes. Using this representation, we resolve the long-standing problem of devising a reliable algorithm for…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 A. B. Dieker , B. Yakir

We develop a scalable class of models for latent variable estimation using composite Gaussian processes, with a focus on derivative Gaussian processes. We jointly model multiple data sources as outputs to improve the accuracy of latent…

We consider a nonparametric regression setup, where the covariate is a random element in a complete separable metric space, and the parameter of interest associated with the conditional distribution of the response lies in a separable…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-16 Joydeep Chowdhury , Probal Chaudhuri

This note responds to "Promises and Pitfalls of Deep Kernel Learning" (Ober et al., 2021). The marginal likelihood of a Gaussian process can be compartmentalized into a data fit term and a complexity penalty. Ober et al. (2021) shows that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-09-26 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zhiting Hu , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

In this paper we introduce a reproducing kernel Hilbert space defined on $\mathbb{R}^{d+1}$ as the tensor product of a reproducing kernel defined on the unit sphere $\mathbb{S}^{d}$ in $\mathbb{R}^{d+1}$ and a reproducing kernel defined on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-12-24 Johann S. Brauchart , Josef Dick , Lou Fang

With view to applications in stochastic analysis and geometry, we introduce a new correspondence for positive definite kernels (p.d.) $K$ and their associated reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces. With this we establish two kinds of…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-28 Palle Jorgensen , Feng Tian

Gaussian process (GP) regression is a fundamental tool in Bayesian statistics. It is also known as kriging and is the Bayesian counterpart to the frequentist kernel ridge regression. Most of the theoretical work on GP regression has focused…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-27 Simon Barthelmé , Pierre-Olivier Amblard , Nicolas Tremblay , Konstantin Usevich

New asymptotic approximations of the non-central $t$ distribution are given, a generalization of the Student's $t$ distribution. Using new integral representations, we give new asymptotic expansions for large values of the noncentrality…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Amparo Gil , Javier Segura , Nico M Temme

Reconstruction of a function from noisy data is often formulated as a regularized optimization problem over an infinite-dimensional reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS). The solution describes the observed data and has a small RKHS norm.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-07-18 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , Bradley M. Bell , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto

In this note we consider the finite-dimensional parameter estimation problem associated to inverse problems. In such scenarios, one seeks to maximize the marginal likelihood associated to a Bayesian model. This latter model is connected to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Ajay Jasra , Abylay Zhumekenov

There is increasing interest in the problem of nonparametric regression with high-dimensional predictors. When the number of predictors $D$ is large, one encounters a daunting problem in attempting to estimate a $D$-dimensional surface…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-17 Yun Yang , David B. Dunson

The angular measure on the unit sphere characterizes the first-order dependence structure of the components of a random vector in extreme regions and is defined in terms of standardized margins. Its statistical recovery is an important step…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-16 Stéphane Lhaut , Johan Segers

It has long been agreed by academics that the inversion method is the method of choice for generating random variates, given the availability of the quantile function. However for several probability distributions arising in practice a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-04-03 Asad Munir , William Shaw

We study high-dimensional asymptotic performance limits of binary supervised classification problems where the class conditional densities are Gaussian with unknown means and covariances and the number of signal dimensions scales faster…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-17 Mohammad Hossein Rohban , Prakash Ishwar , Birant Orten , William C. Karl , Venkatesh Saligrama

A kernel density estimator for data on the polysphere $\mathbb{S}^{d_1}\times\cdots\times\mathbb{S}^{d_r}$, with $r,d_1,\ldots,d_r\geq 1$, is presented in this paper. We derive the main asymptotic properties of the estimator, including mean…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-08 Eduardo García-Portugués , Andrea Meilán-Vila

We study mixed models with a single grouping factor, where inference about unknown parameters requires optimizing a marginal likelihood defined by an intractable integral. Low-dimensional numerical integration techniques are regularly used…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Alex Stringer , Blair Bilodeau , Yanbo Tang

Motivated by numerical methods for solving parametric partial differential equations, this paper studies the approximation of multivariate analytic functions by algebraic polynomials. We introduce various anisotropic model classes based on…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-01-17 Andrea Bonito , Ronald DeVore , Diane Guignard , Peter Jantsch , Guergana Petrova

Asymptotic approximations of Jacobi polynomials are given in terms of elementary functions for large degree $n$ and parameters $\alpha$ and $\beta$. From these new results, asymptotic expansions of the zeros are derived and methods are…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2020-07-22 Amparo Gil , Javier Segura , Nico M. Temme
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