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This paper develops a framework for identification, estimation, and inference on the causal mechanisms driving endogenous social network formation. Identification is challenging because of unobserved confounders and reverse causality;…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-21 Maximilian Kasy , Elizabeth Linos , Sanaz Mobasseri

We propose a method of estimating the linear-in-means model of peer effects in which the peer group, defined by a social network, is endogenous in the outcome equation for peer effects. Endogeneity is due to unobservable individual…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-01 Ida Johnsson , Hyungsik Roger Moon

We propose an easy-to-use adjustment estimator for the effect of a treatment based on observational data from a single (social) network of units. The approach allows for interactions among units within the network, called interference, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-06 Meta-Lina Spohn , Leonard Henckel , Marloes H. Maathuis

The prediction for information diffusion on social networks has great practical significance in marketing and public opinion control. It aims to predict the individuals who will potentially repost the message on the social network. One type…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-30 Wenjin Xie , Xiaomeng Wang , Tao Jia

Prevention and intervention work done within community settings often face unique analytic challenges for rigorous evaluations. Since community prevention work (often geographically isolated) cannot be controlled in the same way other…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-01-29 Hsuan-Wei Lee , G. Robin Gauthier , Jerreed D. Ivanich , Lisa Wexler , Bilal Khan , Kirk Dombrowski

The rapid development of social networks has a wide range of social effects, which facilitates the study of social issues. Accurately forecasting the information propagation process within social networks is crucial for promptly…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Xinyu Li , Yutong Guo , Jixuan He , Jiacheng Zhao , Chenwei Wang

We study a family online influence maximization problems where in a sequence of rounds $t=1,\ldots,T$, a decision maker selects one from a large number of agents with the goal of maximizing influence. Upon choosing an agent, the decision…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-27 Gábor Lugosi , Gergely Neu , Julia Olkhovskaya

The ability to directly record human face-to-face interactions increasingly enables the development of detailed data-driven models for the spread of directly transmitted infectious diseases at the scale of individuals. Complete coverage of…

Network interference occurs when treatments assigned to some units affect the outcomes of others. Traditional approaches often assume that the observed network correctly specifies the interference structure. However, in practice,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Bar Weinstein , Daniel Nevo

Information diffusion and influence maximization are important and extensively studied problems in social networks. Various models and algorithms have been proposed in the literature in the context of the influence maximization problem. A…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-03-18 Mayur Mohite , Y. Narahari

This study considers testing the specification of spillover effects in causal inference. We focus on experimental settings in which the treatment assignment mechanism is known to researchers. We develop a new randomization test utilizing a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-27 Tadao Hoshino , Takahide Yanagi

In longitudinal studies where units are embedded in space or a social network, interference may arise, meaning that a unit's outcome can depend on treatment histories of others. The presence of interference poses significant challenges for…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-26 Ye Wang , Michael Jetsupphasuk

If a piece of information is released from a media site, can it spread, in 1 month, to a million web pages? This influence estimation problem is very challenging since both the time-sensitive nature of the problem and the issue of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-11-18 Nan Du , Le Song , Manuel Gomez Rodriguez , Hongyuan Zha

Contagion effect refers to the causal effect of peers' behavior on the outcome of an individual in social networks. Contagion can be confounded due to latent homophily which makes contagion effect estimation very hard: nodes in a homophilic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Zahra Fatemi , Elena Zheleva

We study experimentation under endogenous network interference. Interference patterns are mediated by an endogenous graph, where edges can be formed or eliminated as a result of treatment. We show that conventional estimators are biased in…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-21 Wenshuo Wang , Edvard Bakhitov , Dominic Coey

Social networks play an important role in analyzing the impact of individual-level interactions on societal or economic outcomes. We model interactive decision making for a community of individuals with different traits, represented by a…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-08-09 Pengyu Liu , Jie Jian

This paper studies how to design two-wave experiments in the presence of spillovers for precise inference on treatment effects. We consider units connected through a single network, local dependence among individuals, and a general class of…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-25 Davide Viviano

The influence model is a discrete-time stochastic model that succinctly captures the interactions of a network of Markov chains. The model produces a reduced-order representation of the stochastic network, and can be used to describe and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-07 Chenyuan He , Yan Wan , Frank L. Lewis

Recent years saw an increased interest in modeling and understanding the mechanisms of opinion and innovation spread through human networks. Using analysis of real-world social data, researchers are able to gain a better understanding of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-03-29 Ajay Saini , Natasha Markuzon

Biomanufacturing plays an important role in supporting public health and the growth of the bioeconomy. Modeling and studying the interaction effects among various input variables is very critical for obtaining a scientific understanding and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-26 Junkai Zhao , Jun Luo , Wei Xie , Zixuan Bai