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We provide a general mathematical framework for selective inference with supervised model selection procedures characterized by quadratic forms in the outcome variable. Forward stepwise with groups of variables is an important special case…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-05 Joshua R. Loftus , Jonathan E. Taylor

We propose a Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) formulation with a Wasserstein-based uncertainty set for selecting grouped variables under perturbations on the data for both linear regression and classification problems. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Ruidi Chen , Ioannis Ch. Paschalidis

Inference for high-dimensional logistic regression models using penalized methods has been a challenging research problem. As an illustration, a major difficulty is the significant bias of the Lasso estimator, which limits its direct…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-29 Yuming Zhang , Stéphane Guerrier , Runze Li

This paper develops a theory for group Lasso using a concept called strong group sparsity. Our result shows that group Lasso is superior to standard Lasso for strongly group-sparse signals. This provides a convincing theoretical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2009-03-17 Junzhou Huang , Tong Zhang

There has been much recent work on inference after model selection when the noise level is known, however, $\sigma$ is rarely known in practice and its estimation is difficult in high-dimensional settings. In this work we propose using the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-02-13 Xiaoying Tian , Joshua R. Loftus , Jonathan E. Taylor

The popular Lasso approach for sparse estimation can be derived via marginalization of a joint density associated with a particular stochastic model. A different marginalization of the same probabilistic model leads to a different…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-02-28 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Alessandro Chiuso , Gianluigi Pillonetto

Generative models typically sample outputs independently, and recent inference-time guidance and scaling algorithms focus on improving the quality of individual samples. However, in real-world applications, users are often presented with a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-08-22 Gaurav Parmar , Or Patashnik , Daniil Ostashev , Kuan-Chieh Wang , Kfir Aberman , Srinivasa Narasimhan , Jun-Yan Zhu

Selection bias arises when the probability that an observation enters a dataset depends on variables related to the quantities of interest, leading to systematic distortions in estimation and uncertainty quantification. For example, in…

We study the problem of estimating multiple linear regression equations for the purpose of both prediction and variable selection. Following recent work on multi-task learning Argyriou et al. [2008], we assume that the regression vectors…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-08-21 Karim Lounici , Massimiliano Pontil , Alexandre B. Tsybakov , Sara van de Geer

The inflated beta regression model is widely used for modeling continuous proportions with values at the boundaries. Maximum likelihood estimation for these models is well-known for its sensitivity to outliers, which can severely distort…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-15 Francisco Felipe Queiroz , Silvia Lopes de Paula Ferrari

Inspired by sample splitting and the reusable holdout introduced in the field of differential privacy, we consider selective inference with a randomized response. We discuss two major advantages of using a randomized response for model…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Xiaoying Tian , Jonathan E. Taylor

We observe a random measure $N$ and aim at estimating its intensity $s$. This statistical framework allows to deal simultaneously with the problems of estimating a density, the marginals of a multivariate distribution, the mean of a random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-05-12 Yannick Baraud

Given a reference model that includes all the available variables, projection predictive inference replaces its posterior with a constrained projection including only a subset of all variables. We extend projection predictive inference to…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-13 Alejandro Catalina , Paul Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

One may consider three types of statistical inference: Bayesian, frequentist, and group invariance-based. The focus here is on the last method. We consider the Poisson and binomial distributions in detail to illustrate a group invariance…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-13 B. Heller , M. Wang

We propose a new approach to mixed-frequency regressions in a high-dimensional environment that resorts to Group Lasso penalization and Bayesian techniques for estimation and inference. In particular, to improve the prediction properties of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-12 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

Selective classification, in which models can abstain on uncertain predictions, is a natural approach to improving accuracy in settings where errors are costly but abstentions are manageable. In this paper, we find that while selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-15 Erik Jones , Shiori Sagawa , Pang Wei Koh , Ananya Kumar , Percy Liang

We propose a framework for computing, optimizing and integrating with respect to a smooth marginal likelihood in statistical models that involve high-dimensional parameters/latent variables and continuous low-dimensional hyperparameters.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Omiros Papaspiliopoulos , Timothée Stumpf-Fétizon , Jonathan Weare

We propose new inference tools for forward stepwise regression, least angle regression, and the lasso. Assuming a Gaussian model for the observation vector y, we first describe a general scheme to perform valid inference after any selection…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-13 Ryan J. Tibshirani , Jonathan Taylor , Richard Lockhart , Robert Tibshirani

We introduce the localized Lasso, which is suited for learning models that are both interpretable and have a high predictive power in problems with high dimensionality $d$ and small sample size $n$. More specifically, we consider a function…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-10-17 Makoto Yamada , Koh Takeuchi , Tomoharu Iwata , John Shawe-Taylor , Samuel Kaski

We consider adaptive estimation and statistical inference for high-dimensional graph-based linear models. In our model, the coordinates of regression coefficients correspond to an underlying undirected graph. Furthermore, the given graph…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-01-30 Duzhe Wang , Po-Ling Loh
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