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Uplift models support decision-making in marketing campaign planning. Estimating the causal effect of a marketing treatment, an uplift model facilitates targeting communication to responsive customers and efficient allocation of marketing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-21 Robin M. Gubela , Stefan Lessmann , Szymon Jaroszewicz

Promotions and discounts are essential components of modern e-commerce platforms, where they are often used to incentivize customers towards purchase completion. Promotions also affect revenue and may incur a monetary loss that is often…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2021-09-02 Javier Albert , Dmitri Goldenberg

Uplift modeling is a collection of machine learning techniques for estimating causal effects of a treatment at the individual or subgroup levels. Over the last years, causality and uplift modeling have become key trends in personalization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-21 Felipe Moraes , Hugo Manuel Proença , Anastasiia Kornilova , Javier Albert , Dmitri Goldenberg

Uplift modeling, vital in online marketing, seeks to accurately measure the impact of various strategies, such as coupons or discounts, on different users by predicting the Individual Treatment Effect (ITE). In an e-commerce setting, user…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Yinqiu Huang , Shuli Wang , Min Gao , Xue Wei , Changhao Li , Chuan Luo , Yinhua Zhu , Xiong Xiao , Yi Luo

Uplift modeling has been widely employed in online marketing by predicting the response difference between the treatment and control groups, so as to identify the sensitive individuals toward interventions like coupons or discounts.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-13 Bowei He , Yunpeng Weng , Xing Tang , Ziqiang Cui , Zexu Sun , Liang Chen , Xiuqiang He , Chen Ma

Promotions and discounts have become key components of modern e-commerce platforms. For online travel platforms (OTPs), popular promotions include room upgrades, free meals and transportation services. By offering these promotions,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-29 Dmitri Goldenberg , Javier Albert , Lucas Bernardi , Pablo Estevez

Uplift modeling is a key technique for promotion optimization in recommender systems, but standard methods typically fail to account for interference, where treating one item affects the outcomes of others. This violation of the Stable Unit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Bram van den Akker

Improving user engagement and platform revenue is crucial for online marketing platforms. Uplift modeling is proposed to solve this problem, which applies different treatments (e.g., discounts, bonus) to satisfy corresponding users. Despite…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-02-25 Zexu Sun , Qiyu Han , Minqin Zhu , Hao Gong , Dugang Liu , Chen Ma

Uplift is a particular case of individual treatment effect modeling. Such models deal with cause-and-effect inference for a specific factor, such as a marketing intervention. In practice, these models are built on customer data who…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Belbahri Mouloud , Gandouet Olivier , Kazma Ghaith

Uplift modeling has been used effectively in fields such as marketing and customer retention, to target those customers who are more likely to respond due to the campaign or treatment. Essentially, it is a machine learning technique that…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-10 Kun Li , Liangshu Zhu

Uplift modeling is an emerging machine learning approach for estimating the treatment effect at an individual or subgroup level. It can be used for optimizing the performance of interventions such as marketing campaigns and product designs.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-27 Zhenyu Zhao , Totte Harinen

In modern online platforms, incentives are essential factors that enhance user engagement and increase platform revenue. Over recent years, uplift modeling has been introduced as a strategic approach to assign incentives to individual…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Zexu Sun , Hao Yang , Dugang Liu , Yunpeng Weng , Xing Tang , Xiuqiang He

Incrementality, which is used to measure the causal effect of showing an ad to a potential customer (e.g. a user in an internet platform) versus not, is a central object for advertisers in online advertising platforms. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-18 Ashwinkumar Badanidiyuru , Zhe Feng , Tianxi Li , Haifeng Xu

We study uplift estimation for combinatorial treatments. Uplift measures the pure incremental causal effect of an intervention (e.g., sending a coupon or a marketing message) on user behavior, modeled as a conditional individual treatment…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-24 Xinyan Su , Jiacan Gao , Mingyuan Ma , Xiao Xu , Xinrui Wan , Tianqi Gu , Enyun Yu , Jiecheng Guo , Zhiheng Zhang

In recent years, Optimized Cost Per Click (OCPC) and Optimized Cost Per Mille (OCPM) have emerged as the most widely adopted pricing models in the online advertising industry. However, the existing literature has yet to identify the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-09-06 Kaichen Zhang , Zixuan Yuan , Hui Xiong

Transformers have rapidly increased in popularity in recent years, achieving state-of-the-art performance in processing text, images, audio and video. However, Transformers present large computational requirements for both training and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-20 Amrit Nagarajan , Anand Raghunathan

This study provides a formal analysis of the customer targeting problem when the cost for a marketing action depends on the customer response and proposes a framework to estimate the decision variables for campaign profit optimization.…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-08-12 Johannes Haupt , Stefan Lessmann

Despite the growing popularity of machine-learning techniques in decision-making, the added value of causal-oriented strategies with respect to pure machine-learning approaches has rarely been quantified in the literature. These strategies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-22 Théo Verhelst , Robin Petit , Wouter Verbeke , Gianluca Bontempi

In online advertising, marketing interventions such as coupons introduce significant confounding bias into Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction. Observed clicks reflect a mixture of users' intrinsic preferences and the uplift induced by…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Siyun Yang , Shixiao Yang , Jian Wang , Di Fan , Kehe Cai , Haoyan Fu , Jiaming Zhang , Wenjin Wu , Peng Jiang

Big data and business analytics are critical drivers of business and societal transformations. Uplift models support a firm's decision-making by predicting the change of a customer's behavior due to a treatment. Prior work examines models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-12 Robin M. Gubela , Stefan Lessmann
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