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Machine learning (ML) is increasingly used in high-stakes settings, yet multiplicity - the existence of multiple good models - means that some predictions are essentially arbitrary. ML researchers and philosophers posit that multiplicity…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Anna P. Meyer , Yea-Seul Kim , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

Machine learning models are often used to inform real world risk assessment tasks: predicting consumer default risk, predicting whether a person suffers from a serious illness, or predicting a person's risk to appear in court. Given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-27 Jamelle Watson-Daniels , David C. Parkes , Berk Ustun

We introduce dataset multiplicity, a way to study how inaccuracies, uncertainty, and social bias in training datasets impact test-time predictions. The dataset multiplicity framework asks a counterfactual question of what the set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-24 Anna P. Meyer , Aws Albarghouthi , Loris D'Antoni

Algorithmic modeling relies on limited information in data to extrapolate outcomes for unseen scenarios, often embedding an element of arbitrariness in its decisions. A perspective on this arbitrariness that has recently gained interest is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-11 Prakhar Ganesh , Afaf Taik , Golnoosh Farnadi

Model multiplicity refers to the existence of multiple machine learning models that describe the data equally well but may produce different predictions on individual samples. In medicine, these models can admit conflicting predictions for…

Machine learning tasks may admit multiple competing models that achieve similar performance yet produce conflicting outputs for individual samples -- a phenomenon known as predictive multiplicity. We demonstrate that fairness interventions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-19 Carol Xuan Long , Hsiang Hsu , Wael Alghamdi , Flavio P. Calmon

Deep learning models have proven to be highly successful. Yet, their over-parameterization gives rise to model multiplicity, a phenomenon in which multiple models achieve similar performance but exhibit distinct underlying behaviours. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-28 Prakhar Ganesh

Model multiplicity, the phenomenon where multiple models achieve similar performance despite different underlying learned functions, introduces arbitrariness in model selection. While this arbitrariness may seem inconsequential in…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Prakhar Ganesh , Ihsan Ibrahim Daldaban , Ignacio Cofone , Golnoosh Farnadi

While data-driven predictive models are a strictly technological construct, they may operate within a social context in which benign engineering choices entail implicit, indirect and unexpected real-life consequences. Fairness of such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-11 Kacper Sokol , Meelis Kull , Jeffrey Chan , Flora Salim

In recommendation settings, there is an apparent trade-off between the goals of accuracy (to recommend items a user is most likely to want) and diversity (to recommend items representing a range of categories). As such, real-world…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-07-31 Kenny Peng , Manish Raghavan , Emma Pierson , Jon Kleinberg , Nikhil Garg

In many applications, especially those involving prediction, models may yield near-optimal performance yet significantly disagree on individual-level outcomes. This phenomenon, known as predictive multiplicity, has been formally defined in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Mustafa Cavus

Predictive multiplicity occurs when classification models with statistically indistinguishable performances assign conflicting predictions to individual samples. When used for decision-making in applications of consequence (e.g., lending,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-21 Hsiang Hsu , Flavio du Pin Calmon

In recent years many important societal decisions are made by machine-learning algorithms, and many such important decisions have strict capacity limits, allowing resources to be allocated only to the highest utility individuals. For…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-02-27 Eitan Bachmat , Inbal Livni Navon

Prediction problems often admit competing models that perform almost equally well. This effect challenges key assumptions in machine learning when competing models assign conflicting predictions. In this paper, we define predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-17 Charles T. Marx , Flavio du Pin Calmon , Berk Ustun

Many set selection and ranking algorithms have recently been enhanced with diversity constraints that aim to explicitly increase representation of historically disadvantaged populations, or to improve the overall representativeness of the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2019-06-06 Ke Yang , Vasilis Gkatzelis , Julia Stoyanovich

Rankings are ubiquitous in the online world today. As we have transitioned from finding books in libraries to ranking products, jobs, job applicants, opinions and potential romantic partners, there is a substantial precedent that ranking…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2018-10-18 Ashudeep Singh , Thorsten Joachims

The adoption of automated, data-driven decision making in an ever expanding range of applications has raised concerns about its potential unfairness towards certain social groups. In this context, a number of recent studies have focused on…

The Rashomon set of equally-good models promises less discriminatory algorithms, reduced outcome homogenization, and fairer decisions through model ensembles or reconciliation. However, we argue from the perspective of allocation…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Shomik Jain , Margaret Wang , Kathleen Creel , Ashia Wilson

We propose a simple yet effective solution to tackle the often-competing goals of fairness and utility in classification tasks. While fairness ensures that the model's predictions are unbiased and do not discriminate against any particular…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-16 Anique Tahir , Lu Cheng , Huan Liu

The issue of fairness in machine learning models has recently attracted a lot of attention as ensuring it will ensure continued confidence of the general public in the deployment of machine learning systems. We focus on mitigating the harm…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-24 Thomas Kehrenberg , Zexun Chen , Novi Quadrianto
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