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Prediction is a central goal and a yet-unresolved challenge in the investigation of oceanic rogue waves. Here we define a horizon of predictability for oceanic rogue waves and derive, via extensive computational experiments, the first…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2014-07-02 Reza Alam

This study aims to improve the spatial representation of uncertainties when regressing surface wind speeds from large-scale atmospheric predictors for sub-seasonal forecasting. Sub-seasonal forecasting often relies on large-scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-21 Ganglin Tian , Anastase Alexandre Charantonis , Camille Le Coz , Alexis Tantet , Riwal Plougonven

The work highlights the importance of directional spreading effects on wave overtopping estimation in shallow and mild sloping foreshores. Wave short-crestedness leads, in general, to a reduction of mean overtopping discharges on coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-12 Corrado Altomare , Tomohiro Suzuki , Toon Verwaest

We propose spectral methods for long-term forecasting of temporal signals stemming from linear and nonlinear quasi-periodic dynamical systems. For linear signals, we introduce an algorithm with similarities to the Fourier transform but…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-02 Henning Lange , Steven L. Brunton , Nathan Kutz

The numerical simulation of the nonlinear dynamics of random sea waves at moderately small Benjamin-Feir indices and its comparison with the linear dynamics (at the coincidence of spatial Fourier harmonics near a spectral peak at a certain…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2016-09-05 V. P. Ruban

Dispersion curves characterize the frequency dependence of the phase and the group velocities of propagating elastic waves. Many analytical and numerical techniques produce dispersion curves from physics-based models. However, it is often…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-10-26 V. V. N. Sriram Malladi , Mohammad I. Albakri , Manu Krishnan , Serkan Gugercin , Pablo A. Tarazaga

The rigorous analytical calculation of the diffusion coefficient is performed for the chaotic motion of a particle in a set of longitudinal waves with random phases and large amplitudes (~ A). A first step proves the existence of a…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 D. F. Escande , Y. Elskens

Accurate ocean forecasting systems are vital for understanding marine dynamics, which play a crucial role in environmental management and climate adaptation strategies. Traditional numerical solvers, while effective, are computationally…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-11-21 Daniel Holmberg , Emanuela Clementi , Teemu Roos

The computation of long wave propagation through the ocean obviously depends on the initial condition. When the waves are generated by a moving bottom, a traditional approach consists in translating the ``frozen'' sea bed deformation to the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2020-02-20 Denys Dutykh , Frédéric Dias , Youen Kervella

We consider the modulational instability of nonlinearly interacting two-dimensional waves in deep water, which are described by a pair of two-dimensional coupled nonlinear Schroedinger equations. We derive a nonlinear dispersion relation.…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2007-05-23 P. K. Shukla , I. Kourakis , B. Eliasson , M. Marklund , L. Stenflo

Conventional time-series forecasting methods typically aim to minimize overall prediction error, without accounting for the varying importance of different forecast ranges in downstream applications. We propose a training methodology that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-15 Luca-Andrei Fechete , Mohamed Sana , Fadhel Ayed , Nicola Piovesan , Wenjie Li , Antonio De Domenico , Tareq Si Salem

We consider the problem of forecasting complex, nonlinear space-time processes when observations provide only partial information of on the system's state. We propose a natural data-driven framework, where the system's dynamics are modelled…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-03-01 Ibrahim Ayed , Emmanuel de Bézenac , Arthur Pajot , Julien Brajard , Patrick Gallinari

Modern day studies of wind-driven sea waves are usually focused on wind forcing rather than on the effect of resonant nonlinear wave interactions. The authors assume that these effects are dominating and propose a simple relationship…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2016-07-20 Vladimir E. Zakharov , Sergei I. Badulin , Paul A. Hwang , Guillemette Caulliez

In this work, we study the nonlinear traveling waves in density stratified fluids with depth varying shear currents. Beginning the formulation of the water-wave problem due to [1], we extend the work of [4] and [18] to examine the interface…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2017-08-30 K. L. Oliveras , C. W. Curtis

Measuring the directional distribution of ocean waves is a difficult task in ocean wave research. For many decades, wind-generated waves are assumed to propagate primarily in the wind direction. The concept is applied either implicitly or…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-07-03 Paul A. Hwang , David W. Wang , James Yungel , Robert N. Swift , William B. Krabill

It is the aim of the paper to present a new point of view on rotational elasticity in a nonlinear setting using orthogonal matrices. The proposed model, in the linear approximation, can be compared to the well known equilibrium equations of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-10-09 Christian G. Boehmer , Nicola Tamanini

The dispersion surfaces of printed periodic structures in layered media are efficiently computed using a full-wave method based on the periodic Method of Moments (MoM). The geometry of the dispersion surface is estimated after mapping the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-09-27 Denis Tihon , Shambhu Nath Jha , Modeste Bodehou , Christophe Craeye

Linear regression is a fundamental and popular statistical method. There are various kinds of linear regression, such as mean regression and quantile regression. In this paper, we propose a new one called distribution regression, which…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-27 Xin Chen , Xuejun Ma , Wang Zhou

The nonlinear dynamics of an obliquely oriented wave packet at sea surface is studied both analytically and numerically for various initial parameters of the packet, in connection with the problem of oceanic rogue waves. In the framework of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-04-10 V. P. Ruban

Wave turbulence in a thin elastic plate is experimentally investigated. By using a Fourier transform profilometry technique, the deformation field of the plate surface is measured simultaneously in time and space. This enables us to compute…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2009-10-29 Pablo Cobelli , Philippe Petitjeans , Agnes Maurel , Vincent Pagneux , Nicolas Mordant