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The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 Kyungsik Kim , Seong-Min Yoon

We empirically analyze the most volatile component of the electricity price time series from two North-American wholesale electricity markets. We show that these time series exhibit fluctuations which are not described by a Brownian Motion,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-23 Francesco Caravelli , James Requeima , Cozmin Ududec , Ali Ashtari , Tiziana Di Matteo , Tomaso Aste

Different investment strategies are adopted in short-term and long-term depending on the time scales, even though time scales are adhoc in nature. Empirical mode decomposition based Hurst exponent analysis and variance technique have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-10 Ajit Mahata , Md Nurujjaman

In this article we consider an optimization problem of expected utility maximization of continuous-time trading in a financial market. This trading is constrained by a benchmark for a utility-based shortfall risk measure. The market…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-10-28 Oliver Janke

The Fractional Stochastic Regularity Model (FSRM) is an extension of Black-Scholes model describing the multifractal nature of prices. It is based on a multifractional process with a random Hurst exponent $H_t$, driven by a fractional…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-13 Daniele Angelini , Matthieu Garcin

The paper deals with fractal characteristics (Hurst exponent) and wavelet-scaleograms of the information distribution model, suggested by the authors. The authors have studied the effect of Hurst exponent change depending upon the model…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-10-17 D. V. Lande , V. A. Dodonov

While market is a social field where information flows over the interacting agents, there have been not so many methods to observe the spreading information in the prices comprising the market. By incorporating the entropy transfer in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-19 Hokky Situngkir

We reanalyze high resolution data from the New York Stock Exchange and find a monotonic (but not power law) variation of the mean value per trade, the mean number of trades per minute and the mean trading activity with company…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Zoltan Eisler , Janos Kertesz

A number of phenomena in various fields such as geology, atmospheric sciences, economics, to list a few, can be modeled as a fractional Brownian motion indexed by Hurst exponent $H$. This exponent is related to the degree of regularity and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-05-05 Minkyoung Kang , Brani Vidakovic

This paper introduces a comprehensive framework for Financial Information Theory by applying information-theoretic concepts such as entropy, Kullback-Leibler divergence, mutual information, normalized mutual information, and transfer…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-21 Miquel Noguer i Alonso

Volatility, as a primary indicator of financial risk, forms the foundation of classical frameworks such as Markowitz's Portfolio Theory and the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH). However, its conventional use rests on assumptions-most…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-19 Sergio Bianchi , Daniele Angelini , Massimiliano Frezza , Augusto Pianese

The local Hurst exponent, a measure employed to detect the presence of dependence in a time series, may also be used to investigate the source of intraday variation observed in the returns in foreign exchange markets. Given that changes in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-10 Jonathan A. Batten , Craig A. Ellis , Warren P. Hogan

We study the functional link between the Hurst parameter and the Normalized Total Wavelet Entropy when analyzing fractional Brownian motion (fBm) time series--these series are synthetically generated. Both quantifiers are mainly used to…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-11 Dario G. Perez , Luciano Zunino , Mario Garavaglia , Osvaldo A. Rosso

We focus on the influence of external sources of information upon financial markets. In particular, we develop a stochastic agent-based market model characterized by a certain herding behavior as well as allowing traders to be influenced by…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Adrián Carro , Raúl Toral , Maxi San Miguel

In the present work we demonstrate the application of different physical methods to high-frequency or tick-by-tick financial time series data. In particular, we calculate the Hurst exponent and inverse statistics for the price time series…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 M. Bartolozzi , C. Mellen , F. Chan , D. Oliver , T. Di Matteo , T. Aste

We introduce an event based framework of directional changes and overshoots to map continuous financial data into the so-called Intrinsic Network - a state based discretisation of intrinsically dissected time series. Defining a method for…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2014-02-11 Anton Golub , Gregor Chliamovitch , Alexandre Dupuis , Bastien Chopard

In certain applications, for instance biomechanics, turbulence, finance, or Internet traffic, it seems suitable to model the data by a generalization of a fractional Brownian motion for which the Hurst parameter $H$ is depending on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jean-Marc Bardet , Pierre Bertrand

The diversity of diffusive systems exhibiting long-range correlations characterized by a stochastically varying Hurst exponent calls for a generic multifractional model. We present a simple, analytically tractable model which fills the gap…

We propose a model for the description and the forecast of the gross prices of electricity in the liberalized Italian energy market via an additive two-factor model driven by both a Hawkes and a fractional Brownian processes. We discuss the…

Applications · Statistics 2024-08-27 Luca M. Giordano , Daniela Morale

This paper presents $whittlehurst$, a Python package implementing Whittle's likelihood method for estimating the Hurst exponent in fractional Brownian motion (fBm). While the theoretical foundations of Whittle's estimator are…

Computation · Statistics 2025-06-04 Bálint Csanády , Lóránt Nagy , András Lukács