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Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting plays an important role in the automation and optimization of intelligent applications. It is a challenging task, as we need to consider both complex intra-variable dependencies and inter-variable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Ling Chen , Donghui Chen , Zongjiang Shang , Binqing Wu , Cen Zheng , Bo Wen , Wei Zhang

We consider the commonly encountered situation (e.g., in weather forecasting) where the goal is to predict the time evolution of a large, spatiotemporally chaotic dynamical system when we have access to both time series data of previous…

Human mobility estimation is crucial during the COVID-19 pandemic due to its significant guidance for policymakers to make non-pharmaceutical interventions. While deep learning approaches outperform conventional estimation techniques on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-23 Han Bao , Xun Zhou , Yiqun Xie , Yanhua Li , Xiaowei Jia

Especially in lattice structured populations, homogeneous mixing represents an inadequate assumption. Various improvements upon the ordinary pair approximation based on a number of assumptions concerning the higher-order correlations have…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Thomas Petermann , Paolo De Los Rios

This study investigates the spatial integration of agent-based models (ABMs) and compartmental models for infectious disease modeling, presenting a novel hybrid approach and examining its implications. ABMs offer detailed insights by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2025-02-06 Inan Bostanci , Tim Conrad

It remains challenging to automatically predict the multi-agent trajectory due to multiple interactions including agent to agent interaction and scene to agent interaction. Although recent methods have achieved promising performance, most…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-15 Beihao Xia , Conghao Wang , Qinmu Peng , Xinge You , Dacheng Tao

As a decisive part in the success of Mobility-as-a-Service (MaaS), spatio-temporal predictive modeling for crowd movements is a challenging task particularly considering scenarios where societal events drive mobility behavior deviated from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-17 Zhaonan Wang , Renhe Jiang , Hao Xue , Flora D. Salim , Xuan Song , Ryosuke Shibasaki

Multi-horizon probabilistic time series forecasting has wide applicability to real-world tasks such as demand forecasting. Recent work in neural time-series forecasting mainly focus on the use of Seq2Seq architectures. For example,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-09 Sitan Yang , Carson Eisenach , Dhruv Madeka

The aim of crowd counting is to estimate the number of people in images by leveraging the annotation of center positions for pedestrians' heads. Promising progresses have been made with the prevalence of deep Convolutional Neural Networks.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Zhi-Qi Cheng , Jun-Xiu Li , Qi Dai , Xiao Wu , Alexander Hauptmann

Spatial-temporal prediction is a fundamental problem for constructing smart city, which is useful for tasks such as traffic control, taxi dispatching, and environmental policy making. Due to data collection mechanism, it is common to see…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Huaxiu Yao , Yiding Liu , Ying Wei , Xianfeng Tang , Zhenhui Li

Spatio-temporal machine learning is critically needed for a variety of societal applications, such as agricultural monitoring, hydrological forecast, and traffic management. These applications greatly rely on regional features that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-09 Zhexiong Liu , Licheng Liu , Yiqun Xie , Zhenong Jin , Xiaowei Jia

E-commerce business is revolutionizing our shopping experiences by providing convenient and straightforward services. One of the most fundamental problems is how to balance the demand and supply in market segments to build an efficient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Jiatu Shi , Huaxiu Yao , Xian Wu , Tong Li , Zedong Lin , Tengfei Wang , Binqiang Zhao

Multivariate geo-sensory time series prediction is challenging because of the complex spatial and temporal correlation. In urban water distribution systems (WDS), numerous spatial-correlated sensors have been deployed to continuously…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-15 Ziqing Ma , Shuming Liu , Guancheng Guo , Xipeng Yu

Temporal knowledge graph reasoning aims to predict future events with knowledge of existing facts and plays a key role in various downstream tasks. Previous methods focused on either graph structure learning or semantic reasoning, failing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Yimin Deng , Yuxia Wu , Yejing Wang , Guoshuai Zhao , Li Zhu , Qidong Liu , Derong Xu , Zichuan Fu , Xian Wu , Yefeng Zheng , Xiangyu Zhao , Xueming Qian

Accurate real-time traffic forecast is critical for intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and it serves as the cornerstone of various smart mobility applications. Though this research area is dominated by deep learning, recent studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-22 Yihong Tang , Ao Qu , Andy H. F. Chow , William H. K. Lam , S. C. Wong , Wei Ma

Advancing epidemic dynamics forecasting is vital for targeted interventions and safeguarding public health. Current approaches mainly fall into two categories: mechanism-based and data-driven models. Mechanism-based models are constrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Rui Sun , Chenghua Gong , Tianjun Gu , Yuhao Zheng , Jie Ding , Juyuan Zhang , Liming Pan , Linyuan Lü

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is essential for collision avoidance in autonomous driving and robot navigation. However, predicting a pedestrian's trajectory in crowded environments is non-trivial as it is influenced by other pedestrians'…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-02-15 Sirin Haddad , Meiqing Wu , He Wei , Siew Kei Lam

Meta-population networks are effective tools for capturing population movement across distinct regions, but the assumption of well-mixed regions fails to capture the reality of population higher-order interactions. As a multidimensional…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-18 Yanyi Nie , Yanbing Liu , Qixuan Cao , Tao Lin , Wei Wang

With COVID-19 affecting every country globally and changing everyday life, the ability to forecast the spread of the disease is more important than any previous epidemic. The conventional methods of disease-spread modeling, compartmental…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-08-19 Benjamin Lucas , Behzad Vahedi , Morteza Karimzadeh

Accurate prediction of contagious disease outbreaks is vital for informed decision-making. Our study addresses the gap between machine learning algorithms and their epidemiological applications, noting that methods optimal for benchmark…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Suhan Guo , Zhenghao Xu , Furao Shen , Jian Zhao
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