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A quantitative check of weak efficiency in US dollar/German mark exchange rates is developed using high frequency data. We show the existence of long term return anomalies. We introduce a technique to measure the available information and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-12-02 R. Baviera , M. Pasquini , M. Serva , D. Vergni , A. Vulpiani

In this paper, we study the possibility of inferring early warning indicators (EWIs) for periods of extreme bitcoin price volatility using features obtained from Bitcoin daily transaction graphs. We infer the low-dimensional representations…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-08 Nino Antulov-Fantulin , Dijana Tolic , Matija Piskorec , Zhang Ce , Irena Vodenska

Statistical arbitrage is a prevalent trading strategy which takes advantage of mean reverse property of spread of paired stocks. Studies on this strategy often rely heavily on model assumption. In this study, we introduce an innovative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-20 Boming Ning , Kiseop Lee

Under the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) capital charges for the trading book are based on the coherent expected shortfall (ES) risk measure, which show greater sensitivity to tail risk. In this paper it is argued that…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-16 Marie Kratz , Yen H. Lok , Alexander J McNeil

The objective of this paper is to measure the degree of home bias (HB) within holdings portfolio and to identify their determining factors. By following literature and an international capital asset pricing model, we have chosen quite a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Mounira Chniguir , Mohamed Kefi , Jamel Henchiri

This study examines the investment landscape of Pakistan as an emerging and frontier market, focusing on implications for international investors, particularly those in the United States, through exchange-traded funds (ETFs) with exposure…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-24 Ali Jaffri , Abootaleb Shirvani , Ayush Jha , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

We investigate the performance of dynamic portfolios constructed using more than 21,000 technical trading rules on 12 categorical and country-specific markets over the 2004-2015 study period, on rolling forward structures of different…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-14 Georgios Sermpinis , Arman Hassanniakalager , Charalampos Stasinakis , Ioannis Psaradellis

Traditional technical analysis indicators, although widely used by market participants, are often not sufficiently effective. We propose the Visibility Graphs Relative Strength Index (VGRSI), based on backward visibility relations in the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-05-05 Rafał Rak

A leveraged ETF is a fund aimed at achieving a rate of return several times greater than that of the underlying asset such as Nikkei 225 futures. Recently, it has been suggested that rebalancing trades of a leveraged ETF may destabilize the…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-27 Isao Yagi , Shunya Maruyama , Takanobu Mizuta

The potential of machine learning to automate and control nonlinear, complex systems is well established. These same techniques have always presented potential for use in the investment arena, specifically for the managing of equity…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-18 Evan Hurwitz , Tshilidzi Marwala

In this paper, we present a method for constructing a (static) portfolio of co-maturing European options whose price sign is determined by the skewness level of the associated implied volatility. This property holds regardless of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-18 Sergey Nadtochiy , Jan Obloj

Bilateral trade relationships in the international level between pairs of countries in the world give rise to the notion of the International Trade Network (ITN). This network has attracted the attention of network researchers as it serves…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 K. Bhattacharya , G. Mukherjee , S. S. Manna

This paper is about our attempt of identifying trade elasticities through the variations in the exchange rate, for possible applications to the case of services whose physical transactions are veiled in the trade statistics. The regression…

General Economics · Economics 2024-12-20 Satoshi Nakano , Kazuhiko Nishimura

Commodity exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are a significant part of the rapidly growing ETF market. They have become popular in recent years as they provide investors access to a great variety of commodities, ranging from precious metals to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-11-01 Kevin Guo , Tim Leung

Accurate prediction of price behavior in the foreign exchange market is crucial. This paper proposes a novel approach that leverages technical indicators and deep neural networks. The proposed architecture consists of a Long Short-Term…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Sahabeh Saadati , Mohammad Manthouri

Minimizing execution costs for large orders is a fundamental challenge in finance. Firms often depend on brokers to manage their trades due to limited internal resources for optimizing trading strategies. This paper presents a methodology…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-05 Zoltan Eisler , Johannes Muhle-Karbe

This paper considers the problem of isolating a small number of exchange traded funds (ETFs) that suffice to capture the fundamental dimensions of variation in U.S. financial markets. First, the data is fit to a vector-valued Bayesian…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-01 David Puelz , Carlos M. Carvalho , P. Richard Hahn

A large class of trading strategies focus on opportunities offered by the yield curve. In particular, a set of yield curve trading strategies are based on the view that the yield curve mean-reverts. Based on these strategies' positive…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-24 Yash Sharma

Dynamic substructuring, especially the frequency-based variant (FBS) using frequency response functions (FRF), is gaining in popularity and importance, with countless successful applications, both numerically and experimentally. One…

Applied Physics · Physics 2024-12-16 Oliver Maximilian Zobel , Francesco Trainotti , Daniel J. Rixen

While Indices, Index tracking funds and ETFs have grown in popularity during then last ten years, there are many structural problems inherent in Index calculation methodologies and the legal/economic structure of ETFs. These problems raise…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-05 Michael C. Nwogugu