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The rising interest in Bayesian deep learning (BDL) has led to a plethora of methods for estimating the posterior distribution. However, efficient computation of inferences, such as predictions, has been largely overlooked with Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-23 Rui Li , Marcus Klasson , Arno Solin , Martin Trapp

Weather forecasting is fundamentally challenged by the chaotic nature of the atmosphere, necessitating probabilistic approaches to quantify uncertainty. While traditional ensemble prediction (EPS) addresses this through computationally…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Xinlei Xiong , Wenbo Hu , Shuxun Zhou , Kaifeng Bi , Lingxi Xie , Ying Liu , Richang Hong , Qi Tian

Recently, several Bayesian deep learning methods have been proposed for semi-supervised medical image segmentation. Although they have achieved promising results on medical benchmarks, some problems are still existing. Firstly, their…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jianfeng Wang , Thomas Lukasiewicz

Deep ensembles have been empirically shown to be a promising approach for improving accuracy, uncertainty and out-of-distribution robustness of deep learning models. While deep ensembles were theoretically motivated by the bootstrap,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-26 Stanislav Fort , Huiyi Hu , Balaji Lakshminarayanan

Federated learning (FL) is an approach to training machine learning models that takes advantage of multiple distributed datasets while maintaining data privacy and reducing communication costs associated with sharing local datasets.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-06 John Fischer , Marko Orescanin , Justin Loomis , Patrick McClure

In the current landscape of deep learning research, there is a predominant emphasis on achieving high predictive accuracy in supervised tasks involving large image and language datasets. However, a broader perspective reveals a multitude of…

Deep learning has been revolutionary for computer vision and semantic segmentation in particular, with Bayesian Deep Learning (BDL) used to obtain uncertainty maps from deep models when predicting semantic classes. This information is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Jishnu Mukhoti , Yarin Gal

We propose Decision by Supervised Learning (DSL), a practical framework for robust portfolio optimization. DSL reframes portfolio construction as a supervised learning problem: models are trained to predict optimal portfolio weights, using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Juhyeong Kim , Sungyoon Choi , Youngbin Lee , Yejin Kim , Yongmin Choi , Yongjae Lee

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have been long considered an ideal, yet unscalable solution for improving the robustness and the predictive uncertainty of deep neural networks. While they could capture more accurately the posterior…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-03-26 Gianni Franchi , Andrei Bursuc , Emanuel Aldea , Severine Dubuisson , Isabelle Bloch

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have made a revolution in numerous fields during the last decade. However, in tasks with high safety requirements, such as medical or autonomous driving applications, providing an assessment of the models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-20 Omer Achrack , Raizy Kellerman , Ouriel Barzilay

In robotics, deep learning (DL) methods are used more and more widely, but their general inability to provide reliable confidence estimates will ultimately lead to fragile and unreliable systems. This impedes the potential deployments of DL…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-11-02 Matthias Humt , Jongseok Lee , Rudolph Triebel

Principled Bayesian deep learning (BDL) does not live up to its potential when we only focus on marginal predictive distributions (marginal predictives). Recent works have highlighted the importance of joint predictives for (Bayesian)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-19 Andreas Kirsch , Jannik Kossen , Yarin Gal

Deep ensembles have emerged as a powerful technique for improving predictive performance and enhancing model robustness across various applications by leveraging model diversity. However, traditional deep ensemble methods are often…

Evidential Deep Learning (EDL) has emerged as an efficient, sampling-free strategy for uncertainty estimation. A series of EDL variants have been proposed to address specific limitations of the original framework, achieving notable success.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Yuanye Liu , Yibo Gao , Yuanyang Chen , Xiahai Zhuang

Ensembling a neural network is a widely recognized approach to enhance model performance, estimate uncertainty, and improve robustness in deep supervised learning. However, deep ensembles often come with high computational costs and memory…

Uncertainty quantification and robustness to distribution shifts are important goals in machine learning and artificial intelligence. Although Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) allow for uncertainty in the predictions to be assessed,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-23 Michele Caprio , Souradeep Dutta , Kuk Jin Jang , Vivian Lin , Radoslav Ivanov , Oleg Sokolsky , Insup Lee

While deep neural networks have become the go-to approach in computer vision, the vast majority of these models fail to properly capture the uncertainty inherent in their predictions. Estimating this predictive uncertainty can be crucial,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-08 Fredrik K. Gustafsson , Martin Danelljan , Thomas B. Schön

This paper addresses the scalability problem of Bayesian deep neural networks. The performance of deep neural networks is undermined by the fact that these algorithms have poorly calibrated measures of uncertainty. This restricts their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-20 Sam Maksoud , Kun Zhao , Can Peng , Brian C. Lovell

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

Recent years have witnessed enormous progress of online learning. However, a major challenge on the road to artificial agents is concept drift, that is, the data probability distribution would change where the data instance arrives…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-26 Ya-nan Han , Jian-wei Liu , Bing-biao Xiao , Xin-Tan Wang , Xiong-lin Luo
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