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The emergence of online social platforms, such as social networks and social media, has drastically affected the way people apprehend the information flows to which they are exposed. In such platforms, various information cascades spreading…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-03-11 Gaspard Abel , Argyris Kalogeratos , Jean-Pierre Nadal , Julien Randon-Furling

Online narratives spread unevenly across platforms, with content emerging on one site often appearing on others, hours, days or weeks later. Existing cross-platform information diffusion models often treat platforms as isolated systems,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Gerard , Luca Luceri , Leonardo Blas , Emilio Ferrara

Models of contagion dynamics, originally developed for infectious diseases, have proven relevant to the study of information, news, and political opinions in online social systems. Modelling diffusion processes and predicting viral…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-06-19 Weihua Li , Skyler J. Cranmer , Zhiming Zheng , Peter J. Mucha

Information cascade popularity prediction is critical for many applications, including but not limited to identifying fake news and accurate recommendations. Traditional feature-based methods heavily rely on handcrafted features, which are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-04-30 Zhizhen Zhang , Xiaohui Xie , Yishuo Zhang , Lanshan Zhang , Yong Jiang

Predicting the popularity of online content on social platforms is an important task for both researchers and practitioners. Previous methods mainly leverage demographics, temporal and structural patterns of early adopters for popularity…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-11-28 Qi Cao , Huawei Shen , Jinhua Gao , Bingzheng Wei , Xueqi Cheng

Online social networks play a major role in the spread of information at very large scale and it becomes essential to provide means to analyse this phenomenon. In this paper we address the issue of predicting the temporal dynamics of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-03-26 Adrien Guille , Hakim Hacid , Cécile Favre

Social networking websites allow users to create and share content. Big information cascades of post resharing can form as users of these sites reshare others' posts with their friends and followers. One of the central challenges in…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-01-28 Qingyuan Zhao , Murat A. Erdogdu , Hera Y. He , Anand Rajaraman , Jure Leskovec

Predicting the flow of information in dynamic social environments is relevant to many areas of the contemporary society, from disseminating health care messages to meme tracking. While predicting the growth of information cascades has been…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Sameera Horawalavithana , John Skvoretz , Adriana Iamnitchi

Information cascades, effectively facilitated by most social network platforms, are recognized as a major factor in almost every social success and disaster in these networks. Can cascades be predicted? While many believe that they are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-11-17 Cheng Li , Jiaqi Ma , Xiaoxiao Guo , Qiaozhu Mei

Predicting the popularity of scientific publications has attracted many attentions from various disciplines. In this paper, we focus on the popularity prediction problem of scientific papers, and propose an age-based diffusion (AD) model to…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Yanbo Zhou , Qu Li , Xuhua Yang , Hongbing cheng

This paper aims to show how some popular topics on social networks can be used to predict online newspaper views, related to the topics. Newspapers site and many social networks, become a good source of data to analyse and explain complex…

Information cascades exist in a wide variety of platforms on Internet. A very important real-world problem is to identify which information cascades can go viral. A system addressing this problem can be used in a variety of applications…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-06-21 Ruocheng Guo , Paulo Shakarian

Information propagation on social networks could be modeled as cascades, and many efforts have been made to predict the future popularity of cascades. However, most of the existing research treats a cascade as an individual sequence.…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-06-07 Xiaodong Lu , Shuo Ji , Le Yu , Leilei Sun , Bowen Du , Tongyu Zhu

News articles are extremely time sensitive by nature. There is also intense competition among news items to propagate as widely as possible. Hence, the task of predicting the popularity of news items on the social web is both interesting…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2012-02-07 Roja Bandari , Sitaram Asur , Bernardo A. Huberman

Predicting popularity, or the total volume of information outbreaks, is an important subproblem for understanding collective behavior in networks. Each of the two main types of recent approaches to the problem, feature-driven and generative…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Swapnil Mishra , Marian-Andrei Rizoiu , Lexing Xie

Information diffusion occurs on microblogging platforms like Twitter as retweet cascades. When a tweet is posted, it may be retweeted and henceforth further retweeted, and the retweeting process continues iteratively and indefinitely. A…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-20 Feng Chen , Wai Hong Tan

Edge caching plays an increasingly important role in boosting user content retrieval performance while reducing redundant network traffic. The effectiveness of caching ultimately hinges on the accuracy of predicting content popularity in…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Chen Li , Xiaoyu Wang , Tongyu Zong , Houwei Cao , Yong Liu

We consider the problem of estimating the latent structure of a social network based on the observed information diffusion events, or cascades, where the observations for a given cascade consist of only the timestamps of infection for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-27 Ming Yu , Varun Gupta , Mladen Kolar

It is widely believed that information spread on social media is a percolation process, with parallels to phase transitions in theoretical physics. However, evidence for this hypothesis is limited, as phase transitions have not been…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-03-05 Jiarong Xie , Fanhui Meng , Jiachen Sun , Xiao Ma , Gang Yan , Yanqing Hu

The dynamics of popularity in online media are driven by a combination of endogenous spreading mechanisms and response to exogenous shocks including news and events. However, little is known about the dependence of temporal patterns of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Ryota Kobayashi , Patrick Gildersleve , Takeaki Uno , Renaud Lambiotte