Related papers: Data-driven wake model parameter estimation to ana…
Amid growing interest in machine learning, numerous data-driven models have recently been developed for Reynolds-averaged turbulence modelling. However, their results generally show that they do not give accurate predictions for test cases…
Data-driven methods for personalizing treatment assignment have garnered much attention from clinicians and researchers. Dynamic treatment regimes formalize this through a sequence of decision rules that map individual patient…
Wind turbine wakes are the result of the extraction of kinetic energy from the incoming atmospheric wind exerted from a wind turbine rotor. Therefore, the reduced mean velocity and enhanced turbulence intensity within the wake are affected…
Prediction deviations of different uncertainties have varying impacts on downstream decision-making. Improving the prediction accuracy of critical uncertainties with significant impacts on decision-making quality yields better optimization…
There has been considerable interest in making Bayesian inference more scalable. In big data settings, most literature focuses on reducing the computing time per iteration, with less focused on reducing the number of iterations needed in…
Data-driven turbulence modelling approaches are gaining increasing interest from the CFD community. However, the introduction of a machine learning (ML) model introduces a new source of uncertainty, the ML model itself. Quantification of…
As modern neural networks get more complex, specifying a model with high predictive performance and sound uncertainty quantification becomes a more challenging task. Despite some promising theoretical results on the true posterior…
Both the level of conservativeness and the computational burden in robust optimization are critically influenced by uncertainty set design. However, contextual side information is rarely exploited in robust dispatch of power systems…
Wave energy converters (WECs) are a promising candidate for meeting the increasing energy demands of today's society. It is known that the sizing and power take-off (PTO) control of WEC devices have a major impact on their performance. In…
We develop a novel data-driven robust model predictive control (DDRMPC) approach for automatic control of irrigation systems. The fundamental idea is to integrate both mechanistic models, which describe dynamics in soil moisture variations,…
Successful development of wind farms relies on the optimal siting of wind turbines to maximize the power capacity under stochastic wind conditions and wake losses caused by neighboring turbines. This paper presents a novel method to quickly…
Distributional ambiguity sets provide quantifiable ways to characterize the uncertainty about the true probability distribution of random variables of interest. This makes them a key element in data-driven robust optimization by exploiting…
Weather foundation models (WFMs) have recently set new benchmarks in global forecast skill, yet their concrete value for the weather-sensitive infrastructure that powers modern society remains largely unexplored. In this study, we fine-tune…
Short-term forecasting models typically assume the availability of input data (features) when they are deployed and in use. However, equipment failures, disruptions, cyberattacks, may lead to missing features when such models are used…
Super-large-scale particle image velocimetry and flow visualization with natural snowfall is used to collect and analyze multiple datasets in the near wake of a 2.5 MW wind turbine. Each dataset captures the full vertical span of the wake…
The increasing occurrence of continuous anomalous weather events has intensified the uncertainty in wind and photovoltaic power generation, posing significant challenges to the operation and optimization of building integrated energy…
Injection molding is a critical manufacturing process, but controlling warpage remains a major challenge due to complex thermomechanical interactions. Simulation-based optimization is widely used to address this, yet traditional methods…
Bayesian model comparison (BMC) offers a principled probabilistic approach to study and rank competing models. In standard BMC, we construct a discrete probability distribution over the set of possible models, conditional on the observed…
Monte Carlo (MC) techniques are often used to estimate integrals of a multivariate function using randomly generated samples of the function. In light of the increasing interest in uncertainty quantification and robust design applications…
The extensive penetration of wind farms (WFs) presents challenges to the operation of distribution networks (DNs). Building a probability distribution of the aggregated wind power forecast error is of great value for decision making.…