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This paper develops a particle filter maximum likelihood estimator for the competitive storage model. The estimator is suitable for inference problems in commodity markets where only reliable price data is available for estimation, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-10 Tore Selland Kleppe , Atle Oglend

In this paper, we consider the problem of finding an optimal energy management policy for a network of sensor nodes capable of harvesting their own energy and sharing it with other nodes in the network. We formulate this problem in the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-10-10 Arghyadeep Barat , Prabuchandran. K. J , Shalabh Bhatnagar

As the world seeks to transition to a sustainable energy future, energy storage technologies are increasingly recognized as critical enablers. However, the macro-energy system assessment of energy storage has often focused on isolated…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-05-24 Maximilian Parzen , Davide Fioriti , Aristides Kiprakis

We propose a novel machine learning approach for probabilistic forecasting of hourly day-ahead electricity prices. In contrast with the recent advances in data-rich probabilistic forecasting, which approximates distributions with few…

General Economics · Economics 2025-07-04 Jozef Barunik , Lubos Hanus

In this paper, we study the operational problem of connected hydro power reservoirs which involves sequential decision-making in an uncertain and dynamic environment. The problem is traditionally formulated as a stochastic dynamic program…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-17 Farzaneh Pourahmadi , Trine Krogh Boomsma

Demand response (DR), as one of the important energy resources in the future's grid, provides the services of peak shaving, enhancing the efficiency of renewable energy utilization with a short response period, and low cost. Various…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-10 Kuan-Cheng Lee , Hong-Tzer Yang , Wenjun Tang

This paper proposes a novel method to generate bid bounds that can serve as offer caps for energy storage in electricity markets to help reduce system costs and regulate potential market power exercises. We derive the bid bounds based on a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-08 Ning Qi , Bolun Xu

There is growing interest in the use of grid-level storage to smooth variations in supply that are likely to arise with increased use of wind and solar energy. Energy arbitrage, the process of buying, storing, and selling electricity to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-09-01 Daniel R. Jiang , Warren B. Powell

Electricity price forecasting approaches generally fall into two categories: data-driven models, which learn from historical patterns, or fundamental models, which simulate market mechanisms. We propose a novel and highly efficient…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-27 Paul Ghelasi , Florian Ziel

Quantity and price risks are key uncertainties market participants face in electricity markets with increased volatility, for instance, due to high shares of renewables. From day ahead until real-time, there is a large variation in the best…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-21 Paul E. Seifert , Emil Kraft , Steffen Bakker , Stein-Erik Fleten

We present modeling and analysis of day-ahead spatio-temporal energy markets in which each competitive aggregator aims at making the highest profit by managing a complex mixture of different energy resources, such as conventional…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Takayuki Ishizaki , Masakazu Koike , Nobuyuki Yamaguchi , Yuzuru Ueda , Jun-ichi Imura

This paper considers the problem of steering the aggregative behavior of a population of noncooperative price-taking agents towards a desired behavior. Different from conventional pricing schemes where the price is fully available for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-20 Mehran Shakarami , Ashish Cherukuri , Nima Monshizadeh

The roll-out of smart meters in electricity networks introduces risks for consumer privacy due to increased measurement frequency and granularity. Through various Non-Intrusive Load Monitoring techniques, consumer behavior may be inferred…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-06-28 Jun-Xing Chin , Tomas Tinoco De Rubira , Gabriela Hug

This paper contributes a new machine learning solution for stock movement prediction, which aims to predict whether the price of a stock will be up or down in the near future. The key novelty is that we propose to employ adversarial…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-04 Fuli Feng , Huimin Chen , Xiangnan He , Ji Ding , Maosong Sun , Tat-Seng Chua

We propose a novel framework for structured prediction via adversarial learning. Existing adversarial learning methods involve two separate networks, i.e., the structured prediction models and the discriminative models, in the training. The…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-10-04 Pingbo Pan , Yan Yan , Tianbao Yang , Yi Yang

This paper introduces a mathematical formulation of energy storage systems into a generation capacity expansion framework to evaluate the role of energy storage in the decarbonization of distributed power systems. The modeling framework…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-31 Jiachen Mao , Mehdi Jafari , Audun Botterud

Recently, there is growing interest and need for dynamic pricing algorithms, especially, in the field of online marketplaces by offering smart pricing options for big online stores. We present an approach to adjust prices based on the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-01-13 David Müller , Yurii Nesterov , Vladimir Shikhman

The patterns of different financial data sources vary substantially, and accordingly, investors exhibit heterogeneous cognition behavior in information processing. To capture different patterns, we propose a novel approach called the…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-17 Ruize Gao , Mei Yang , Yu Wang , Shaoze Cui

In this paper, the problem of energy trading between smart grid prosumers, who can simultaneously consume and produce energy, and a grid power company is studied. The problem is formulated as a single-leader, multiple-follower Stackelberg…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-09-19 Georges El Rahi , S. Rasoul Etesami , Walid Saad , Narayan Mandayam , H. Vincent Poor

Energy consumption has become a first-class optimization goal in design and implementation of data-intensive computing systems. This is particularly true in the design of database management systems (DBMS), which was found to be the major…

Databases · Computer Science 2017-03-09 Peyman Behzadnia , Yi-Cheng Tu , Bo Zeng , Wei Yuan
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