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In this paper, we examine the Sample Average Approximation (SAA) procedure within a framework where the Monte Carlo estimator of the expectation is biased. We also introduce Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) in the SAA setup to enhance the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-29 Devang Sinha , Siddhartha P. Chakrabarty

We propose sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods for sampling the posterior distribution of state-space models under highly informative observation regimes, a situation in which standard SMC methods can perform poorly. A special case is…

Computation · Statistics 2015-07-10 Pierre Del Moral , Lawrence M. Murray

Computational methods both open the frontiers of economic analysis and serve as a bottleneck in what can be achieved. We are the first to study whether Quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) algorithm can improve the runtime of economic applications and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-09-24 Vladimir Skavysh , Sofia Priazhkina , Diego Guala , Thomas R. Bromley

Recently, Stochastic Gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo (SG-MCMC) methods have been proposed for scaling up Monte Carlo computations to large data problems. Whilst these approaches have proven useful in many applications, vanilla SG-MCMC…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-13 Umut Şimşekli , Roland Badeau , A. Taylan Cemgil , Gaël Richard

Self-supervised learning (SSL) methods have achieved remarkable success in learning image representations allowing invariances in them - but therefore discarding transformation information that some computer vision tasks actually require.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-02-11 Qin Wang , Alessio Quercia , Benjamin Bruns , Abigail Morrison , Hanno Scharr , Kai Krajsek

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods are a widely used set of computational tools for inference in non-linear non-Gaussian state-space models. We propose a new SMC algorithm to compute the expectation of additive functionals recursively.…

Methodology · Statistics 2010-12-27 Pierre Del Moral , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal Singh

A recent reformulation [1] of the problem of Coulomb gases in the presence of a dynamical dielectric medium showed that finite temperature simulations of such systems can be accomplished on the basis of completely local Hamiltonians on a…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 A. Duncan , R. D. Sedgewick

Self-learning hybrid Monte Carlo (SLHMC) is a first-principles simulation that allows for exact ensemble generation on potential energy surfaces based on density functional theory. The statistical sampling can be accelerated with the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2021-07-28 Keita Kobayashi , Yuki Nagai , Mitsuhiro Itakura , Motoyuki Shiga

We present a novel Exchange Monte Carlo (EMC) method designed for application in continuous-space Path Integral Monte Carlo (PIMC) simulations at finite temperature. Traditional PIMC methods for bosonic systems suffer from long…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2026-05-26 Xun Zhao , Synge Todo

Many successful deep learning architectures are equivariant to certain transformations in order to conserve parameters and improve generalization: most famously, convolution layers are equivariant to shifts of the input. This approach only…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Allan Zhou , Tom Knowles , Chelsea Finn

We consider the problem of estimating the probability of a large loss from a financial portfolio, where the future loss is expressed as a conditional expectation. Since the conditional expectation is intractable in most cases, one may…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Zhenghang Xu , Zhijian He , Xiaoqun Wang

Many physical systems can be described in terms of matrix models that we often cannot solve analytically. Fortunately, they can be studied numerically in a straightforward way. Many commonly used algorithms follow the Monte Carlo method,…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2022-05-11 Samuel Kováčik , Juraj Tekel

Solving inverse problems, such as parameter estimation and optimal control, is a vital part of science. Many experiments repeatedly collect data and rely on machine learning algorithms to quickly infer solutions to the associated inverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Philipp Holl , Vladlen Koltun , Nils Thuerey

We present a new Subset Simulation approach using Hamiltonian neural network-based Monte Carlo sampling for reliability analysis. The proposed strategy combines the superior sampling of the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo method with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-11 Denny Thaler , Somayajulu L. N. Dhulipala , Franz Bamer , Bernd Markert , Michael D. Shields

Diagrammatic Monte Carlo approach is applied to a problem of a single spin-down fermion resonantly interacting with the sea of ideal spin-up fermions. On one hand, we develop a generic, sign-problem tolerant, method of exact numerical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-13 Nikolay Prokof'ev , Boris Svistunov

Sampling from complicated probability distributions is a hard computational problem arising in many fields, including statistical physics, optimization, and machine learning. Quantum computers have recently been used to sample from…

Machine learning force fields show great promise in enabling more accurate molecular dynamics simulations compared to manually derived ones. Much of the progress in recent years was driven by exploiting prior knowledge about physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Andreas Burger , Luca Thiede , Alán Aspuru-Guzik , Nandita Vijaykumar

Speculative decoding (SD) accelerates language model inference by drafting tokens from a cheap proposal model and verifying them against an expensive target model via rejection sampling. Because rejection truncates the draft block at the…

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo is a widely used algorithm for sampling from posterior distributions of complex Bayesian models. It can efficiently explore high-dimensional parameter spaces guided by simulated Hamiltonian flows. However, the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-29 Lingge Li , Andrew Holbrook , Babak Shahbaba , Pierre Baldi

In high-energy particle physics, complex Monte Carlo (MC) simulations are needed to compare theory predictions to measurable quantities. Many and large MC samples are needed to be generated to take into account all the systematics.…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2022-11-15 Valentina Guglielmi