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Simulation-based design space exploration (DSE) aims to efficiently optimize high-dimensional structured designs under complex constraints and expensive evaluation costs. Existing approaches, including heuristic and multi-step reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-05 Yifeng Xiao , Yurong Xu , Ning Yan , Masood Mortazavi , Pierluigi Nuzzo

We consider performing simulation experiments in the presence of covariates. Here, covariates refer to some input information other than system designs to the simulation model that can also affect the system performance. To make decisions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-28 Cheng Li , Siyang Gao , Jianzhong Du

This paper analyzes the approximate control variate (ACV) approach to multifidelity uncertainty quantification in the case where weighted estimators are combined to form the components of the ACV. The weighted estimators enable one to…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-23 Alex A. Gorodetsky , John D. Jakeman , Michael S. Eldred

Stepped wedge cluster randomized trials (SW-CRTs) have historically been analyzed using immediate treatment (IT) models, which assume the effect of the treatment is immediate after treatment initiation and subsequently remains constant over…

Cluster indices describe extremal behaviour of stationary time series. We consider their sliding blocks estimators. Using a modern theory of multivariate, regularly varying time series, we obtain central limit theorems under conditions that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Youssouph Cissokho , Rafal Kulik

We introduce a new estimator, CRE-GMM, which exploits the correlated random effects (CRE) approach within the generalised method of moments (GMM), specifically applied to level equations, GMM-lev. It has the advantage of estimating the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-14 Maria Elena Bontempi , Jan Ditzen

Sequential estimation of a vector of linear regression coefficients is considered under both centralized and decentralized setups. In sequential estimation, the number of observations used for estimation is determined by the observed…

Applications · Statistics 2014-12-18 Yasin Yilmaz , George V. Moustakides , Xiaodong Wang

Multiclass probability estimation is the problem of estimating conditional probabilities of a data point belonging to a class given its covariate information. It has broad applications in statistical analysis and data science. Recently a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-23 Liyun Zeng , Hao Helen Zhang

The estimation of covariance matrices of multiple classes with limited training data is a difficult problem. The sample covariance matrix (SCM) is known to perform poorly when the number of variables is large compared to the available…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-10 Elias Raninen , Esa Ollila

Finite mixtures of regressions with fixed covariates are a commonly used model-based clustering methodology to deal with regression data. However, they assume assignment independence, i.e. the allocation of data points to the clusters is…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-27 Salvatore D. Tomarchio , Paul D. McNicholas , Antonio Punzo

We consider the inference problem for high-dimensional linear models, when covariates have an underlying spatial organization reflected in their correlation. A typical example of such a setting is high-resolution imaging, in which…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-07 Jérôme-Alexis Chevalier , Tuan-Binh Nguyen , Bertrand Thirion , Joseph Salmon

We introduce a class of hybrid M-estimators of multivariate scatter which, analogous to the popular spatial sign covariance matrix (SSCM), possess high breakdown points. We also show that the SSCM can be viewed as an extreme member of this…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-03 David E. Tyler , Mengxi Yi

There is a growing literature on design-based methods to estimate average treatment effects (ATEs) for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for full sample analyses. This article extends these methods to estimate ATEs for discrete subgroups…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-16 Peter Z. Schochet

In 2019, the World Health Organization identified dengue as one of the top ten global health threats. For the control of dengue, the Applying Wolbachia to Eliminate Dengue (AWED) study group conducted a cluster-randomized trial in…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-08 Bingkai Wang , Suzanne M. Dufault , Dylan S. Small , Nicholas P. Jewell

In a completely randomized experiment, the variances of treatment effect estimators in the finite population are usually not identifiable and hence not estimable. Although some estimable bounds of the variances have been established in the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-20 Ruoyu Wang , Qihua Wang , Wang Miao , Xiaohua Zhou

Pedestrian trajectory prediction is a key technology in many applications such as video surveillance, social robot navigation, and autonomous driving, and significant progress has been made in this research topic. However, there remain two…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-10-29 Hao Zhou , Dongchun Ren , Xu Yang , Mingyu Fan , Hai Huang

Background: Subgroup analyses are frequently conducted in randomized clinical trials to assess evidence of heterogeneous treatment effect across patient subpopulations. Although randomization balances covariates within subgroups in…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-05-27 Siyun Yang , Fan Li , Laine E. Thomas , Fan Li

Group-relative reinforcement learning with verifiable rewards (RLVR) often wastes the most informative data it already has the failures. When all rollouts are wrong, gradients stall; when one happens to be correct, the update usually…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Yongxin Wang , Zhicheng Yang , Meng Cao , Mingfei Han , Haokun Lin , Yingying Zhu , Xiaojun Chang , Xiaodan Liang

This article is meant to serve as a guide to recent developments in the study of the scaling limit of critical models. These new developments were made possible through the definition of the Stochastic Loewner Evolution (SLE) by Oded…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Wouter Kager , Bernard Nienhuis

This paper studies distributed estimation and inference for a general statistical problem with a convex loss that could be non-differentiable. For the purpose of efficient computation, we restrict ourselves to stochastic first-order…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-19 Xi Chen , Weidong Liu , Yichen Zhang