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Stochastic variational inference is an established way to carry out approximate Bayesian inference for deep models. While there have been effective proposals for good initializations for loss minimization in deep learning, far less…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-28 Simone Rossi , Pietro Michiardi , Maurizio Filippone

We construct a deep learning-based numerical algorithm to solve path-dependent partial differential equations arising in the context of rough volatility. Our approach is based on interpreting the PDE as a solution to an BSDE, building upon…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2026-02-03 Antoine Jacquier , Zan Zuric

We study two complementary methodologies for calibrating implied volatility surfaces: analytical approximations and data-driven models based on rough path theory. On the analytical side, we revisit a second-order asymptotic expansion for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-11 Elisa Alòs , Òscar Burés , Rafael de Santiago , Josep Vives

Extending Buehler et al.'s 2019 Deep Hedging paradigm, we innovatively employ deep neural networks to parameterize convex-risk minimization (CVaR/ES) for the portfolio tail-risk hedging problem. Through comprehensive numerical experiments…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Yuming Ma

In this paper we use convolutional neural networks to find the H\"older exponent of simulated sample paths of the rBergomi model, a recently proposed stock price model used in mathematical finance. We contextualise this as a calibration…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Henry Stone

This study presents a deep reinforcement learning approach for global hedging of long-term financial derivatives. A similar setup as in Coleman et al. (2007) is considered with the risk management of lookback options embedded in guarantees…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-31 Alexandre Carbonneau

Volatility for financial assets returns can be used to gauge the risk for financial market. We propose a deep stochastic volatility model (DSVM) based on the framework of deep latent variable models. It uses flexible deep learning models to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Xiuqin Xu , Ying Chen

We describe a high performance parallel implementation of a derivative pricing model, within which we introduce a new parallel method for the calibration of the industry standard SABR (stochastic-\alpha \beta \rho) stochastic volatility…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2013-01-15 Qasim Nasar-Ullah

An appropriate calibration and forecasting of volatility and market risk are some of the main challenges faced by companies that have to manage the uncertainty inherent to their investments or funding operations such as banks, pension funds…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 E. Ramos-Pérez , P. J. Alonso-González , J. J. Núñez-Velázquez

Deep neural networks can be roughly divided into deterministic neural networks and stochastic neural networks.The former is usually trained to achieve a mapping from input space to output space via maximum likelihood estimation for the…

Estimation and prediction in high dimensional multivariate factor stochastic volatility models is an important and active research area because such models allow a parsimonious representation of multivariate stochastic volatility. Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-27 David Gunawan , Robert Kohn , David Nott

This paper concerns models and convergence principles for dealing with stochasticity in a wide range of algorithms arising in nonlinear analysis and optimization in Hilbert spaces. It proposes a flexible geometric framework within which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-17 Patrick L. Combettes , Javier I. Madariaga

Deep kernel learning combines the non-parametric flexibility of kernel methods with the inductive biases of deep learning architectures. We propose a novel deep kernel learning model and stochastic variational inference procedure which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-03 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zhiting Hu , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

We present an algorithm for the calibration of local volatility from market option prices through deep self-consistent learning, by approximating both market option prices and local volatility using deep neural networks. Our method uses the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-11 Zhe Wang , Ameir Shaa , Nicolas Privault , Claude Guet

We present a novel Monte Carlo based LSV calibration algorithm that applies to all stochastic volatility models, including the non-Markovian rough volatility family. Our framework overcomes the limitations of the particle method proposed by…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-01 Aitor Muguruza

Probabilistic predictions from neural networks which account for predictive uncertainty during classification is crucial in many real-world and high-impact decision making settings. However, in practice most datasets are trained on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-30 Satya Borgohain , Klaus Ackermann , Ruben Loaiza-Maya

We investigate the adaptive robust control framework for portfolio optimization and loss-based hedging under drift and volatility uncertainty. Adaptive robust problems offer many advantages but require handling a double optimization problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-06 Tao Chen , Michael Ludkovski

Portfolio optimization has been a central problem in finance, often approached with two steps: calibrating the parameters and then solving an optimization problem. Yet, the two-step procedure sometimes encounter the "error maximization"…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-13 Ayse Sinem Uysal , Xiaoyue Li , John M. Mulvey

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

In this paper, we develop a hybrid approach to forecasting the volatility and risk of financial instruments by combining common econometric GARCH time series models with deep learning neural networks. For the latter, we employ Gated…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-03 Jakub Michańków , Łukasz Kwiatkowski , Janusz Morajda