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Related papers: On Second-Order Statistics of the Log-Average Peri…

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Strict stationarity is a common assumption used in the time series literature in order to derive asymptotic distributional results for second-order statistics, like sample autocovariances and sample autocorrelations. Focusing on weak…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-28 Yunyi Zhang , Efstathios Paparoditis , Dimitris N. Politis

In this article, we investigate posterior convergence in nonparametric regression models where the unknown regression function is modeled by some appropriate stochastic process. In this regard, we consider two setups. The first setup is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Debashis Chatterjee , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We introduce the concept of numerical Gaussian processes, which we define as Gaussian processes with covariance functions resulting from temporal discretization of time-dependent partial differential equations. Numerical Gaussian processes,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-03-31 Maziar Raissi , Paris Perdikaris , George Em Karniadakis

We consider covariance parameter estimation for Gaussian processes with functional inputs. From an increasing-domain asymptotics perspective, we prove the asymptotic consistency and normality of the maximum likelihood estimator. We extend…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-16 Lucas Reding , Andrés F. López-Lopera , François Bachoc

In current applied research the most-used route to an analysis of composition is through log-ratios -- that is, contrasts among log-transformed measurements. Here we argue instead for a more direct approach, using a statistical model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 David Firth , Fiona Sammut

Gaussian Process State Space Models (GP-SSM) are a data-driven stochastic model class suitable to represent nonlinear dynamics. They have become increasingly popular in non-parametric modeling approaches since they provide not only a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-19 Thomas Beckers , Sandra Hirche

Random walks with a fixed bias direction on randomly diluted cubic lattices far above the percolation threshold exhibit log-periodic oscillations in the effective exponent versus time. A scaling argument accounts for the numerical results…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Dietrich Stauffer , Didier Sornette

Computing accurate estimates of the Fourier transform of analog signals from discrete data points is important in many fields of science and engineering. The conventional approach of performing the discrete Fourier transform of the data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-08 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

Several proofs of the monotonicity of the non-Gaussianness (divergence with respect to a Gaussian random variable with identical second order statistics) of the sum of n independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) random variables were…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Jacob Binia

Consider binary observations whose response probability is an unknown smooth function of a set of covariates. Suppose that a prior on the response probability function is induced by a Gaussian process mapped to the unit interval through a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Subhashis Ghosal , Anindya Roy

We propose an approximation of the asymptotic variance that removes a certain discontinuity in the usual formula for the raw and the smoothed periodogram in case a data taper is used. It is based on an approximation of the covariance of the…

Computation · Statistics 2011-01-25 Michael Amrein , Hans R. Künsch

In this paper, we consider an inference problem for the first order autoregressive process with non-zero mean driven by a long memory stationary Gaussian process. Suppose that the covariance function of the noise can be expressed as…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-08-04 Yanping Lu

In complex systems, crucial parameters are often subject to unpredictable changes in time. Climate, biological evolution and networks provide numerous examples for such non-stationarities. In many cases, improved statistical models are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-12-09 Frederik Meudt , Martin Theissen , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Performance of ordinary least squares(OLS) method for the \emph{estimation of high dimensional stable state transition matrix} $A$(i.e., spectral radius $\rho(A)<1$) from a single noisy observed trajectory of the linear time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Muhammad Abdullah Naeem , Miroslav Pajic

Gaussian processes are arguably the most important class of spatiotemporal models within machine learning. They encode prior information about the modeled function and can be used for exact or approximate Bayesian learning. In many…

Gaussian processes models are widely adopted for nonparameteric/semi-parametric modeling. Identifiability issues occur when the mean model contains polynomials with unknown coefficients. Though resulting prediction is unaffected, this leads…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-02 Matthew Plumlee , V. Roshan Joseph

This article studies Markovian stochastic motion of a particle on a graph with finite number of nodes and periodically time-dependent transition rates that satisfy the detailed balance condition at any time. We show that under general…

Mesoscale and Nanoscale Physics · Physics 2015-06-03 Vladimir Y. Chernyak , John R. Klein , Nikolai A. Sinitsyn

Designing a covariance function that represents the underlying correlation is a crucial step in modeling complex natural systems, such as climate models. Geospatial datasets at a global scale usually suffer from non-stationarity and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-07-10 Chintan A. Dalal , Vladimir Pavlovic , Robert E. Kopp

This paper establishes a remarkable result regarding Palmdistributions for a log Gaussian Cox process: the reduced Palmdistribution for a log Gaussian Cox process is itself a log Gaussian Coxprocess which only differs from the original log…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-09 Jean-François Coeurjolly , Jesper Møller , Rasmus Waagepetersen

In this letter, we study the purely nonlinear oscillator by the method of action-angle variables of Hamiltonian systems. The frequency of the non-isochronous system is obtained, which agrees well with the previously known result. Exact…

Classical Physics · Physics 2019-07-24 Aritra Ghosh , Chandrasekhar Bhamidipati