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The analysis of nonstationary time series is of great importance in many scientific fields such as physics and neuroscience. In recent years, Gaussian process regression has attracted substantial attention as a robust and powerful method…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-01 Luca Ambrogioni , Eric Maris

To investigate and specify the statistical properties of cosmological fields with particular attention to possible non-Gaussian features, accurate formulae for the bispectrum and the bispectrum covariance are required. The bispectrum is the…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-30 Sandra Martin , Peter Schneider , Patrick Simon

This paper presents a new numerical scheme for simulating stochastic processes specified by their marginal distribution functions and covariance functions. Stochastic samples are firstly generated to automatically satisfy target marginal…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-08-11 Zhibao Zheng

Existing frequency domain methods for bootstrapping time series have a limited range. Consider for instance the class of spectral mean statistics (also called integrated periodograms) which includes many important statistics in time series…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-19 Marco Meyer , Efstathios Paparoditis , Jens-Peter Kreiss

Various approaches to stochastic processes exist, noting that key properties such as measurability and continuity are not trivially satisfied. We introduce a new theory for Gaussian processes using improper linear functionals. Using a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-15 Niels Lundtorp Olsen

We show that the sequence of moments of order less than 1 of averages of i.i.d. positive random variables is log-concave. For moments of order at least 1, we conjecture that the sequence is log-convex and show that this holds eventually for…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-12 Philip Lamkin , Tomasz Tkocz

In many areas of science one aims to estimate latent sub-population mean curves based only on observations of aggregated population curves. By aggregated curves we mean linear combination of functional data that cannot be observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-15 Ronaldo Dias , Nancy L. Garcia , Alexandra M. Schmidt

The persistence of a stochastic variable is the probability that it does not cross a given level during a fixed time interval. Although persistence is a simple concept to understand, it is in general hard to calculate. Here we consider zero…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-05-09 Markus Nyberg , Ludvig Lizana

Let $\eta=\{\eta(t);t\in [0,1]\}$ be a mean zero continuous Gaussian process with covariance $U=\{U(s,t),s,t\in [ 0,1]\},$ with $U(0,0)>0$. Let $\{\eta_{i};i=1,\ldots, k\}$ be independent copies of $\eta$ and set $ Y_{k}(t)=\sum_{i=1}^{k}…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Michael B. Marcus , Jay Rosen

We study estimation and prediction of Gaussian processes with covariance model belonging to the generalized Cauchy (GC) family, under fixed domain asymptotics. Gaussian processes with this kind of covariance function provide separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-07-23 Moreno Bevilacqua , Tarik Faouzi

The log Gaussian Cox process is a flexible class of Cox processes, whose intensity surface is stochastic, for incorporating complex spatial and time structure of point patterns. The straightforward inference based on Markov chain Monte…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-02 Shinichiro Shirota , Alan. E. Gelfand

This brief pedagogical note re-proves a simple theorem on the convergence, in $L_2$ and in probability, of time averages of non-stationary time series to the mean of expectation values. The basic condition is that the sum of covariances…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-03-22 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The central limit theorem ensures that a sum of random variables tends to a Gaussian distribution as their total number tends to infinity. However, for a class of positive random variables, we find that the sum tends faster to a log-normal…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2013-10-16 H. Mouri

In the frequency domain, the nearly constant loss, is characterized by a slope 1 in log of the real part of the electrical conductivity vs log frequency plots. It can be explained by an anomalous diffusion, defined by a random walk with the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-04-25 Baruch Vainas

Thesis is devoted to the application of cumulant analysis in the estimation of impulse response functions for continuous time-invariant linear systems, including systems with inner noises. The main assumption of the work is the second-order…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-26 Irina Blazhievska

For the multivariate COGARCH process, we obtain explicit expressions for the second-order structure of the "squared returns" process observed on an equidistant grid. Based on this, we present a generalized method of moments estimator for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-03 Thiago do Rêgo Sousa , Robert Stelzer

A functional method for calculating averages of the time-ordered exponential of a continuous isotropic random $N\times N$ matrix process is presented. The process is not assumed to be Gaussian. In particular, the Lyapunov exponents and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2016-05-04 Anton S. Il'yn , Valeria A. Sirota , Kirill P. Zybin

In this paper, we aim to develop the averaging principle for a slow-fast system of stochastic reaction-diffusion equations driven by Poisson random measures. The coefficients of the equation are assumed to be functions of time, and some of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-07-16 Yong Xu , Ruifang Wang

In this article, we primarily propose a novel Bayesian characterization of stationary and nonstationary stochastic processes. In practice, this theory aims to distinguish between global stationarity and nonstationarity for both parametric…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-04 Sucharita Roy , Sourabh Bhattacharya

We define the Wigner distribution of a tempered generalized stochastic process that is complex-valued symmetric Gaussian. This gives a time-frequency generalized stochastic process defined on the phase space. We study its covariance and our…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Patrik Wahlberg