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The reconstruction from observations of high-dimensional chaotic dynamics such as geophysical flows is hampered by (i) the partial and noisy observations that can realistically be obtained, (ii) the need to learn from long time series of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-31 Marc Bocquet , Julien Brajard , Alberto Carrassi , Laurent Bertino

Data Assimilation is the process in which we improve the representation of the state of a physical system by combining information coming from a numerical model, real-world observations, and some prior modelling. It is widely used to model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Victor Trappler , Arthur Vidard

Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

We introduce a score-based generative sampling method for solving the nonlinear filtering problem with robust accuracy. A major drawback of existing nonlinear filtering methods, e.g., particle filters, is the low stability. To overcome this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Feng Bao , Zezhong Zhang , Guannan Zhang

A goal of data assimilation is to infer stochastic dynamical behaviors with available observations. We consider transition phenomena between metastable states for a stochastic system with (non-Gaussian) $\alpha-$stable L\'evy noise. With…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-06-29 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan , Xingye Kan

Every day, weather forecasting centres around the world make use of noisy, incomplete observations of the atmosphere to update their weather forecasts. This process is known as data assimilation, data fusion or state estimation and is best…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2022-05-04 Daniel Tang , Nick Malleson

Data assimilation is the process of estimating the state of a dynamical system over time by combining model predictions with measurements. This task becomes challenging when the system is nonlinear and high-dimensional. To address this,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-22 Eunbi Yoon , Won Chang , Donghan Kim , Dae Wook Kim

We provide a clear and concise introduction to the subjects of inverse problems and data assimilation, and their inter-relations. The first part of our notes covers inverse problems; this refers to the study of how to estimate unknown model…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-02-15 Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Andrew M. Stuart , Armeen Taeb

Score-based generative models have demonstrated significant practical success in data-generating tasks. The models establish a diffusion process that perturbs the ground truth data to Gaussian noise and then learn the reverse process to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-24 Ziqing Wen , Xiaoge Deng , Ping Luo , Tao Sun , Dongsheng Li

Data assimilation (DA) integrates observations with a dynamical model to estimate states of PDE-governed systems. Model-driven methods (e.g., Kalman, particle) presuppose full knowledge of the true dynamics, which is not always satisfied in…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-06 Siyi Chen , Yixuan Jia , Qing Qu , He Sun , Jeffrey A Fessler

Learning dynamical systems from sparse observations is critical in numerous fields, including biology, finance, and physics. Even if tackling such problems is standard in general information fusion, it remains challenging for contemporary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Ella Tamir , Arno Solin

This paper is a contribution in the context of variational data assimilation combined with statistical learning. The framework of data assimilation traditionally uses data collected at sensor locations in order to bring corrections to a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Amina Benaceur , Barbara Verfürth

Data assimilation has become a key technique for combining physical models with observational data to estimate state variables. However, classical assimilation algorithms often struggle with the high nonlinearity present in both physical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Zhuoyuan Li , Bin Dong , Pingwen Zhang

Modelling partial differential equations (PDEs) is of crucial importance in science and engineering, and it includes tasks ranging from forecasting to inverse problems, such as data assimilation. However, most previous numerical and machine…

Data assimilation (DA) addresses the problem of sequentially estimating the state of a dynamical system from noisy and incomplete observations. In this work, we employ a diffusion model as a world model to simulate and predict the system's…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lifu Wei , Yinuo Ren , Naichen Shi , Yiping Lu

We propose a framework to perform Bayesian inference using conditional score-based diffusion models to solve a class of inverse problems in mechanics involving the inference of a specimen's spatially varying material properties from noisy…

This tutorial provides a broad introduction to Bayesian data assimilation that will be useful to practitioners, in interpreting algorithms and results, and for theoretical studies developing novel schemes with an understanding of the rich…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-28 Colin Grudzien , Marc Bocquet

Data assimilation (DA) has increasingly emerged as a critical tool for state estimation across a wide range of applications. It is significantly challenging when the governing equations of the underlying dynamics are unknown. To this end,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Ziyi Wang , Lijian Jiang

Ensemble data assimilation is a problem in determining the most likely phase space trajectory of a model of an observed dynamical sys- tem as it receives inputs from measurements passing information to the model. Using methods developed in…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-13 Henry D. I. Abarbanel

Diffusion models generate high-quality synthetic data. They operate by defining a continuous-time forward process which gradually adds Gaussian noise to data until fully corrupted. The corresponding reverse process progressively "denoises"…