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Gaussian processes (GPs) are Bayesian nonparametric models for function approximation with principled predictive uncertainty estimates. Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are multilayer generalizations of GPs that can represent complex marginal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-20 Qiuxian Meng , Yongyou Zhang

Gaussian processes (GPs) are flexible models that can capture complex structure in large-scale dataset due to their non-parametric nature. However, the usage of GPs in real-world application is limited due to their high computational cost…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-11-06 Congzheng Song , Yiming Sun

Probabilistic programming languages (PPLs) are a powerful modeling tool, able to represent any computable probability distribution. Unfortunately, probabilistic program inference is often intractable, and existing PPLs mostly rely on…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-19 Daniel Ritchie , Paul Horsfall , Noah D. Goodman

Gaussian process regression is a widely-applied method for function approximation and uncertainty quantification. The technique has gained popularity recently in the machine learning community due to its robustness and interpretability. The…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-12 Marcus M. Noack , James A. Sethian

Deep kernel learning combines the non-parametric flexibility of kernel methods with the inductive biases of deep learning architectures. We propose a novel deep kernel learning model and stochastic variational inference procedure which…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-03 Andrew Gordon Wilson , Zhiting Hu , Ruslan Salakhutdinov , Eric P. Xing

We present a theoretically grounded Gaussian process framework that leverages neural feature maps to construct expressive kernels. We show that the learned feature map can be interpreted as an optimal low-rank approximation to a Gram matrix…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-12 Anthony Stephenson

Modern Bayesian optimization and adaptive sampling methods increasingly rely on nonlinear parametric models, yet theoretical guarantees for such models under adaptive data collection remain limited. Existing analyses largely focus on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-14 Rafael Oliveira

Autoregressive large language models (LLMs) compress knowledge from their training data through next-token conditional distributions. This limits tractable querying of this knowledge to start-to-end autoregressive sampling. However, many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Edward J. Hu , Moksh Jain , Eric Elmoznino , Younesse Kaddar , Guillaume Lajoie , Yoshua Bengio , Nikolay Malkin

This paper presents a method for building a preconditioner for a kernel ridge regression problem, where the preconditioner is not only effective in its ability to reduce the condition number substantially, but also efficient in its…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-04-07 Gil Shabat , Era Choshen , Dvir Ben Or , Nadav Carmel

Probabilistic machine learning models are distinguished by their ability to integrate prior knowledge of noise statistics, smoothness parameters, and training data uncertainty. A common approach involves modeling data with Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-31 Cristian A. Galvis-Florez , Ahmad Farooq , Simo Särkkä

Simulation-based methods for statistical inference have evolved dramatically over the past 50 years, keeping pace with technological advancements. The field is undergoing a new revolution as it embraces the representational capacity of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-10-11 Andrew Zammit-Mangion , Matthew Sainsbury-Dale , Raphaël Huser

Gaussian process hyperparameter optimization requires linear solves with, and log-determinants of, large kernel matrices. Iterative numerical techniques are becoming popular to scale to larger datasets, relying on the conjugate gradient…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Jonathan Wenger , Geoff Pleiss , Philipp Hennig , John P. Cunningham , Jacob R. Gardner

Existing methods for structure discovery in time series data construct interpretable, compositional kernels for Gaussian process regression models. While the learned Gaussian process model provides posterior mean and variance estimates,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-22 David Janz , Brooks Paige , Tom Rainforth , Jan-Willem van de Meent , Frank Wood

We introduce a fast algorithm for Gaussian process regression in low dimensions, applicable to a widely-used family of non-stationary kernels. The non-stationarity of these kernels is induced by arbitrary spatially-varying vertical and…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-03-28 P. Michael Kielstra , Michael Lindsey

Amortized simulator-based inference offers a powerful framework for tackling Bayesian inference in computational fields such as engineering or neuroscience, increasingly leveraging modern generative methods like diffusion models to map…

Gaussian process regression (GPR) is a non-parametric Bayesian technique for interpolating or fitting data. The main barrier to further uptake of this powerful tool rests in the computational costs associated with the matrices which arise…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-05-16 Christopher J. Moore , Alvin J. K. Chua , Christopher P. L. Berry , Jonathan R. Gair

Gaussian processes (GPs) are a ubiquitous tool for geostatistical modeling with high levels of flexibility and interpretability, and the ability to make predictions at unseen spatial locations through a process called Kriging. Estimation of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-12 Brandon R. Feng , Reetam Majumder , Brian J. Reich , Mohamed A. Abba

Statistical physics approaches can be used to derive accurate predictions for the performance of inference methods learning from potentially noisy data, as quantified by the learning curve defined as the average error versus number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-11-07 Matthew J. Urry , Peter Sollich

Due to their uncertainty quantification, Bayesian solutions to inverse problems are the framework of choice in applications that are risk averse. These benefits come at the cost of computations that are in general, intractable. New advances…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-10 Rafael Orozco , Ali Siahkoohi , Mathias Louboutin , Felix J. Herrmann

Training and inference in Gaussian processes (GPs) require solving linear systems with $n\times n$ kernel matrices. To address the prohibitive $\mathcal{O}(n^3)$ time complexity, recent work has employed fast iterative methods, like…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-12 Kaiwen Wu , Jonathan Wenger , Haydn Jones , Geoff Pleiss , Jacob R. Gardner