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We tackle the challenge of detecting multiple change points in large time series by optimising a penalised likelihood derived from exponential family models. Dynamic programming algorithms can solve this task exactly with at most quadratic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-14 Vincent Runge , Charles Truong , Simon Querné

In the multiple changepoint setting, various search methods have been proposed which involve optimising either a constrained or penalised cost function over possible numbers and locations of changepoints using dynamic programming. Such…

Computation · Statistics 2014-12-12 Kaylea Haynes , Idris A. Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

We consider the problem of breaking a multivariate (vector) time series into segments over which the data is well explained as independent samples from a Gaussian distribution. We formulate this as a covariance-regularized maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-30 David Hallac , Peter Nystrup , Stephen Boyd

We consider the problem of detecting multiple changepoints in large data sets. Our focus is on applications where the number of changepoints will increase as we collect more data: for example in genetics as we analyse larger regions of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-17 R. Killick , P. Fearnhead , I. A. Eckley

In this paper we build on an approach proposed by Zou et al. (2014) for nonpara- metric changepoint detection. This approach defines the best segmentation for a data set as the one which minimises a penalised cost function, with the cost…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-04 Kaylea Haynes , Paul Fearnhead , Idris A. Eckley

Gaussian process (GP) regression provides a strategy for accelerating saddle point searches on high-dimensional energy surfaces by reducing the number of times the energy and its derivatives with respect to atomic coordinates need to be…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-12-03 Rohit Goswami , Hannes Jónsson

A common computational problem in multiple change-point models is to recover the segmentations with $1$ to $K_{max}$ change-points of minimal cost with respect to some loss function. Here we present an algorithm to prune the set of…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Guillem Rigaill

Change point analysis is a statistical tool to identify homogeneity within time series data. We propose a pruning approach for approximate nonparametric estimation of multiple change points. This general purpose change point detection…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Wenyu Zhang , Nicholas James , David Matteson

We present techniques for effective Gaussian process (GP) modelling of multiple short time series. These problems are common when applying GP models independently to each gene in a gene expression time series data set. Such sets typically…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-10 Hande Topa , Antti Honkela

We consider the problem of detecting change-points in univariate time series by fitting a continuous piecewise linear signal using the residual sum of squares. Values of the inferred signal at slope breaks are restricted to a finite set of…

Computation · Statistics 2022-04-08 Vincent Runge , Marco Pascucci , Nicolas Deschamps de Boishebert

In the considered linear Gaussian sensor scheduling problem, only one sensor out of a set of sensors performs a measurement. To minimize the estimation error over multiple time steps in a computationally tractable fashion, the so-called…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-03-30 Marco F. Huber

The Independent Cutset problem asks whether there is a set of vertices in a given graph that is both independent and a cutset. Such a problem is $\textsf{NP}$-complete even when the input graph is planar and has maximum degree five. In this…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-21 Johannes Rauch , Dieter Rautenbach , Uéverton S. Souza

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

The current landscape in time-series forecasting is dominated by Transformer-based models. Their high parameter count and corresponding demand in computational resources pose a challenge to real-world deployment, especially for commercial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-18 Nicholas Kiefer , Arvid Weyrauch , Muhammed Öz , Achim Streit , Markus Götz , Charlotte Debus

Deep learning approaches have provided state-of-the-art performance in many applications by relying on large and overparameterized neural networks. However, such networks have been shown to be very brittle and are difficult to deploy on…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Zhimin Li , Shusen Liu , Xin Yu , Kailkhura Bhavya , Jie Cao , Diffenderfer James Daniel , Peer-Timo Bremer , Valerio Pascucci

Dual-tree algorithms are a widely used class of branch-and-bound algorithms. Unfortunately, developing dual-tree algorithms for use with different trees and problems is often complex and burdensome. We introduce a four-part logical split:…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-04-17 Ryan R. Curtin , William B. March , Parikshit Ram , David V. Anderson , Alexander G. Gray , Charles L. Isbell

Change point analysis is concerned with detecting and locating structure breaks in the underlying model of a sequence of observations ordered by time, space or other variables. A widely adopted approach for change point analysis is to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-10 Xingchi Li , Xianyang Zhang

Periodicity is often studied in timeseries modelling with autoregressive methods but is less popular in the kernel literature, particularly for higher dimensional problems such as in textures, crystallography, and quantum mechanics. Large…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-15 Anthony Tompkins , Fabio Ramos

Inconsistent values are commonly encountered in real-world applications, which can negatively impact data analysis and decision-making. While existing research primarily focuses on identifying the smallest removal set to resolve…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2025-12-23 Haoda Li , Jiahui Chen , Yu Sun , Shaoxu Song , Haiwei Zhang , Xiaojie Yuan

There is an increasing need for algorithms that can accurately detect changepoints in long time-series, or equivalent, data. Many common approaches to detecting changepoints, for example based on penalised likelihood or minimum description…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-08 Robert Maidstone , Toby Hocking , Guillem Rigaill , Paul Fearnhead
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