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We study a stochastic program where the probability distribution of the uncertain problem parameters is unknown and only indirectly observed via finitely many correlated samples generated by an unknown Markov chain with $d$ states. We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-15 Mengmeng Li , Tobias Sutter , Daniel Kuhn

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) is a powerful framework for training robust models against data distribution shifts. This paper focuses on constrained DRO, which has an explicit characterization of the robustness level. Existing…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Qi Zhang , Yi Zhou , Ashley Prater-Bennette , Lixin Shen , Shaofeng Zou

Subsampling is a widely used and effective approach for addressing the computational challenges posed by massive datasets. Substantial progress has been made in developing non-uniform, probability-based subsampling schemes that prioritize…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-07 Dingyi Wang , Haiying Wang , Qingpei Hu

Seeking to improve model generalization, we consider a new approach based on distributionally robust learning (DRL) that applies stochastic gradient descent to the outer minimization problem. Our algorithm efficiently estimates the gradient…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Soumyadip Ghosh , Mark Squillante

Performativity means that the deployment of a predictive model incentivizes agents to strategically adapt their behavior, thereby inducing a model-dependent distribution shift. Practitioners often repeatedly retrain the model on data…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Siyi Wang , Zifan Wang , Karl H. Johansson

Stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) has been a promising solution to complex control problems under uncertain disturbances. However, traditional SMPC approaches either require exact knowledge of probabilistic distributions, or rely…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-01-03 Chao Shang , Fengqi You

Three major challenges in reinforcement learning are the complex dynamical systems with large state spaces, the costly data acquisition processes, and the deviation of real-world dynamics from the training environment deployment. To…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-04 Shyam Sundhar Ramesh , Pier Giuseppe Sessa , Yifan Hu , Andreas Krause , Ilija Bogunovic

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) problems are increasingly seen as a viable method to train machine learning models for improved model generalization. These min-max formulations, however, are more difficult to solve. We therefore…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-11-03 Soumyadip Ghosh , Mark Squillante , Ebisa Wollega

This paper proposes a novel framework for the distributionally robust input and state estimation (DRISE) for autonomous vehicles operating under model uncertainties and measurement outliers. The proposed framework improves the input and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-15 Kasra Azizi , Kumar Anurag , Wenbin Wan

Stochastic simulation is widely used to study complex systems composed of various interconnected subprocesses, such as input processes, routing and control logic, optimization routines, and data-driven decision modules. In practice, these…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-19 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman , Yaxian Li

This paper introduces an optimization problem (P) and a solution strategy to design variable-speed-limit controls for a highway that is subject to traffic congestion and uncertain vehicle arrival and departure. By employing a finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-08 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

We consider a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. Such uncertainty not only comes from the fact that the true probability law of the underlying stochastic process is unknown, but the parametric family…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-23 Erhan Bayraktar , Tao Chen

In large-scale time series forecasting, one often encounters the situation where the temporal patterns of time series, while drifting over time, differ from one another in the same dataset. In this paper, we provably show under such…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-14 Yucheng Lu , Youngsuk Park , Lifan Chen , Yuyang Wang , Christopher De Sa , Dean Foster

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) studies decision problems under uncertainty where the probability distribution governing the uncertain problem parameters is itself uncertain. A key component of any DRO model is its ambiguity set,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-28 Daniel Kuhn , Soroosh Shafiee , Wolfram Wiesemann

We consider the problem of designing control laws for stochastic jump linear systems where the disturbances are drawn randomly from a finite sample space according to an unknown distribution, which is estimated from a finite sample of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Mathijs Schuurmans , Pantelis Sopasakis , Panagiotis Patrinos

In this paper, we develop a distributionally robust model predictive control framework for the control of wind farms with the goal of power tracking and mechanical stress reduction of the individual wind turbines. We introduce an ARMA model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

This paper presents a Model-Inspired Distributionally Robust Data-enabled Predictive Control (MDR-DeePC) framework for systems with partially known and uncertain dynamics. The proposed method integrates model-based equality constraints for…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Shihao Li , Jiachen Li , Christopher Martin , Soovadeep Bakshi , Dongmei Chen

This work considers the allocation problem for multivariate stratified random sampling as a problem of integer non-linear stochastic multiobjective mathematical programming. With this goal in mind the asymptotic distribution of the vector…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-07 Jose A. Diaz-Garcia , Rogelio Ramos-Quiroga

Robust Bayesian inference using density power divergence (DPD) has emerged as a promising approach for handling outliers in statistical estimation. Although the DPD-based posterior offers theoretical guarantees of robustness, its practical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Naruki Sonobe , Tomotaka Momozaki , Tomoyuki Nakagawa

Statistical learning under distribution shift is challenging when neither prior knowledge nor fully accessible data from the target distribution is available. Distributionally robust learning (DRL) aims to control the worst-case statistical…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-19 Yu Gui , Rina Foygel Barber , Cong Ma