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Obtaining reliable and accurate quantification of uncertainty estimates from deep neural networks is important in safety-critical applications. A well-calibrated model should be accurate when it is certain about its prediction and indicate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-16 Ranganath Krishnan , Omesh Tickoo

To assure that an autonomous car is driving safely on public roads, its object detection module should not only work correctly, but show its prediction confidence as well. Previous object detectors driven by deep learning do not explicitly…

Robotics · Computer Science 2018-09-10 Di Feng , Lars Rosenbaum , Klaus Dietmayer

Uncertainty representation and quantification are paramount in machine learning and constitute an important prerequisite for safety-critical applications. In this paper, we propose novel measures for the quantification of aleatoric and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-22 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

This paper studies the problem of exact localization of sparse (point or extended) objects with noisy data. The crux of the proposed approach consists of random illumination. Several recovery methods are analyzed: the Lasso, BPDN and the…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-05-19 Albert Fannjiang

In this paper, we propose a novel form of the loss function to increase the performance of LiDAR-based 3d object detection and obtain more explainable and convincing uncertainty for the prediction. The loss function was designed using…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-19 Hujie Pan , Zining Wang , Wei Zhan , Masayoshi Tomizuka

Simultaneous localization and tracking (SLAT) in sensor networks aims to determine the positions of sensor nodes and a moving target in a network, given incomplete and inaccurate range measurements between the target and each of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Pınar Oğuz-Ekim , João Gomes , João Xavier , Paulo Oliveira

Uncertainty in LiDAR measurements, stemming from factors such as range sensing, is crucial for LIO (LiDAR-Inertial Odometry) systems as it affects the accurate weighting in the loss function. While recent LIO systems address uncertainty…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-08-06 Kai Huang , Junqiao Zhao , Jiaye Lin , Zhongyang Zhu , Shuangfu Song , Chen Ye , Tiantian Feng

In this paper, we present results on improving out-of-domain weather prediction and uncertainty estimation as part of the \texttt{Shifts Challenge on Robustness and Uncertainty under Real-World Distributional Shift} challenge. We find that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-10 Sankalp Gilda , Neel Bhandari , Wendy Mak , Andrea Panizza

Although Neural Radiance Fields (NeRFs) have markedly improved novel view synthesis, accurate uncertainty quantification in their image predictions remains an open problem. The prevailing methods for estimating uncertainty, including the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Niki Amini-Naieni , Tomas Jakab , Andrea Vedaldi , Ronald Clark

Currently, the improvement of LiDAR poses estimation accuracy is an urgent need for mobile robots. Research indicates that diverse LiDAR points have different influences on the accuracy of pose estimation. This study aimed to select a good…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Zeyu Wan , Yu Zhang , Bin He , Zhuofan Cui , Weichen Dai , Lipu Zhou , Guoquan Huang

We tackle the fundamentally ill-posed problem of 3D human localization from monocular RGB images. Driven by the limitation of neural networks outputting point estimates, we address the ambiguity in the task by predicting confidence…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-21 Lorenzo Bertoni , Sven Kreiss , Alexandre Alahi

The assessment of binary classifier performance traditionally centers on discriminative ability using metrics, such as accuracy. However, these metrics often disregard the model's inherent uncertainty, especially when dealing with sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Agathe Fernandes Machado , Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire , Ewen Gallic , François Hu

Modern machine learning methods including deep learning have achieved great success in predictive accuracy for supervised learning tasks, but may still fall short in giving useful estimates of their predictive {\em uncertainty}. Quantifying…

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

We present a novel scalable, fully distributed, and online method for simultaneous localisation and extrinsic calibration for multi-robot setups. Individual a priori unknown robot poses are probabilistically inferred as robots sense each…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-01-29 Riku Murai , Ignacio Alzugaray , Paul H. J. Kelly , Andrew J. Davison

State-of-the-art lidar place recognition models exhibit unreliable performance when tested on environments different from their training dataset, which limits their use in complex and evolving environments. To address this issue, we…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-07-13 Keita Mason , Joshua Knights , Milad Ramezani , Peyman Moghadam , Dimity Miller

Machine learning classifiers are probabilistic in nature, and thus inevitably involve uncertainty. Predicting the probability of a specific input to be correct is called uncertainty (or confidence) estimation and is crucial for risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Gabriella Chouraqui , Liron Cohen , Gil Einziger , Liel Leman

We study stochastic dynamical systems in settings where only partial statistical information about the noise is available, e.g., in the form of a limited number of noise realizations. Such systems are particularly challenging to analyze and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-04-06 Liviu Aolaritei , Nicolas Lanzetti , Florian Dörfler

A standard paradigm of localization microscopy involves extension from two to three dimensions by engineering information into emitter images, and approximation of errors resulting from the field dependence of optical aberrations. We invert…

Signal detection in environments with unknown signal bandwidth and time intervals is a fundamental problem in adversarial and spectrum-sharing scenarios. This paper addresses the problem of detecting signals occupying unknown degrees of…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-21 Ali Rasteh , Sundeep Rangan