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Hypothesis testing and other statistical inference procedures are most efficient when a reliable low-dimensional parametric family can be specified. We propose a method that learns such a family when one exists but its form is not known a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-29 William Fithian , Daniel Ting

The problem of hypothesis testing is examined from both the historical and Bayesian points of view in the case that sampling is from an underlying joint probability distribution and the hypotheses tested for are those of independence and…

comp-gas · Physics 2008-02-03 David Wolf

Hypothesis testing is an important problem with applications in target localization, clinical trials etc. Many active hypothesis testing strategies operate in two phases: an exploration phase and a verification phase. In the exploration…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-05 Dhruva Kartik , Ashutosh Nayyar , Urbashi Mitra

Suppose that at any stage of a statistical experiment a control variable $X$ that affects the distribution of the observed data $Y$ can be used. The distribution of $Y$ depends on some unknown parameter $\theta$, and we consider the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-05-05 Andrey Novikov

Two-sample hypothesis testing for network comparison presents many significant challenges, including: leveraging repeated network observations and known node registration, but without requiring them to operate; relaxing strong structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-05 Meijia Shao , Dong Xia , Yuan Zhang , Qiong Wu , Shuo Chen

We consider the problem of sequentially testing a simple null hypothesis versus a composite alternative hypothesis that consists of a finite set of densities. We study sequential tests that are based on thresholding of mixture-based…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-01-23 Georgios Fellouris , Alexander G. Tartakovsky

Forecasting techniques for assessing the power of future experiments to discriminate between theories or discover new laws of nature are of great interest in many areas of science. In this paper, we introduce a Bayesian forecasting method…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-24 Mohammad Hossein Namjoo

In the problem of composite hypothesis testing, identifying the potential uniformly most powerful (UMP) unbiased test is of great interest. Beyond typical hypothesis settings with exponential family, it is usually challenging to prove the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-03 Tianyu Zhan , Jian Kang

This paper demonstrates a methodology for examining the accuracy of uncertain inference systems (UIS), after their parameters have been optimized, and does so for several common UIS's. This methodology may be used to test the accuracy when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-11 Ben P. Wise

Information accounting provides a better foundation for hypothesis testing than does uncertainty quantification. A quantitative account of science is derived under this perspective that alleviates the need for epistemic bridge principles,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-04-26 Grey Nearing , Hoshin Gupta

We servey a series of investigations of optimal testing of multiple hypotheses conserning various multiobject models. These studies are a bright instance of application of methods and technics developed in Shannon information theory to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-16 Evgueni Haroutunian , Parandzem Hakobyan

Several scenarios require the optimization of non-convex black-box functions, that are noisy expensive to evaluate functions with unknown analytical expression, whose gradients are hence not accessible. For example, the hyper-parameter…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Eduardo C. Garrido-Merchán

Integrated information theory (IIT) starts from consciousness itself and identifies a set of properties (axioms) that are true of every conceivable experience. The axioms are translated into a set of postulates about the substrate of…

Matching for causal inference is a well-studied problem, but standard methods fail when the units to match are text documents: the high-dimensional and rich nature of the data renders exact matching infeasible, causes propensity scores to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-15 Reagan Mozer , Luke Miratrix , Aaron Russell Kaufman , L. Jason Anastasopoulos

In supervised learning, automatically assessing the quality of the labels before any learning takes place remains an open research question. In certain particular cases, hypothesis testing procedures have been proposed to assess whether a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-19 Weisong Yang , Rafael Poyiadzi , Niall Twomey , Raul Santos Rodriguez

The Bayesian brain hypothesis has been a leading theory in understanding perceptual decision-making under uncertainty. While extensive psychophysical evidence supports the notion of the brain performing Bayesian computations, how…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-05 Po-Chen Kuo , Edgar Y. Walker

The technique of ``testing by betting" frames nonparametric sequential hypothesis testing as a multiple-round game, where a player bets on future observations that arrive in a streaming fashion, accumulates wealth that quantifies evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Can Chen , Jun-Kun Wang

In epidemic or pandemic situations, resources for testing the infection status of individuals may be scarce. Although group testing can help to significantly increase testing capabilities, the (repeated) testing of entire populations can…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-10-29 Günther Koliander , Georg Pichler

Independence testing is a fundamental problem in statistical inference: given samples from a joint distribution $p$ over multiple random variables, the goal is to determine whether $p$ is a product distribution or is $\epsilon$-far from all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-06 Maryam Aliakbarpour , Alireza Azizi , Ria Stevens

In applied settings, tests of hypothesis where a nuisance parameter is only identifiable under the alternative often reduces into one of Testing One Hypothesis Multiple times (TOHM). Specifically, a fine discretization of the space of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-06 Sara Algeri , David A. van Dyk