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Accurate modeling of lockdown effects on SARS-CoV-2 epidemic evolution is a key issue in order e.g. to inform health-care decisions on emergency management. The compartmental and spatial models so far proposed use parametric descriptions of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-31 Gianluigi Pillonetto , Mauro Bisiacco , Giorgio Palù , Claudio Cobelli

Micro-randomized trials are commonly conducted for optimizing mobile health interventions such as push notifications for behavior change. In analyzing such trials, causal excursion effects are often of primary interest, and their estimation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-19 Yihan Bao , Lauren Bell , Elizabeth Williamson , Claire Garnett , Tianchen Qian

Bayesian nonparametric methods are a popular choice for analysing survival data due to their ability to flexibly model the distribution of survival times. These methods typically employ a nonparametric prior on the survival function that is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-22 Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

The COVID-19 pandemic (SARS-CoV-2 virus) is the defying global health crisis of our time. The absence of mass testing and the relevant presence of asymptomatic individuals causes the available data of the COVID-19 pandemic in Brazil to be…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-06-30 Saulo B. Bastos , Marcelo M. Morato , Daniel O. Cajueiro anda Julio E Normey-Rico

Nonparametric density estimation for compositional data supported on the simplex is examined under a missing at random mechanism. Rather than imputing missing values and estimating the density from a completed data set, we adopt a strategy…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Hanen Daayeb , Wissem Jedidi , Salah Khardani , Guanjie Lyu , Frédéric Ouimet

This paper develops semiparametric methods for estimation and inference of widely used inequality measures when survey data are subject to nonignorable nonresponse, a challenging setting in which response probabilities depend on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-16 Xinyu Wang , Chunlin Wang , Tao Yu , Pengfei Li

Serology testing can identify past infection by quantifying the immune response of an infected individual providing important public health guidance. Individual immune responses are time-dependent, which is reflected in antibody…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2022-08-04 Prajakta Bedekar , Anthony J. Kearsley , Paul N. Patrone

Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) are often considered the gold standard for estimating causal effect, but they may lack external validity when the population eligible to the RCT is substantially different from the target population.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Bénédicte Colnet , Julie Josse , Erwan Scornet , Gaël Varoquaux

When the sample path of a Hawkes process is observed discretely, such that only the total event counts in disjoint time intervals are known, the likelihood function becomes intractable. To overcome the challenge of likelihood-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-24 Jason J. Lambe , Feng Chen , Tom Stindl , Tsz-Kit Jeffrey Kwan

Many political surveys rely on post-stratification, raking, or related weighting adjustments to align respondents with the target population. But when respondents differ from nonrespondents on the outcome itself (nonignorable nonresponse),…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Lukáš Lafférs , Jozef Michal Mintal , Ivan Sutóris

The weak convergence of the quantile processes, which are constructed based on different estimators of the finite population quantiles, is shown under various well-known sampling designs based on a superpopulation model. The results related…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-02 Anurag Dey , Probal Chaudhuri

An innovative sampling strategy is proposed, which applies to large-scale population-based surveys targeting a rare trait that is unevenly spread over a geographical area of interest. Our proposal is characterised by the ability to tailor…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-07 Fulvia Mecatti , Charalambos Sismanidis , Emanuela Furfaro

Quasi-randomization approaches estimate latent participation probabilities for units from a nonprobability / convenience sample. Estimation of participation probabilities for convenience units allows their combination with units from the…

Randomized controlled trials are the gold standard for measuring causal effects. However, they are often not always feasible, and causal treatment effects must be estimated from observational data. Observational studies do not allow robust…

Publication bias is a major concern in conducting systematic reviews and meta-analyses. Various sensitivity analysis or bias-correction methods have been developed based on selection models and they have some advantages over the widely used…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-28 Ao Huang , Kosuke Morikawa , Tim Friede , Satoshi Hattori

Since December 2019 the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 has been identified as the cause of the pandemic COVID-19. Early symptoms overlap with other common conditions such as common cold and Influenza, making early screening and diagnosis are…

Selection bias can hinder accurate estimation of association parameters in binary disease risk models using non-probability samples like electronic health records (EHRs). The issue is compounded when participants are recruited from multiple…

The deadly coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has gone out of control globally. Despite much effort by scientists, medical experts, and society in general, the…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2021-02-02 Kaifu Gao , Rui Wang , Jiahui Chen , Limei Cheng , Jaclyn Frishcosy , Yuta Huzumi , Yuchi Qiu , Tom Schluckbier , Guo-Wei Wei

There is a growing trend among statistical agencies to explore non-probability data sources for producing more timely and detailed statistics, while reducing costs and respondent burden. Coverage and measurement error are two issues that…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-19 Lyndon Ang , Robert Clark , Bronwyn Loong , Anders Holmberg

Model averaging methods have become an increasingly popular tool for improving predictions and dealing with model uncertainty, especially in Bayesian settings. Recently, frequentist model averaging methods such as information theoretic and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-04-18 Kevin Huynh