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Prediction polling is an increasingly popular form of crowdsourcing in which multiple participants estimate the probability or magnitude of some future event. These estimates are then aggregated into a single forecast. Historically,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-04-25 Ville A. Satopää , Shane T. Jensen , Robin Pemantle , Lyle H. Ungar

Emerging methods for participatory algorithm design have proposed collecting and aggregating individual stakeholder preferences to create algorithmic systems that account for those stakeholders' values. Using algorithmic student assignment…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Samantha Robertson , Niloufar Salehi

In this paper we extend the principle of proportional representation to rankings. We consider the setting where alternatives need to be ranked based on approval preferences. In this setting, proportional representation requires that…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-12-06 Piotr Skowron , Martin Lackner , Markus Brill , Dominik Peters , Edith Elkind

There are some shreds of evidence that social opinion polarization leads to the breakup of the relationship, some in the scale of small communities, but others can divide large organizations or even a nation. The legacy methodology to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Andry Alamsyah , Wachda Yuniar Rochmah , Arina Nahya Nurnafia

Theories of democratic stability, populism, and party-system crisis often point to a form of polarization that comparative research rarely measures directly: hostile relations among political elites. Existing comparative measures capture…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Gennadii Iakovlev

As the issue of robustness in AI systems becomes vital, statistical learning techniques that are reliable even in presence of partly contaminated data have to be developed. Preference data, in the form of (complete) rankings in the simplest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Morgane Goibert , Clément Calauzènes , Ekhine Irurozki , Stéphan Clémençon

We propose a novel and efficient algorithm for the collaborative preference completion problem, which involves jointly estimating individualized rankings for a set of entities over a shared set of items, based on a limited number of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-16 Suriya Gunasekar , Oluwasanmi Koyejo , Joydeep Ghosh

Probabilistic predictions can be evaluated through comparisons with observed label frequencies, that is, through the lens of calibration. Recent scholarship on algorithmic fairness has started to look at a growing variety of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-16 Benedikt Höltgen , Robert C Williamson

With Artificial Intelligence systems increasingly applied in consequential domains, researchers have begun to ask how these systems ought to act in ethically charged situations where even humans lack consensus. In the Moral Machine project,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-05-30 Michael Feffer , Hoda Heidari , Zachary C. Lipton

The related concepts of partisan belief systems, issue alignment, and partisan sorting are central to our understanding of politics. These phenomena have been studied using measures of alignment between pairs of topics, or how much…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Letizia Iannucci , Ali Faqeeh , Ali Salloum , Ted Hsuan Yun Chen , Mikko Kivelä

Large-scale social networks are thought to contribute to polarization by amplifying people's biases. However, the complexity of these technologies makes it difficult to identify the mechanisms responsible and to evaluate mitigation…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-10-07 Mathew D. Hardy , Bill D. Thompson , P. M. Krafft , Thomas L. Griffiths

The ranking problem is to order a collection of units by some unobserved parameter, based on observations from the associated distribution. This problem arises naturally in a number of contexts, such as business, where we may want to rank…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Toby Kenney

This work is motivated by the need to assess the degree of agreement between two independent groups of raters. It proposes two new methods.

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-18 Madhusmita Panda , Sharayu Paranjpe , Anil Gore

In recent years, the ease with which social media can be accessed has led to the unexpected problem of a shrinkage in information sources. This phenomenon is caused by a system that facilitates the connection of people with similar ideas…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-17 Naoki Hirakura , Masaki Aida , Konosuke Kawashima

The questions in a crowdsourcing task typically exhibit varying degrees of difficulty and subjectivity. Their joint effects give rise to the variation in responses to the same question by different crowd-workers. This variation is low when…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-02-15 Yuan Jin , Mark Carman , Ye Zhu , Wray Buntine

Digital technologies can augment civic participation by facilitating the expression of detailed political preferences. Yet, digital participation efforts often rely on methods optimized for elections involving a few candidates. Here we…

Democracies employ elections at various scales to select officials at the corresponding levels of administration. The geographical distribution of political opinion, the policy issues delegated to each level, and the multilevel interactions…

Applications · Statistics 2022-11-03 Sihao Huang , Alexander F. Siegenfeld , Andrew Gelman

Members of different political groups not only disagree about issues but also dislike and distrust each other. While social media can amplify this emotional divide -- called affective polarization by political scientists -- there is a lack…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Kristina Lerman , Dan Feldman , Zihao He , Ashwin Rao

We measure polarization in the United States Congress using the network science concept of modularity. Modularity provides a conceptually-clear measure of polarization that reveals both the number of relevant groups and the strength of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2011-07-26 Andrew Scott Waugh , Liuyi Pei , James H. Fowler , Peter J. Mucha , Mason A. Porter

We present a novel explanation for the group polarization effect whereby discussion among like-minded individuals induces shifts toward the extreme. Our theory distinguishes between a quantitative policy under debate and the discussion's…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-09 Michael Gabbay , Zane Kelly , Justin Reedy , John Gastil
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