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We describe a simple form of importance sampling designed to bound and compute large-deviation rate functions for time-extensive dynamical observables in continuous-time Markov chains. We start with a model, defined by a set of rates, and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-12-04 Daniel Jacobson , Stephen Whitelam

We present an analytical technique to compute the probability of rare events in which the largest eigenvalue of a random matrix is atypically large (i.e.\ the right tail of its large deviations). The results also transfer to the left tail…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Antoine Maillard

We present here a simple method for computing the large deviation of long time average for stochastic jump processes. We show that the computation of the rate function can be reduced to that of a partial differential equation governing the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-04-22 Bahram Houchmandzadeh

A large deviation function mathematically characterizes the statistical property of atypical events. Recently, in non-equilibrium statistical mechanics, large deviation functions have been used to describe universal laws such as the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2012-04-26 Shin-ichi Sasa

We establish a large-deviations principle for the largest eigenvalue of a generalized sample covariance matrix, meaning a matrix proportional to $Z^T \Gamma Z$, where $Z$ has i.i.d. real or complex entries and $\Gamma$ is not necessarily…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-07 Jonathan Husson , Benjamin McKenna

We study large deviation properties of random matricial spectral measures.

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-21 Fabrice Gamboa , Alain Rouault

We investigate large deviations for the empirical measure of the forward and backward recurrence time processes associated with a classical renewal process with arbitrary waiting-time distribution. The Donsker-Varadhan theory cannot be…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-09-22 Raphael Lefevere , Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

This paper investigates the large deviation problem in the sample path space of the nearest-neighbor random walks on regular trees. We establish the sample path large deviation principle for the law of the distance from a nearest random…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-07 Jie Jiang , Shuwen Lai

Constructions in type-driven compositional distributional semantics associate large collections of matrices of size $D$ to linguistic corpora. We develop the proposal of analysing the statistical characteristics of this data in the…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2020-01-29 Sanjaye Ramgoolam , Mehrnoosh Sadrzadeh , Lewis Sword

Extensive time-series encoding the position of particles such as viruses, vesicles, or individual proteins are routinely garnered in single-particle tracking experiments or supercomputing studies. They contain vital clues on how viruses…

The usual step-down and step-up multiple testing procedures most often lack an important intuitive, practical, and theoretical property called the interval property. In short, the interval property is simply that for an individual…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-25 Arthur Cohen , Harold Sackrowitz

We calculate the large deviations for the length of the longest alternating subsequence and for the length of the longest increasing subsequence in a uniformly random permutation that avoids a pattern of length three. We treat all six…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-04 Ross G. Pinsky

The problem of guessing a random string is revisited. A close relation between guessing and compression is first established. Then it is shown that if the sequence of distributions of the information spectrum satisfies the large deviation…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-08-12 Manjesh Kumar Hanawal , Rajesh Sundaresan

We study two-layer belief networks of binary random variables in which the conditional probabilities Pr[childlparents] depend monotonically on weighted sums of the parents. In large networks where exact probabilistic inference is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-01 Michael Kearns , Lawrence Saul

This work analyzes singular-value spectra of weight matrices in pretrained transformer models to understand how information is stored at both ends of the spectrum. Using Random Matrix Theory (RMT) as a zero information hypothesis, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Max Staats , Matthias Thamm , Bernd Rosenow

We present and establish large deviations principles for general multivariate renewal-reward processes associated with a classical discrete-time renewal process. A renewal-reward process describes a cumulative reward over time, supposing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2019-04-11 Marco Zamparo

We consider a finite collection of independent Hermitian heavy-tailed random matrices of growing dimension. Our model includes the L\'evy matrices proposed by Bouchaud and Cizeau, as well as sparse random matrices with O(1) non-zero entries…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Charles Bordenave , Alice Guionnet , Camille Male

We present a general method to detect and extract from a finite time sample statistically meaningful correlations between input and output variables of large dimensionality. Our central result is derived from the theory of free random…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Laurent Laloux , M. Augusta Miceli , Marc Potters

Large Language Models (LLMs) are increasingly utilized in autonomous decision-making, where they sample options from vast action spaces. However, the heuristics that guide this sampling process remain under explored. We study this sampling…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Sarath Sivaprasad , Pramod Kaushik , Sahar Abdelnabi , Mario Fritz

A general framework of latent trait item response models for continuous responses is given. In contrast to classical test theory models, which traditionally distinguish between true scores and error scores, the responses are clearly linked…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-11 Gerhard Tutz , Pascal Jordan