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The autocovariance least squares (ALS) method is a computationally efficient approach for estimating noise covariances in Kalman filters without requiring specific noise models. However, conventional ALS and its variants rely on the classic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Jiahong Li , Fang Deng

We propose analytical mean square error (MSE) expressions for the Kalman filter (KF) and the Kalman smoother (KS) for benchmark studies, where the true system dynamics are unknown or unavailable to the estimator. In such cases, as in…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-18 Batin Kurt , Umut Orguner

We develop a fast algorithm for Kalman Filter applied to the random walk forecast model. The key idea is an efficient representation of the estimate covariance matrix at each time-step as a weighted sum of two contributions - the process…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-13 Arvind K. Saibaba , Eric Miller , Peter K. Kitanidis

This study targets the mixed-integer black-box optimization (MI-BBO) problem where continuous and integer variables should be optimized simultaneously. The CMA-ES, our focus in this study, is a population-based stochastic search method that…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Ryoki Hamano , Shota Saito , Masahiro Nomura , Shinichi Shirakawa

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a widely-used method for optimizing expensive-to-evaluate black-box functions. Traditional BO assumes that the learner has full control over all query variables without additional constraints. However, in many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-23 Vu Viet Hoang , Quoc Anh Hoang Nguyen , Hung Tran The

Bayesian optimization (BO) is widely used for black-box optimization problems, and have been shown to perform well in various real-world tasks. However, most of the existing BO methods aim to learn the optimal solution, which may become…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-20 Xiaobin Song , Benben Jiang

Simultaneous Input and State Estimation (SISE) enables the reconstruction of unknown inputs and internal states in dynamical systems, with applications in fault detection, robotics, and control. While various methods exist for linear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-08 Rodrigo A. González , Angel L. Cedeño

System identification poses a significant bottleneck to characterizing and controlling complex systems. This challenge is greatest when both the system states and parameters are not directly accessible leading to a dual-estimation problem.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-04-08 Matthew F. Singh , Chong Wang , Michael W. Cole , ShiNung Ching

We present the results of a comprehensive study of optimization algorithms for the calibration of quantum devices. As part of our ongoing efforts to automate bring-up, tune-up, and system identification procedures, we investigate a broad…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Kevin Pack , Shai Machnes , Frank K. Wilhelm

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a popular method to optimize expensive black-box functions. It efficiently tunes machine learning algorithms under the implicit assumption that hyperparameter evaluations cost approximately the same. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-25 Gauthier Guinet , Valerio Perrone , Cédric Archambeau

It is commonly believed that Bayesian optimization (BO) algorithms are highly efficient for optimizing numerically costly functions. However, BO is not often compared to widely different alternatives, and is mostly tested on narrow sets of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-10-01 Rodolphe Le Riche , Victor Picheny

Input estimation is a signal processing technique associated with deconvolution of measured signals after filtering through a known dynamic system. Kitanidis and others extended this to the simultaneous estimation of the input signal and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-24 Mohammad Ali Abooshahab , Mohammed M. J. Alyaseen , Robert R. Bitmead , Morten Hovd

Bayesian Optimization using Gaussian Processes is a popular approach to deal with the optimization of expensive black-box functions. However, because of the a priori on the stationarity of the covariance matrix of classic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-10 Ali Hebbal , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Nouredine Melab

Stochastic computer simulations enable users to gain new insights into complex physical systems. Optimization is a common problem in this context: users seek to find model inputs that maximize the expected value of an objective function.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-09-13 Atiye Alaeddini , Daniel J. Klein

Zeroth-order local optimisation algorithms are essential for solving real-valued black-box optimisation problems. Among these, Natural Evolution Strategies (NES) represent a prominent class, particularly well-suited for scenarios where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Pierre Osselin , Masaki Adachi , Xiaowen Dong , Michael A. Osborne

Bayesian optimization (BO) is an effective technique for black-box optimization. However, its applicability is typically limited to moderate-budget problems due to the cubic complexity of fitting the Gaussian process (GP) surrogate model.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-13 Qiyu Wei , Haowei Wang , Zirui Cao , Songhao Wang , Richard Allmendinger , Mauricio A Álvarez

Bayesian methods lie at the heart of modern data science and provide a powerful scaffolding for estimation in data-constrained settings and principled quantification and propagation of uncertainty. Yet in many real-world use cases where…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-03-20 Sitan Chen , Jingqiu Ding , Mahbod Majid , Walter McKelvie

Randomized experiments are the gold standard for evaluating the effects of changes to real-world systems. Data in these tests may be difficult to collect and outcomes may have high variance, resulting in potentially large measurement error.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-27 Benjamin Letham , Brian Karrer , Guilherme Ottoni , Eytan Bakshy

The Covariance Matrix Adaptation Evolutionary Strategy (CMA-ES) is one of the most advanced algorithms in numerical black-box optimization. For noisy objective functions, several approaches were proposed to mitigate the noise, e.g.,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Catalin-Viorel Dinu , Yash J. Patel , Xavier Bonet-Monroig , Hao Wang

The global optimization of a high-dimensional black-box function under black-box constraints is a pervasive task in machine learning, control, and engineering. These problems are challenging since the feasible set is typically non-convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-02 David Eriksson , Matthias Poloczek
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