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Bayesian filtering is a cornerstone of state estimation in complex systems such as aerospace systems, yet exact solutions are available only for linear Gaussian models. In practice,nonlinear systems are handled through tractable…

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is a widely used approach for blackbox optimization that leverages a Gaussian process (GP) model and an acquisition function to guide future sampling. While effective in low-dimensional settings, BO faces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-26 Pavankumar Koratikere , Leifur Leifsson

State estimation in stochastic dynamical systems with noisy measurements is a challenge. While the Kalman filter is optimal for linear systems with independent Gaussian white noise, real-world conditions often deviate from these…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-12 Hassan Mortada , Cyril Falcon , Yanis Kahil , Mathéo Clavaud , Jean-Philippe Michel

This paper is considered with joint estimation of state and time-varying noise covariance matrices in non-linear stochastic state space models. We present a variational Bayes and Gaussian filtering based algorithm for efficient computation…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-02-05 Simo Särkkä Jouni Hartikainen

Kalman filtering can provide an optimal estimation of the system state from noisy observation data. This algorithm's performance depends on the accuracy of system modeling and noise statistical characteristics, which are usually challenging…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-18 Xun Xiao , Junbo Tie , Jinyue Zhao , Ziqi Wang , Yuan Li , Qiang Dou , Lei Wang

We study a distributed Kalman filtering problem in which a number of nodes cooperate without central coordination to estimate a common state based on local measurements and data received from neighbors. This is typically done by running a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-18 Damián Marelli , Tianju Sui , Minyue Fu

In this article, we derive a new stepsize adaptation for the normalized least mean square algorithm (NLMS) by describing the task of linear acoustic echo cancellation from a Bayesian network perspective. Similar to the well-known Kalman…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-07-19 Christian Huemmer , Roland Maas , Walter Kellermann

In this paper, we focus on sensor placement in linear dynamic estimation, where the objective is to place a small number of sensors in a system of interdependent states so to design an estimator with a desired estimation performance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-18 Vasileios Tzoumas , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

Traditional statements of the celebrated Kalman filter algorithm focus on the estimation of state, but not the output. For any outputs, measured or auxiliary, it is usually assumed that the posterior state estimates and known inputs are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Ameet S. Deshpande

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

In this paper, we focus on batch state estimation for linear systems. This problem is important in applications such as environmental field estimation, robotic navigation, and target tracking. Its difficulty lies on that limited operational…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-27 Vasileios Tzoumas , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

In this paper we are concerned with the error-covariance lower-bounding problem in Kalman filtering: a sensor releases a set of measurements to the data fusion/estimation center, which has a perfect knowledge of the dynamic model, to allow…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-06-16 Niladri Das , Raktim Bhattacharya

Bayesian Optimization (BO) is an effective approach for global optimization of black-box functions when function evaluations are expensive. Most prior works use Gaussian processes to model the black-box function, however, the use of kernels…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Dat Phan-Trong , Hung Tran-The , Sunil Gupta

The Kalman filter is extensively used for state estimation for linear systems under Gaussian noise. When non-Gaussian L\'evy noise is present, the conventional Kalman filter may fail to be effective due to the fact that the non-Gaussian…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-03-12 Xu Sun , Jinqiao Duan , Xiaofan Li , Xiangjun Wang

We consider black box optimization of an unknown function in the nonparametric Gaussian process setting when the noise in the observed function values can be heavy tailed. This is in contrast to existing literature that typically assumes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Sayak Ray Chowdhury , Aditya Gopalan

We consider the problem of randomly choosing the sensors of a linear time-invariant dynamical system subject to process and measurement noise. We sample the sensors independently and from the same distribution. We measure the performance of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-23 Christopher I. Calle , Shaunak D. Bopardikar

Global ocean models exhibit biases in the mean state and variability, particularly at coarse resolution, where mesoscale eddies are unresolved. To address these biases, parameterization coefficients are typically tuned ad hoc. Here, we…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Pavel Perezhogin , Alistair Adcroft , Laure Zanna

Since the innovation of the ubiquitous Kalman filter more than five decades back it is well known that to obtain the best possible estimates the tuning of its statistics $X_0$, $P_0$, $\Theta$, $R$ and $Q$ namely initial state and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-28 M. R. Ananthasayanam , Shyam Mohan M , Naren Naik , R. M. O. Gemson

Contemporary data assimilation often involves millions of prediction variables. The classical Kalman filter is no longer computationally feasible in such a high dimensional context. This problem can often be resolved by exploiting the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-30 Andrew J. Majda , Xin T. Tong

We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad